I hate to post this but if you're planning a Christmas ski trip to Summit County in Colorado, I'd start seriously considering changing your plans. Here's why:
Breck 24 inch base and 6 inches over last 5 with 1 expected over the next 10
Vail: 40 inch base 20 over the last 5 and 1 expected over next 10
Snowmass: 37 inch base 12 over the last 5 and nothing expected next 10.
Steamboat: 33 inch base with 17 over the last 5 and 5 expected over the next 10
Next Saturday it's supposed to break freezing and stay above freezing for the daily highs for the next 5 days.
If that's true, Breck is going to be a nightmare at Xmas. Working with a base that's only 2ft deep with nothing expected through 10 and temps in the mid to high 30s is a recipe for a disaster. If that's true, the base will be potentially less than 20 inches deep (I won't ski less than 30) and the only thing getting added is man made that won't be able to keep up with the melt at those above referenced temps. I'd be praying for a Christmas storm and even that probs won't be enough to push them where they usually are. They need multiple ft.
To put it into perspective, Breck's base is 63% of the average that this point in the season (24 vs 38) and that numbers only likely to grow over the next 2 weeks. Not only do they have the least snow, they get the most skiers. That's a bad bad bad combo.
For comparison: the Breck / Key base is 60% of the Vail base (24 in he's vs 40 inches). It's usually 33% higher at this point (40 inches vs 30 inches)
So yeah, I'd either look at changing to Vail or Snowmass/Highlands because if the forecast stays true, they will be the only hill with a decent base at Christmas. Steamboat will probs be ok too but at 33 and likely dropping 5-6 inches over the next 2 weeks, it's probs gonna have a lot of snow snake snipers.
Vail is 33% above average 40 vs 30. BC is 44% above average (39 vs 27), Steamboat is 34-% below average (33 vs 50), and Snowmass is 76% higher (37 vs 21). Moral of the story: the dry line has been eastern Eagle County and it's a BIG drop off. Again, I'd look at potentially moving from Sumco to Eco if possible. These numbers are BAD for most of the state.
The one outlier is WP. They are probs the most eastern of the large hills but still are carrying their weight pretty well. They have a 35 inch base vs a historical 31 inch base at this point. So, somehow, WP is still beating the average by about 13% whereas the hills around them are all 60% or lower of the 30 year average.
If you're wondering how SS can have such a small base with as much snow as they've received, you have to look at the elevation and the temperatures. SS is super low elevation 6,900 ft base so when we get these unseasonably warm temperatures, it melts off FAST. The summit is still relatively high at 10,500ft but a majority of the hill (something like 65%) is under 9,200 which makes it lose weight quickly. For comparison, Telluride's base is at 8,725 and Vail/BC are 8,160. That extra 1,200-1,800 ft of elevation is huge when it warms up. They actually have a chance of rain snow mix at SS early next week. That's crazy to think of in mid/late December.
The purple squares are days w a rain snow mix possibility. Ay ay ay