barnyard1996 said:
So if Trump is 65% favored among those who haven't voted, how does he lose?
The republicans are expected to out vote democrat's by a substantial margin. These are just numbers as the stand now.JBenn06 said:
I'm not even going to pretend that I understand these numbers anymore. All I see is Trump has less electoral votes than Biden. So how are these numbers good for Trump?
barnyard1996 said:The republicans are expected to out vote democrat's by a substantial margin. These are just numbers as the stand now.JBenn06 said:
I'm not even going to pretend that I understand these numbers anymore. All I see is Trump has less electoral votes than Biden. So how are these numbers good for Trump?
barnyard1996 said:
35-40 posts on a highly political board?
85 million have voted so far.Premium said:barnyard1996 said:
35-40 posts on a highly political board?
Logic leads to a similar conclusion. People working from home. People afraid of COVID so go early rather than risk crowded Election Day lines. Early voting obliterating previous years, closing in or surpassing half of the previous highs.
What evidence do you have?
barnyard1996 said:85 million have voted so far.Premium said:barnyard1996 said:
35-40 posts on a highly political board?
Logic leads to a similar conclusion. People working from home. People afraid of COVID so go early rather than risk crowded Election Day lines. Early voting obliterating previous years, closing in or surpassing half of the previous highs.
What evidence do you have?
130 million voted in 2016
65% of 2016 numbers is your definition of everyone?Premium said:barnyard1996 said:85 million have voted so far.Premium said:barnyard1996 said:
35-40 posts on a highly political board?
Logic leads to a similar conclusion. People working from home. People afraid of COVID so go early rather than risk crowded Election Day lines. Early voting obliterating previous years, closing in or surpassing half of the previous highs.
What evidence do you have?
130 million voted in 2016
That my point, everyone on both sides is voting early.
Do you also need me to knock on doors in my neighborhood to ask who's voted early? I already know the answer if you care...of the 22 households on my street, 15 are voting on Tuesday. 2 are Biden supporters, 13 Trump. Stop trying so hard to talk yourself out of R's not flooding the Polls on Election Day...especially using a silly TexAgs forum post. Not even Covid will break that tradition this year.Premium said:barnyard1996 said:
35-40 posts on a highly political board?
Logic leads to a similar conclusion. People working from home. People afraid of COVID so go early rather than risk crowded Election Day lines. Early voting obliterating previous years, closing in or surpassing half of the previous highs.
What evidence do you have?
Premium said:barnyard1996 said:85 million have voted so far.Premium said:barnyard1996 said:
35-40 posts on a highly political board?
Logic leads to a similar conclusion. People working from home. People afraid of COVID so go early rather than risk crowded Election Day lines. Early voting obliterating previous years, closing in or surpassing half of the previous highs.
What evidence do you have?
130 million voted in 2016
That my point, everyone on both sides is voting early.
barnyard1996 said:65% of 2016 numbers is your definition of everyone?Premium said:barnyard1996 said:85 million have voted so far.Premium said:barnyard1996 said:
35-40 posts on a highly political board?
Logic leads to a similar conclusion. People working from home. People afraid of COVID so go early rather than risk crowded Election Day lines. Early voting obliterating previous years, closing in or surpassing half of the previous highs.
What evidence do you have?
130 million voted in 2016
That my point, everyone on both sides is voting early.
will25u said:
Updated Spreadsheet
11/1 Daily Update 1/2(There are 2 updates usually a day)
Missed a day.Drove 500 miles on Sat. to pick up my new car. Then drove 500 more miles today to bring it home. Whew. I'm tired.
In this update 2 states flipped from D to R. Florida and Arizona. Netting R's 40 EC votes.
Battleground States Daily Lean(Vote lead):
+ = Republican Lead
- = Democrat Lead
Arizona: +15,558(+12,823)
Florida: +82,044(+64,691)
Iowa: +11,028(-39,139)
Michigan: -6,457(-105,359)
Minnesota: -,641(-217,807)
Nevada: +4,099(-1,235)
North Carolina: +50,449(-40,488)
Pennsylvania: -51,339(-758,642)
Texas: +55,861(+1,129,660)
Wisconsin: +12,701(-21,009)
All States: -101,677(-5,397,671)
Democrat %: 48.04%
Republican %: 41.71%
EC: 300(D)-238(R)
barnyard1996 said:65% of 2016 numbers is your definition of everyone?Premium said:barnyard1996 said:85 million have voted so far.Premium said:barnyard1996 said:
35-40 posts on a highly political board?
Logic leads to a similar conclusion. People working from home. People afraid of COVID so go early rather than risk crowded Election Day lines. Early voting obliterating previous years, closing in or surpassing half of the previous highs.
What evidence do you have?
130 million voted in 2016
That my point, everyone on both sides is voting early.
WTF does this even mean? You have exactly one more post to carry my interest any further.Premium said:
65% is a big number based on some of the spreads in PA and Michigan.
I hope Trump wins but I'm not sure it happens. Hope it doesn't come down to only PA. Gut feeling MN or WI pull this one out.
IDaggie06 said:will25u said:
Updated Spreadsheet
11/1 Daily Update 1/2(There are 2 updates usually a day)
Missed a day.
In this update 2 states flipped from D to R. Florida and Arizona. Netting R's 40 EC votes.
Battleground States Daily Lean(Vote lead):
+ = Republican Lead
- = Democrat Lead
Arizona: +15,558(+12,823)
Florida: +82,044(+64,691)
Iowa: +11,028(-39,139)
Michigan: -6,457(-105,359)
Minnesota: -,641(-217,807)
Nevada: +4,099(-1,235)
North Carolina: +50,449(-40,488)
Pennsylvania: -51,339(-758,642)
Texas: +55,861(+1,129,660)
Wisconsin: +12,701(-21,009)
All States: -101,677(-5,397,671)
Democrat %: 48.04%
Republican %: 41.71%
EC: 300(D)-238(R)
If Nevada, Arizona, NC, FL and Wisconsin go to Trump then it's over and he doesn't need Michigan or PA. Nevada looks pretty good right now, but their governor has crazy TDS and will do whatever he can with the ballots to keep Trump from winning.
BoerneAg11 said:IDaggie06 said:will25u said:
Updated Spreadsheet
11/1 Daily Update 1/2(There are 2 updates usually a day)
Missed a day.
In this update 2 states flipped from D to R. Florida and Arizona. Netting R's 40 EC votes.
Battleground States Daily Lean(Vote lead):
+ = Republican Lead
- = Democrat Lead
Arizona: +15,558(+12,823)
Florida: +82,044(+64,691)
Iowa: +11,028(-39,139)
Michigan: -6,457(-105,359)
Minnesota: -,641(-217,807)
Nevada: +4,099(-1,235)
North Carolina: +50,449(-40,488)
Pennsylvania: -51,339(-758,642)
Texas: +55,861(+1,129,660)
Wisconsin: +12,701(-21,009)
All States: -101,677(-5,397,671)
Democrat %: 48.04%
Republican %: 41.71%
EC: 300(D)-238(R)
If Nevada, Arizona, NC, FL and Wisconsin go to Trump then it's over and he doesn't need Michigan or PA. Nevada looks pretty good right now, but their governor has crazy TDS and will do whatever he can with the ballots to keep Trump from winning.
This looks like a whipping in PA what am I missing?
aginresearch said:
Pennsylvania does not have in person early voting. It is vote by mail or vote on election day. That is it. Trump supporters were told don't vote by mail. So they are voting on Tuesday. Will it be enough? We'll see. However, there are indications Philadelphia is under performing. If that is the case then Trump might just pull it off.
Also, according to the New York Slimes, of all sources, Trump is pulling about 25% in Philly, which is very high for any Republican.aginresearch said:
Pennsylvania does not have in person early voting. It is vote by mail or vote on election day. That is it. Trump supporters were told don't vote by mail. So they are voting on Tuesday. Will it be enough? We'll see. However, there are indications Philadelphia is under performing. If that is the case then Trump might just pull it off.
Haywood JablowmeAG 2000' said:
Whitler up in Michigan just ordered all bars and restaurants to take down names and numbers of all their customers for contact tracing, and is threatening the business owners with six months in jail if they don't comply.
Two days before the election.
