Bunk Moreland said:
haven't watched or read updates at all...I assume Jason is the 100% target going home right?
Has he voiced displeasure of being played like a fool, or is he still just happy to be there like the rest of em?
Will he thank Paul for the opportunity on his way out?
Jason might still think Kevin is the target, but he will find out today before eviction, if he doesn't know already.
There are only 2 reasonably legitimate chances for Paul to not make it to the final 2 at this point:
1) Josh or Kevin winning final 5 HoH and (using the tiebreaker HoH vote) both voting Paul out. Of course, Paul has to not win the veto. If Josh is HoH (good chance since this is their plan), he should probably nominate Kevin and Raven and somehow convince Paul not to gun for veto. This way, if Paul does win, Josh can abandon the plan to get out Paul with no trail of his betrayal.
2) Final 3. Josh somehow has to beat Paul in the last comp to have the choice on who to send. Josh or Paul will need to beat Xmas (who should automatically lose the 1st comp, which is endurance) in the 2nd comp. The 2 winners (likely Josh and Paul) face off in what essentially is a coin toss of a third comp. Josh has to get lucky here for the win.
After Jason goes, the only people who dont want Paul in the final 3/2 are Josh and (probably) Kevin. Alex and Raven will both trust him still because they have no one left. Xmas has rightly figured out that she needs Paul to drag her to the final 2.