What gives you confidence for November?

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StandUpforAmerica
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1:35p, 10/19/20
Knowing that the left has way too many of these type of people gives me hope...

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StandUpforAmerica
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2:29p, 10/19/20
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rgag12
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2:53p, 10/19/20
AG
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aTm2004
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2:58p, 10/19/20
AG
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texsn95
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In reply to StandUpforAmerica • 3:19p, 10/19/20
AG
StandUpforAmerica said:
Knowing that the left has way too many of these type of people gives me hope...

Let's go Cow tippin?
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will25u
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3:20p, 10/19/20
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StandUpforAmerica
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3:57p, 10/19/20
One last one for today.

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Barnyard96
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5:07p, 10/19/20
AG

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IDaggie06
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In reply to rgag12 • 5:16p, 10/19/20
AG
rgag12 said:


I don't understand where that person's data is coming from as the TargetSmart website currently shows democrats at 44%, Republicans at 34%, and unaffiliated at 23%. While I do think a larger portion of unaffiliated are in Trump's favor, and very well may even things out, I don't see how that person can tweet that information without showing screenshots..

Just be careful what tweets (and polls) you read, on both sides.


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Barnyard96
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In reply to IDaggie06 • 5:19p, 10/19/20
AG
Weird

NBC uses targetsmart and this is how they are reporting

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/wisconsin-results

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IDaggie06
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In reply to Barnyard96 • 5:25p, 10/19/20
AG
barnyard1996 said:
Weird

NBC uses targetsmart and this is how they are reporting

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/wisconsin-results


There are two different charts on the link you provided. The one for ballots RETURNED already matches my screenshot numbers exactly. The one above it shows the request ballots but not those returned....It is still very impressive that GOP has more requested mail in ballots than dems.


Editing to add an observation that I believe is pro-trump but it depends on the Republicans actually turning in their ballots:

of the 1,384,035 ballots requested, 525,933 are dem, 553,614 are gop, and 304487 are unaffiliated.
There have been 368,773 dems received and 285,255 gop received. This theoretically should mean that the gop has about 90k more ballots pending than the dems. Of course if those ballots don't get cast then that's a bad thing for Trump.
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SLAM
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6:34p, 10/19/20


Cookie polls from around the nation.
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Silvertaps
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In reply to SLAM • 8:55p, 10/19/20
AG
SLAM said:


Cookie polls from around the nation.

Does someone buying 100 cookies equal 1? ..or 100 in those polls?

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Verne Lundquist
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In reply to Barnyard96 • 9:01p, 10/19/20
AG
barnyard1996 said:



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will25u
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9:17p, 10/19/20
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SLAM
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In reply to Silvertaps • 9:22p, 10/19/20
Silvertaps said:
SLAM said:


Cookie polls from around the nation.

Does someone buying 100 cookies equal 1? ..or 100 in those polls?



Enthusiasm matters, but really I posted it as a joke.
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will25u
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9:23p, 10/19/20


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TAMUTundra
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10:01p, 10/19/20
Here is a thought that gets me enthusiastic... I would say the majority if not all people who voted for Trump will again.. how many times have you heard otherwise? I have never heard that, but on the other hand I have heard people say that they will vote for Trump this time. I also believe the overwhelming enthusiasm for 45 is coming from people who's don't give a **** meter about harassment is pegged.. where as the silent majority who has had to have grown have more reasons to not want it known that they really want a safer more prosperous America...
but I am sure the smart pundits have said this
so make damn sure ya VORE!
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Jet Black
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In reply to will25u • 10:06p, 10/19/20
will25u said:




Is this guy reliable?
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FTAG 2000
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In reply to Jet Black • 10:12p, 10/19/20
AG
Jet Black said:
will25u said:




Is this guy reliable?
He was one of the Trump campaign's polling analysts in 2016. While not doing that this year, he's still got contacts on the Trump team.
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Captn_Ag05
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10:19p, 10/19/20
AG
Speaker McCarthy thinks he is really accurate...
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Gigemags382
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7:41a, 10/20/20
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My understanding is Florida in-person voting started yesterday and there was big turnout. Will those numbers be reflected by TargetSmart, and if so when? Is it usually by next day (today) or usually takes longer?
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Barnyard96
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7:42a, 10/20/20
AG
When the national polls are reaching....
NYT poll has Biden +9 getting 90% of black vote to Trump's 4%!
I wonder if 50cent and Ice Cube were included in the numbers?

https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/us101520-crosstabs1/016bc5d8ae03038c/full.pdf

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Captn_Ag05
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In reply to Gigemags382 • 9:18a, 10/20/20
AG
Not sure how long it will take, but day one was essentially a wash. 170,000ish ballots cast by each party.
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will25u
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1:04p, 10/20/20


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MostlyHarmless
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1:53p, 10/20/20
AG
Warning: cool, starry bra below.

Ok, I don't have any data to provide like most of you and my story is only anecdotal and is only about one person but here it is and it is a true accounting. On my drive in to work this morning I saw this older gentleman, probably in his 70's, opening the lid on his trash container and dumping a Biden sign in. I don't know what the story is here. Perhaps someone put the sign in his yard and he didn't like it. Or perhaps he was for Biden and after the recent news decided he could no longer support such a corrupt politician. I choose to believe the latter since it makes me feel all warm inside. I just hope he hadn't already voted.
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will25u
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2:14p, 10/20/20
Posted without comment except for... WOW!

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will25u
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2:15p, 10/20/20
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In reply to will25u • 2:20p, 10/20/20
nortex97
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In reply to will25u • 2:20p, 10/20/20
AG
I mean this in the least racist way possible but it's amazing how dumb white voters are in Miami Dade vs. their hispanic neighbors.
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will25u
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In reply to [removed post] • 2:21p, 10/20/20
The hispanic vote. Trump campaign has been touting rising hispanic votes for President Trump and it seems to be looking that way.
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SLAM
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In reply to [removed post] • 2:28p, 10/20/20
Rendered Fat said:
will25u said:
Posted without comment except for... WOW!

What am I missing here...why is this good?


Hispanic vote. That's roughly 50/50. If that goes national, and I expect it might, then Trump will win going away and it might even put states considered left wing locks into play.

The DNC has no idea just how badly they have screwed up with Hispanics.
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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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In reply to SLAM • 2:40p, 10/20/20
SLAM said:
Rendered Fat said:
will25u said:
Posted without comment except for... WOW!

What am I missing here...why is this good?


Hispanic vote. That's roughly 50/50. If that goes national, and I expect it might, then Trump will win going away and it might even put states considered left wing locks into play.

The DNC has no idea just how badly they have screwed up with Hispanics.


Had lunch with 2 Mexicans, one Cuban and a Salvadorian today. All Trump votes and 2nd generation Americans at that.
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RedHand
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2:41p, 10/20/20
AG
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Ag00Ag
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2:43p, 10/20/20
AG
"Hispanics" in Miami are mostly Cuban and many are very conservitive.

"Hispanics" almost everywhere else are mostly of Mexican and Central American origin, and will not follow that trend. I do think Trump will do better among Hispanics nation wide, but not that much better.
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