If we win out, we are guaranteed to have a top10 pick. If we can lose out, we are guaranteed the #2 pick, then we would be banking on Pittsburgh to go 3-2 or better in their last 5 games to sneak in and get the top pick. They have 2 against the Cubs and 3 against Cleveland.
If we lose tonight, we pretty much guarantee a top 5 pick.
Colorado Rockies (24-30); 2 @ SF, 4 @ AZ
Seattle Mariners (24-31); 1 vs HOU, 4 @ OAK
Baltimore Orioles (23-32); 2 @ BOS, 3 @ TOR
Washington Nationals (23-32); 1 vs PHI, 4 vs NYM
Detroit Tigers (22-31); 1 @ MIN, 4 @ KC
KC Royals (22-33); 1 vs STL, 4 vs DET
Boston Redsox (21-34); 2 vs BAL, 3 @ ATL
AZ Diamonbacks (21-34); 1 vs TEX, 4 vs COL
Texas Rangers (19-36); 1 vs AZ, 4 vs HOU
Pittsburgh Pirates (16-39); 2 vs CHC, 3 @ CLE
Looking at those remaining schedules, if we lose today I would say we will probably either get the 2nd or 3rd pick in the draft.