What gives you confidence for November?

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Ryan34
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In reply to FrioAg 00 • 5:19p, 11/2/20
AG
FrioAg 00 said:
5.9 million voters in PA in 2016


2.4 million were already turned in, so 4.1 million on Election Day gets to a total turnout of 6.5 million

To me it doesn't seem crazy to think turnout in this election could be 10% higher in PA


6.165M voted in PA on 2016. 5.9M excludes 3rd party votes.
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Silvertaps
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In reply to Ryan34 • 5:26p, 11/2/20
AG
Ryan34 said:
mslags97 said:
Silvertaps said:
Prosperdick said:
So 4.1 million people in PA are voting tomorrow?


They don't have early in person voting. Still, that number seems high.

6.165M voted in 2016. TargetSmart has the current total at 2.4M. So 4.1M isn't unlikely.
Good grief...those lines must be insane! I'd have to pack a lunch and cooler of beer!
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rgag12
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5:28p, 11/2/20
AG
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will25u
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5:30p, 11/2/20
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aggiehawg
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In reply to will25u • 5:36p, 11/2/20
AG
will25u said:
Eligible voter participation rate, I predict, will be in the 64-65% range.

Obama in 2008, by contrast was a little under 62%.
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In reply to rgag12 • 5:38p, 11/2/20
AG
rgag12 said:


F YEAH, 'MERICA.... wait...
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will25u
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5:40p, 11/2/20
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aggiehawg
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In reply to will25u • 5:41p, 11/2/20
AG
Ground game, ground game, ground game.
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Rockdoc
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In reply to aggiehawg • 5:45p, 11/2/20
AG
aggiehawg said:
Ground game, ground game, ground game.

Sing it girl!
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Nitro Power
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In reply to rgag12 • 5:59p, 11/2/20
AG
Probably the same guy who bet 1.3 on Biden to get better odds
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will25u
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6:22p, 11/2/20
Updated Spreadsheet

11/2 Daily Update 2/2(There are 2 updates usually a day)

New day, new update.

Battleground States Daily Lean(Vote lead):

+ = Republican Lead
- = Democrat Lead

Arizona: -1,491(+11,332)
Florida: +9,292(+73,983)
Iowa: 0(-39,139)
Michigan: -2,397(-105,870)
Minnesota: -4,775(-222,582)
Nevada: -6,943(-8,178)
North Carolina: +2,067(-38,421)
Pennsylvania: -7,279(-765,921)
Texas: +11,403(+1,141,063)
Wisconsin: -5,905(-26,914)

All States: +11,968(-5,385,703)
Democrat %: 47.92%
Republican %: 41.78%

EC: 300(D)-238(R)
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Silvertaps
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In reply to will25u • 6:25p, 11/2/20
AG
For clarification...that EC score is as of today, not a projection after tomorrow's polls close...correct?
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FriscoKid
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In reply to aggiehawg • 6:25p, 11/2/20
AG
aggiehawg said:
Ground game, ground game, ground game.

Yep, you made a believer out of me a few weeks ago when you started pushing this.
Hillary paid for warrant to spy on Trump.
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will25u
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In reply to Silvertaps • 6:26p, 11/2/20
Correct, just based off the modeled votes on TargetSmart.
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will25u
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6:45p, 11/2/20
That is a YUGE crowd.

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aTm2004
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In reply to will25u • 6:50p, 11/2/20
AG
Wow
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SLAM
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In reply to HoustonAggie37713 • 6:51p, 11/2/20
HoustonAggie37713 said:
Its starting to become obvious that you either post good news for Trump, or you are a communist.


Well I mean this is true rn.
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Keegan99
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7:13p, 11/2/20
AG


If the Rs take Maricopa, they take Arizona.
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Silvertaps
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In reply to Keegan99 • 7:32p, 11/2/20
AG
Keegan99 said:


If the Rs take Maricopa, they take Arizona.
449k Other?
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Keegan99
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In reply to Silvertaps • 7:38p, 11/2/20
AG
Unaffiliated voters. In Arizona, these tend to be split or lean GOP.
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gggmann
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In reply to Keegan99 • 7:39p, 11/2/20
AG
Keegan99 said:
Unaffiliated voters. In Arizona, these tend to be split or lean GOP.
Yep, 2 of those are from my house - went to Trump and McSally. We did our part.
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SLAM
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7:44p, 11/2/20
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Barnyard96
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8:00p, 11/2/20
AG
I concur.

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txaggie_08
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In reply to Barnyard96 • 8:08p, 11/2/20
AG
barnyard1996 said:
I concur.


I want to see NM turn red
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Barnyard96
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8:17p, 11/2/20
AG
Newt Gingrich just called it at 324 for Trump.
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BaitShack
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8:19p, 11/2/20
AG
MSNBC has talked about Trump 95% of their time tonight. Every now and then they talk about Biden.
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A_Gang_Ag_06
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8:24p, 11/2/20
AG
Is Georgia really in play as some have led us to believe?
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sam callahan
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8:26p, 11/2/20
Quote:
MSNBC has talked about Trump 95% of their time tonight. Every now and then they talk about Biden.

Biden will receive zero votes.

How many votes Not Trump receives remains to be seen.%A0
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Artorias
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8:38p, 11/2/20
AG
Did anyone else see Donna Brazile earlier on Fox, I think it was the Shannon Bream show.

When asked about her confidence in Dem turnout, particularly Black/minority turnout needed to win in key states, she was strangely reserved. While, she of course said she was confident, her tone, demeanor, and body language did not look like she was confident, at all. She looked/sounded a bit defeated, it seemed.

Anyone else notice, or am I seeing what I want to see?

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In reply to Artorias • 8:59p, 11/2/20
AG
Artorias said:
Did anyone else see Donna Brazile earlier on Fox, I think it was the Shannon Bream show.

When asked about her confidence in Dem turnout, particularly Black/minority turnout needed to win in key states, she was strangely reserved. While, she of course said she was confident, her tone, demeanor, and body language did not look like she was confident, at all. She looked/sounded a bit defeated, it seemed.

Anyone else notice, or am I seeing what I want to see?



She looked like she just got up from a nap, I guess she could be trying to control her emotions. It could be she is upset and entering the state of Depression.

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will25u
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9:01p, 11/2/20
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SwigAg11
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In reply to A_Gang_Ag_06 • 9:14p, 11/2/20
AG
A_Gang_Ag_06 said:
Is Georgia really in play as some have led us to believe?


I want to believe Georgia and Arizona stay true. I really should get a dog right now.
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Verne Lundquist
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9:27p, 11/2/20
AG

I think this is the final nail in the dems coffin:

Kushner was on stage
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SwigAg11
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In reply to Verne Lundquist • 9:38p, 11/2/20
AG
Verne Lundquist said:

I think this is the final nail in the dems coffin:

Kushner was on stage


This is my ignorance showing, but why is it bad for Dems with Kushner on stage?
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HoustonAggie37713
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In reply to SwigAg11 • 9:41p, 11/2/20
SwigAg11 said:
Verne Lundquist said:

I think this is the final nail in the dems coffin:

Kushner was on stage


This is my ignorance showing, but why is it bad for Dems with Kushner on stage?


Because Kushner was on stage.
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