Fair enough. Give a big hug to Benny for me, okay?Tanya 93 said:I am not voting for Bidenaggiehawg said:Not only are you a very good mother but you are waking up now. You care very much about your child. You want your child to have the advantages of being an American and having the opportunity to have a wonderful life.Quote:
I bet fewer than 10% of them are mothers.
And I bet I would not allow their kids to play at my house,
Given where we as a country are politically, can you honestly say that your child's future would best be served by voting Biden? Or any other Democrat, ever?
This not said to in anyway target you or insult you at all. Only to ask you as a parent, does the current trajectory make you feel comfortable with your child's future?
Governor remains to be seen
Not really a fan of Parsons, so I am not doing that.
But I never say I am not going to vote for a particular party.
I vote my conscience. If I don't do that, I cannot teach my son to do the same
And thank you
What gives you confidence for November?
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1681 Replies |
Last: 3 yr ago by Tone2002
Looking at 2016 Exit Polls and Trump share of Black Vote
PN: 7%
FL: 8%
MI: 6%
If Trump even doubles those numbers, its 4 more years.
PN: 7%
FL: 8%
MI: 6%
If Trump even doubles those numbers, its 4 more years.
Pollsters typically poll 36% Republican and substantially more Dems to skew a poll in favor of the Dem/socialists...
Current polls are reducing the Republican polled to 25% in order to show Biden winning.
You add this up with all the rage from the MSM... and I believe It leads to President Trump in a landslide!
Current polls are reducing the Republican polled to 25% in order to show Biden winning.
You add this up with all the rage from the MSM... and I believe It leads to President Trump in a landslide!
Have we ever seen a "poll" or "study" saying Trump will win?
Of course not. The narrative was and still is the country hates him. All that will matter is election night, imo. Discussion about polls is pointless
Of course not. The narrative was and still is the country hates him. All that will matter is election night, imo. Discussion about polls is pointless
What gives me confidence? Biden's dementia.
BenFiasco14 said:
Have we ever seen a "poll" or "study" saying Trump will win?
Of course not. The MSM narrative was and still is the country hates him. All that will matter is election night, imo. Discussion about polls is pointless
I really want to believe this.
The fact I don't think I've ever seen the media predicting a republican winning the election?
I have a whole lot more confidence after watching Tim Pool segment on this thread and posted observations.
https://texags.com/forums/16/topics/3126493
You have clear-cut liberals so down against the Pelosi cabal like that, it means something.
FrioAg 00:
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
Why wouldn't you believe it?
Rasmussen is a pretty legit polling service and they ask LIKELY VOTERS not just registered voters which is a huge difference. They also under-polled Republicans a little bit, but if you look at those lame NYT, NBC, Fox polls they have been under-polling Republicans by 11% to 15% so they can show Biden with a huge lead.
It's ALL BS.
Plus, here is the real deal. VOTER FRAUD. All of these polls showing Biden up double-digits is to give cover to voter fraud in locations Dems/Libs can pull it off. Think Philly, Detroit, Cleveland, Miami-Dade, Las Vegas, Houston, Dallas, Austin, KC, St Louis, basically any large liberal city in a battleground state is going to end having more votes cast than registered voters and NO ONE will be informed of it if Biden wins on these theft.
I'm more praying that Trump and his team are up to the TASK and prevent voter fraud from destroying this country.
Rasmussen is a pretty legit polling service and they ask LIKELY VOTERS not just registered voters which is a huge difference. They also under-polled Republicans a little bit, but if you look at those lame NYT, NBC, Fox polls they have been under-polling Republicans by 11% to 15% so they can show Biden with a huge lead.
It's ALL BS.
Plus, here is the real deal. VOTER FRAUD. All of these polls showing Biden up double-digits is to give cover to voter fraud in locations Dems/Libs can pull it off. Think Philly, Detroit, Cleveland, Miami-Dade, Las Vegas, Houston, Dallas, Austin, KC, St Louis, basically any large liberal city in a battleground state is going to end having more votes cast than registered voters and NO ONE will be informed of it if Biden wins on these theft.
I'm more praying that Trump and his team are up to the TASK and prevent voter fraud from destroying this country.
That's good point. Not even Reagan. Media is pro-Democrat, period. Has been for a very long time.oats005 said:
The fact I don't think I've ever seen the media predicting a republican winning the election?
That's a very good point --- trying to think of a time they ever did. Reagan's re-election in 1984 is one case (maybe, but do remember Mondale being pumped up for that too with Ferraro pick as VP -- so its not clear there has been even a distant case --- certainly not this century?
FrioAg 00:
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
You think voter fraud will be massive here, the kind that makes any difference?
Hasn't Ken Paxton said Texas will be keeping a tight reign on it? He also seems pretty forceful.Quote:
Houston, Dallas, Austin
FrioAg 00:
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
I agree with the poor sampling in the polls. It is almost criminal.
On voter fraud, lets narrow it down to Texas. How are more votes going to be cast than registered voters? You have to apply for a ballot and qualify to be sent one.
On voter fraud, lets narrow it down to Texas. How are more votes going to be cast than registered voters? You have to apply for a ballot and qualify to be sent one.
That Joe Biden is mentally unfit and it will be more and more evident as time goes on. Not someone you want in charge of things.
Time for the contrarian view. The polls arent wrong. Trump isn't seen by a majority of Americans as doing a good job on Covid, the economy, race relations, etc. Trump may be loved by 35% of the population, tolerated by 10%, but hes loathed by 50%.
50% of the people they ask. And the funny thing is, in most of those polls, he wins on the economy.Malibu said:
Time for the contrarian view. The polls arent wrong. Trump isn't seen by a majority of Americans as doing a good job on Covid, the economy, race relations, etc. Trump may be loved by 35% of the population, tolerated by 10%, but hes loathed by 50%.
Watch that video and realize those aren't conservatives.Malibu said:
Time for the contrarian view. The polls arent wrong. Trump isn't seen by a majority of Americans as doing a good job on Covid, the economy, race relations, etc. Trump may be loved by 35% of the population, tolerated by 10%, but hes loathed by 50%.
Simple logic is not on the side of the polls being correct.
FrioAg 00:
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
Anecdotes arent data, they're confirmation bias. Your 'simple logic' is "I dont believe in math."titan said:Watch that video and realize those aren't conservatives.Malibu said:
Time for the contrarian view. The polls arent wrong. Trump isn't seen by a majority of Americans as doing a good job on Covid, the economy, race relations, etc. Trump may be loved by 35% of the population, tolerated by 10%, but hes loathed by 50%.
Simple logic is not on the side of the polls being correct.
Watch it and see. That's not anecdotal what they are talking about.Malibu said:Anecdotes arent data, they're confirmation bias. Your 'simple logic' is "I dont believe in math."titan said:Watch that video and realize those aren't conservatives.Malibu said:
Time for the contrarian view. The polls arent wrong. Trump isn't seen by a majority of Americans as doing a good job on Covid, the economy, race relations, etc. Trump may be loved by 35% of the population, tolerated by 10%, but hes loathed by 50%.
Simple logic is not on the side of the polls being correct.
FrioAg 00:
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
In the nicest possible way, Im nt going to commit 30 minutes of my life to watching a video when the Dodgers are on. Cliff notes?titan said:Watch it and see. That's not anecdotal what they are talking about.Malibu said:Anecdotes arent data, they're confirmation bias. Your 'simple logic' is "I dont believe in math."titan said:Watch that video and realize those aren't conservatives.Malibu said:
Time for the contrarian view. The polls arent wrong. Trump isn't seen by a majority of Americans as doing a good job on Covid, the economy, race relations, etc. Trump may be loved by 35% of the population, tolerated by 10%, but hes loathed by 50%.
Simple logic is not on the side of the polls being correct.
Cliff notes: the polls are trashMalibu said:In the nicest possible way, Im nt going to commit 30 minutes of my life to watching a video when the Dodgers are on. Cliff notes?titan said:Watch it and see. That's not anecdotal what they are talking about.Malibu said:Anecdotes arent data, they're confirmation bias. Your 'simple logic' is "I dont believe in math."titan said:Watch that video and realize those aren't conservatives.Malibu said:
Time for the contrarian view. The polls arent wrong. Trump isn't seen by a majority of Americans as doing a good job on Covid, the economy, race relations, etc. Trump may be loved by 35% of the population, tolerated by 10%, but hes loathed by 50%.
Simple logic is not on the side of the polls being correct.
I was at game 1 of the '88 series. My #1 sports experience.
Oh, its not worth distracting if you are watching a game. They just make it clear that even many of the center left are not on board with the party or feel safe saying -- the only Americans who feel they can express are the Staunch Liberals --- They themselves as liberals talk about it being an unhinged bottom of the barrel leadership right now and liking some things about Trump. Anyway, point is, what they diagram out shows the polls simply cannot be correct. Completely separate from what trying to predict, which is a different matter. That is what mean by logic. Something not even measuring that big a number is not accurate.Malibu said:In the nicest possible way, Im nt going to commit 30 minutes of my life to watching a video when the Dodgers are on. Cliff notes?titan said:Watch it and see. That's not anecdotal what they are talking about.Malibu said:Anecdotes arent data, they're confirmation bias. Your 'simple logic' is "I dont believe in math."titan said:Watch that video and realize those aren't conservatives.Malibu said:
Time for the contrarian view. The polls arent wrong. Trump isn't seen by a majority of Americans as doing a good job on Covid, the economy, race relations, etc. Trump may be loved by 35% of the population, tolerated by 10%, but hes loathed by 50%.
Simple logic is not on the side of the polls being correct.
Its not even worth 30 minutes if you just recognize that point.
FrioAg 00:
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
What does Biden stand for?
Open Borders
Defunding the police
Raising Taxes
Killing the capital market
China
Making Hunter rich
Lying Dog-faced Pony Soldiers
Open Borders
Defunding the police
Raising Taxes
Killing the capital market
China
Making Hunter rich
Lying Dog-faced Pony Soldiers
Liberals are Damn Liars! Terminate Section 230! It has been ONLY 72!hours since my last banning for defending my conservative values against liberal snowflake cupcakes and the LIBERAL Mod’s that protect them! Fairness is a myth! Stop trying to silence us! Decent LAW ABIDING HUMAN BEINGS MATTER and so do our voices. When you protect the wicked, the Anarchist, the deviant, you become One of them!
ALL LIVES MATTER - I support police and motorcycle riders. Patriot Gun Owners Unite!
ALL LIVES MATTER - I support police and motorcycle riders. Patriot Gun Owners Unite!
Let the riots continue in the PNW....Trump will continue to rise in the polls.
Don't stop your enemy from making a fool of himself.
Don't stop your enemy from making a fool of himself.
Left out:BanderaAg956 said:
What does Biden stand for?
Open Borders
Defunding the police
Raising Taxes
Killing the capital market
China
Making Hunter rich
Lying Dog-faced Pony Soldiers
Energy destroying Green New Deal
Suburb tampering
This really was a year for a strong Libertarian or Constitutional had they existed.
FrioAg 00:
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
Well, on that I agree. I'm not very interested in the ascending Bernie / AOC wing. Given the primary results, it appears Im not alone or unique in that notion. I dont think its a big mystery that a majority of Americans are sympathetic to claims of racial bias in policing, but fall short on the statues must come down riots. They then look a Trumps response vis-a-vis the church photo op fiasco and secret police in Portland and dont exactly see measured and sober welcoming arms on the right to jump into.titan said:Oh, its not worth distracting if you are watching a game. They just make it clear that even many of the center left are not on board with the party or feel safe saying -- the only Americans who feel they can express are the Staunch Liberals --- They themselves as liberals talk about it being an unhinged bottom of the barrel leadership right now and liking some things about Trump. Anyway, point is, what they diagram out shows the polls simply cannot be correct. Completely separate from what trying to predict, which is a different matter. That is what mean by logic. Something not even measuring that big a number is not accurate.Malibu said:In the nicest possible way, Im nt going to commit 30 minutes of my life to watching a video when the Dodgers are on. Cliff notes?titan said:Watch it and see. That's not anecdotal what they are talking about.Malibu said:Anecdotes arent data, they're confirmation bias. Your 'simple logic' is "I dont believe in math."titan said:Watch that video and realize those aren't conservatives.Malibu said:
Time for the contrarian view. The polls arent wrong. Trump isn't seen by a majority of Americans as doing a good job on Covid, the economy, race relations, etc. Trump may be loved by 35% of the population, tolerated by 10%, but hes loathed by 50%.
Simple logic is not on the side of the polls being correct.
Its not even worth 30 minutes if you just recognize that point.
Don't forget to turn on your sarcasm meter too.
It was an exaggeration to make a point. I should have add the "mail in ballot" qualifier too. Just keep an eye on Battleground states like Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Florida, etc. Areas under heavy Liberal control will try to "over-vote" their precincts to wipe out rural and suburbs going for Trump.
Also, you have Russia, NKor, China, etc all will be trying to hack into our voting systems to screw up the votes. If you don't think China wants Trump gone, I don't know what else to say.
Mark my words: It WILL happen. But, is anyone doing anything to prevent it or at least mitigate the overall impact of it? That to me is one of the bigger issues of this upcoming election
It was an exaggeration to make a point. I should have add the "mail in ballot" qualifier too. Just keep an eye on Battleground states like Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Florida, etc. Areas under heavy Liberal control will try to "over-vote" their precincts to wipe out rural and suburbs going for Trump.
Also, you have Russia, NKor, China, etc all will be trying to hack into our voting systems to screw up the votes. If you don't think China wants Trump gone, I don't know what else to say.
Mark my words: It WILL happen. But, is anyone doing anything to prevent it or at least mitigate the overall impact of it? That to me is one of the bigger issues of this upcoming election
Broward Florida will make sure Biden wins the state.
Trump winning FL will be a miracle with the fraud that will come out of Broward and Palm Beach.
Trump winning FL will be a miracle with the fraud that will come out of Broward and Palm Beach.
Was driving around tonight and saw dozens of Trump signs and flags. Saw zero Biden signs. There is a large enthusiasm gap to be sure. There is also over sampling in polls. Liberals better get ready because they are going to get absolutely crushed at the only poll that matters.
Trump base support >>>>> Biden base support.e=mc2 said:
Was driving around tonight and saw dozens of Trump signs and flags. Saw zero Biden signs. There is a large enthusiasm gap to be sure. There is also over sampling in polls. Liberals better get ready because they are going to get absolutely crushed at the only poll that matters.
Anti-Trump voters >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Anti-Biden voters.
Theres plenty of enthusiasm and motivation on the left to go to the polls in November, but its not enthusiasm for Biden.
So would there be an implosion of that, if say, ironically, Pelosi framed Trump, and Pence became President? Your model seems anti-Trump specific, rather than pro-AOC Marxism. By that model, Pence would win then do you think?Malibu said:Trump base support >>>>> Biden base support.e=mc2 said:
Was driving around tonight and saw dozens of Trump signs and flags. Saw zero Biden signs. There is a large enthusiasm gap to be sure. There is also over sampling in polls. Liberals better get ready because they are going to get absolutely crushed at the only poll that matters.
Anti-Trump voters >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Anti-Biden voters.
Theres plenty of enthusiasm and motivation on the left to go to the polls in November, but its not enthusiasm for Biden.
FrioAg 00:
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
Interesting new horse race. You immediately gain more polish and tact on the right, which goes a long way. Then its a true who can turn out their base. I think Penn and Wisconsin are more in play, Florida goes closer to Pence lock. Arizona holds back the dam of demographics for one final ride.
On the other hand, the left, in the words of Tupac, hates Trump as a staff, record label, and MFing crew. Theres still little love there, but motivation for anti-vote is less.
Id handicap it as Pence a slight favorite in the EC, slight dog in the popular vote.
On the other hand, the left, in the words of Tupac, hates Trump as a staff, record label, and MFing crew. Theres still little love there, but motivation for anti-vote is less.
Id handicap it as Pence a slight favorite in the EC, slight dog in the popular vote.