What gives you confidence for November?

149,132 Views | 1681 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by Tone2002
oh no
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AG
AZ like yesterday:

Quote:



aTm2004
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P.U.T.U said:

aTm2004 said:

Not only going to MN, but taking the Messiah with him.
I thought that was only Pennsylvania

Is it? Thought Obama was going to MN. It may be PA. Either way, neither is a good sign for Ol Joe.
aginlakeway
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"I'm sure that won't make a bit of difference for those of you who enjoy a baseless rage over the decisions of a few teenagers."
Barnyard96
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FbgTxAg
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barnyard1996 said:




Trafalgar
Barnyard96
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.The funny thing about Tragalgar is libs saying their polls are biased while at the same time admitting polls are biased.
aggiehawg
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aTm2004 said:

P.U.T.U said:

aTm2004 said:

Not only going to MN, but taking the Messiah with him.
I thought that was only Pennsylvania

Is it? Thought Obama was going to MN. It may be PA. Either way, neither is a good sign for Ol Joe.
Obama has been summoned for a "joint" appearance (pun intended) in Minnesota, somewhere. Haven't seen the details of where and when yet.
aginlakeway
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"I'm sure that won't make a bit of difference for those of you who enjoy a baseless rage over the decisions of a few teenagers."
Barnyard96
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That's a shame.
FbgTxAg
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aginlakeway said:




It's a shame that we have to celebrate a court ruling that "the law is the law," but here we are.
Cheetah01
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Agreed. We are so bent if the Left's tantrum works.
Nitro Power
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Did this one have Biden up in Texas? Any poll saying that is discarded automatically for lack of intelligence.
FbgTxAg
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Nitro Power said:

Did this one have Biden up in Texas? Any poll saying that is discarded automatically for lack of intelligence.


This twitter account just spams out every poll out there - so it's important to look at the bottom and see who's poll it is.

And no, Trafalgar has Trump winning Texas by 6 the last I saw.
Nitro Power
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Thank you for the clarification.
74Ag1
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FbgTxAg said:

Nitro Power said:

Did this one have Biden up in Texas? Any poll saying that is discarded automatically for lack of intelligence.


This twitter account just spams out every poll out there - so it's important to look at the bottom and see who's poll it is.

And no, Trafalgar has Trump winning Texas by 6 the last I saw.

Conducted in August
Before no fracking comment and 50 cent and recent endorsements

Ukraine Gas Expert
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Anecdotal but with numbers. Driving home listening to Rush today, and he was speaking about Trump's rally. Said there were thousands there, it was unreal, then looked and said 75k were watching online!

Compare that to biden and his sad10 minute honker rally. Polls are being used to mislead, and now some are breaking showing their panick about real numbers and no biden support. I'd wager the next few days we see more polls or information stating the tide, red tide, is turning.

The media is the enemy and cannot be trusted.
FTAG 2000
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Harris county trying hard to bring it home for Biden.
Cheetah01
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Excellent article worth the read! We got this!

https://townhall.com/columnists/kurtschlichter/2020/10/29/dont-get-suckered-by-the-establishment-psyop-n2578887
will25u
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Updated Spreadsheet

10/27 Daily Update 2/2(There are 2 updates usually a day)

Another day, another update. Today was another good day for Republicans for battleground states. AND I moved the dates around,

Battleground States Daily Lean(Vote lead):

+ = Republican Lead
- = Democrat Lead

Arizona: +14,361(-15,667)
Florida: +56,102(-52,158)
Iowa: +3,998(-53,891)
Michigan: +1,882(-99,219)
Minnesota: -2,499(-213,427)
Nevada: +9,384(-5,529)
North Carolina: +28,441(-90,937)
Pennsylvania: -36,414(-681,684)
Texas: +52,377(+1,041,631)
Wisconsin: +7,991(-32,317)

All States: -126,824(-5,373,105)
Democrat %: 48.82%
Republican %: 41.28%

EC: 340(D)-198(R)
FbgTxAg
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will25u said:

Updated Spreadsheet

10/27 Daily Update 2/2(There are 2 updates usually a day)

Another day, another update. Today was another good day for Republicans for battleground states. AND I moved the dates around,

Battleground States Daily Lean(Vote lead):

+ = Republican Lead
- = Democrat Lead

Arizona: +14,361(-15,667)
Florida: +56,102(-52,158)
Iowa: +3,998(-53,891)
Michigan: +1,882(-99,219)
Minnesota: -2,499(-213,427)
Nevada: +9,384(-5,529)
North Carolina: +28,441(-90,937)
Pennsylvania: -36,414(-681,684)
Texas: +52,377(+1,041,631)
Wisconsin: +7,991(-32,317)

All States: -126,824(-5,373,105)
Democrat %: 48.82%
Republican %: 41.28%

EC: 340(D)-198(R)


Nevada and Arizona look VERY promising. Obviously Florida and Texas are over.
will25u
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Cheetah01
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will25u said:




This pleases me!
Ryan34
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will25u said:

Updated Spreadsheet

10/27 Daily Update 2/2(There are 2 updates usually a day)

Another day, another update. Today was another good day for Republicans for battleground states. AND I moved the dates around,

Battleground States Daily Lean(Vote lead):

+ = Republican Lead
- = Democrat Lead

Arizona: +14,361(-15,667)
Florida: +56,102(-52,158)
Iowa: +3,998(-53,891)
Michigan: +1,882(-99,219)
Minnesota: -2,499(-213,427)
Nevada: +9,384(-5,529)
North Carolina: +28,441(-90,937)
Pennsylvania: -36,414(-681,684)
Texas: +52,377(+1,041,631)
Wisconsin: +7,991(-32,317)

All States: -126,824(-5,373,105)
Democrat %: 48.82%
Republican %: 41.28%

EC: 340(D)-198(R)

Forgive me if this has been covered, but that FL number doesn't match the Florida voting thread. Why the discrepancy?
will25u
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Ryan34 said:

will25u said:

Updated Spreadsheet

10/27 Daily Update 2/2(There are 2 updates usually a day)

Another day, another update. Today was another good day for Republicans for battleground states. AND I moved the dates around,

Battleground States Daily Lean(Vote lead):

+ = Republican Lead
- = Democrat Lead

Arizona: +14,361(-15,667)
Florida: +56,102(-52,158)
Iowa: +3,998(-53,891)
Michigan: +1,882(-99,219)
Minnesota: -2,499(-213,427)
Nevada: +9,384(-5,529)
North Carolina: +28,441(-90,937)
Pennsylvania: -36,414(-681,684)
Texas: +52,377(+1,041,631)
Wisconsin: +7,991(-32,317)

All States: -126,824(-5,373,105)
Democrat %: 48.82%
Republican %: 41.28%

EC: 340(D)-198(R)

Forgive me if this has been covered, but that FL number doesn't match the Florida voting thread. Why the discrepancy?
I am using straight MODELED numbers. Not registered party. I shared my spreadsheet on Twitter and someone pointed that out to me. But it would be a lot more work for me to switch over now, and I am not really interested in doing it. IF someone wants to help me out and do that, then I'll let ya. But I started it as a modeled spreadsheet, so that is what it is.
Ryan34
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I see. Thanks!
will25u
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74Ag1
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On Laura Ingraham just now

Nitro Power
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will25u said:

Ryan34 said:

will25u said:

Updated Spreadsheet

10/27 Daily Update 2/2(There are 2 updates usually a day)

Another day, another update. Today was another good day for Republicans for battleground states. AND I moved the dates around,

Battleground States Daily Lean(Vote lead):

+ = Republican Lead
- = Democrat Lead

Arizona: +14,361(-15,667)
Florida: +56,102(-52,158)
Iowa: +3,998(-53,891)
Michigan: +1,882(-99,219)
Minnesota: -2,499(-213,427)
Nevada: +9,384(-5,529)
North Carolina: +28,441(-90,937)
Pennsylvania: -36,414(-681,684)
Texas: +52,377(+1,041,631)
Wisconsin: +7,991(-32,317)

All States: -126,824(-5,373,105)
Democrat %: 48.82%
Republican %: 41.28%

EC: 340(D)-198(R)

Forgive me if this has been covered, but that FL number doesn't match the Florida voting thread. Why the discrepancy?
I am using straight MODELED numbers. Not registered party. I shared my spreadsheet on Twitter and someone pointed that out to me. But it would be a lot more work for me to switch over now, and I am not really interested in doing it. IF someone wants to help me out and do that, then I'll let ya. But I started it as a modeled spreadsheet, so that is what it is.


It's. It a real model unless it shows exponential growth. Please revise
will25u
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FbgTxAg
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https://www.newsweek.com/why-so-many-polls-favor-biden-opinion-1542607?amp=1&__twitter_impression=true

Not a Bot
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FbgTxAg said:

https://www.newsweek.com/why-so-many-polls-favor-biden-opinion-1542607?amp=1&__twitter_impression=true




Read that thread.

They are saying based on their modeling that Trump is tied but trending toward ahead in battleground states and statistically tied in NM and Washington. They are saying he will double or more his black vote percentage from 2016 and beat out to GW Bush in Hispanic vote %.
wyoag93
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All we heard about for 4 years is Russia. Then Climate Change. Then BLM. Any party that has to invent bull**** to get attention will ultimately fail. That gives me hope. Liberals are full of **** and they have nothing but lies.
digital_ag
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Yeah the Washington one has me really questioning it. WA being tied is a lot like saying Texas is tied.
Not a Bot
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digital_ag said:

Yeah the Washington one has me really questioning it. WA being tied is a lot like saying Texas is tied.


Maybe a lot of folks in Seattle are getting pretty turned off by the Democratic Party about now. Most of the rest of the state already is.
Nitro Power
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Cactus Jack said:

FbgTxAg said:

https://www.newsweek.com/why-so-many-polls-favor-biden-opinion-1542607?amp=1&__twitter_impression=true




Read that thread.

They are saying based on their modeling that Trump is tied but trending toward ahead in battleground states and statistically tied in NM and Washington. They are saying he will double or more his black vote percentage from 2016 and beat out to GW Bush in Hispanic vote %.


I read the whole thread and found a lot of it to be a bit unbelievable. However I do think he has 17-20% black vote.
 
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