Haters will say its Russia.
What gives you confidence for November?
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Last: 3 yr ago by Tone2002
I remember from his podcast interview, it sounded like Trafalgar's big guy Robert Cathy thought that many of his polls overstated Biden support because based on other question answers he believed he could reasonable assume someone was lying when they said they voted Biden. Robert said he wouldn't adjust it in his poll, but that he knew it was there.will25u said:
This is likely the most accurate poll out there:
https://www.foxnews.com/food-drink/pennsylvania-bakery-cookie-sales-predicted-presidential-elections
Nobody lies to themselves about what cookie they shove down the pie hole.
https://www.foxnews.com/food-drink/pennsylvania-bakery-cookie-sales-predicted-presidential-elections
Nobody lies to themselves about what cookie they shove down the pie hole.
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Dr. Nefario said:
Just going to leave this here (Facebook page stats)...
To be fair nobody under the age of 25 is on Facebook.
TargetSmart data:
They've scored 234K of the 353K unaffiliated Florida ballots. Split came out 71% Republican, 29% Dem.
Nevada, the split is 78% GOP, Dem 22% of unaffiliated.
North Carolina, it's 61/39 GOP for unaffilliated.
Independents / unaffiliated are breaking heavily for Trump so far.
They've scored 234K of the 353K unaffiliated Florida ballots. Split came out 71% Republican, 29% Dem.
Nevada, the split is 78% GOP, Dem 22% of unaffiliated.
North Carolina, it's 61/39 GOP for unaffilliated.
Independents / unaffiliated are breaking heavily for Trump so far.
Definitely makes me shake in my boots
That is huge if it holds.
I was concerned about the unaffiliated vote because they substantially grew in registered numbers since 2016 in both NC and FL.
I was concerned about the unaffiliated vote because they substantially grew in registered numbers since 2016 in both NC and FL.
If those hold Trump would win.
Trump would need the following to win (I'm assuming OH and IA are safely Trump).
1. FL, PA, AZ, and NC
2. FL or PA, AZ, NC, and one rust belt
3. FL or PA, AZ or NC, and two rust belts
If that polling holds trump wins under #2
Trump would need the following to win (I'm assuming OH and IA are safely Trump).
1. FL, PA, AZ, and NC
2. FL or PA, AZ, NC, and one rust belt
3. FL or PA, AZ or NC, and two rust belts
If that polling holds trump wins under #2
AG 2000' said:
TargetSmart data:
They've scored 234K of the 353K unaffiliated Florida ballots. Split came out 71% Republican, 29% Dem.
Nevada, the split is 78% GOP, Dem 22% of unaffiliated.
North Carolina, it's 61/39 GOP for unaffilliated.
Independents / unaffiliated are breaking heavily for Trump so far.
You got a link for this?
Mostly Foggy Recollection
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I'll post on Sunday, but I've done a lot of research on Libertrian and Indie voters from 2016. Heavily breaking for Trump. 88% approximately. That's almost 4 million votes if you use 2016 numbers.
At this point, #2 is Trump's best chance of winning. I just don't see him pulling off PA. The early voting is horrendous for him and Philadelphia cheating will be to the extreme.rgag12 said:
If those hold Trump would win.
Trump would need the following to win (I'm assuming OH and IA are safely Trump).
1. FL, PA, AZ, and NC
2. FL or PA, AZ, NC, and one rust belt
3. FL or PA, AZ or NC, and two rust belts
If that polling holds trump wins under #2
FL, AZ, NC, and Michigan are all very possible. NC scares me the most based on early voting. And early voting in 2020 is night and day difference from 2016 based on the turnout so far.
Great thread! Thanks to everyone for the information.
Did say that people blowing off the VP debate before it happened as not that important were way underestimating its importance of (1) vetting the real Democratic Presdent-to-be of that ticket, and (2) very off base to worry about her besting Pence, and that he would not get drawn into emotional off-sides.Stlkofta said:Pence's obliteration of Harris had the greatest impact of any VPOTUS debate primarily because most Americans know Biden will not finish a first term.will25u said:
She was on audition and she completely flunked it.
FrioAg 00:
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
Leftist Democrats "have completely overplayed the Racism accusation. Honestly my first reaction when I hear it today is to assume bad intentions by the accuser, not the accused."
Ukraine Gas Expert said:
Definitely makes me shake in my boots
Trump had over 100 cars two (2) weeks ago in tiny Boerne, Texas car rally!
Liberals are Damn Liars! Terminate Section 230! It has been ONLY 72!hours since my last banning for defending my conservative values against liberal snowflake cupcakes and the LIBERAL Mod’s that protect them! Fairness is a myth! Stop trying to silence us! Decent LAW ABIDING HUMAN BEINGS MATTER and so do our voices. When you protect the wicked, the Anarchist, the deviant, you become One of them!
ALL LIVES MATTER - I support police and motorcycle riders. Patriot Gun Owners Unite!
ALL LIVES MATTER - I support police and motorcycle riders. Patriot Gun Owners Unite!
The Biden campaign is hitting the panic button.
LINK
Quote:
The Biden campaign sent out a three-page memo to supporters Saturday warning that President Trump can still win and the race is "neck and neck" in certain critical battleground states, including Arizona and North Carolina.
Jen O'Malley Dillon, Joe Biden's campaign manager, cautioned supporters against complacency, pointing to uncertain polls and lessons learned from Trump's upset win in 2016.
"[T]he reality is that this race is far closer than some of the punditry we're seeing on Twitter and on TV would suggest," Dillon wrote in the memo obtained by Fox News.
Dillon cautioned that polling showing Biden ahead may not be accurate.
Just now working to organize a ground game in the battleground states? A little late for that Toots.Quote:
Dillon's state-of-the-race memo outlined what's positive in the Biden campaign in the final days of the election, including Biden's financial advantage, nearly 3,500 staff working to organize in battleground states, and the "largest and best-resourced vote protection program in history."
She said while Biden's campaign has spent more than any presidential campaign in history on advertising, the advantages could be instantly wiped away if more billionaires write checks to pro-Trump super PACs.
Yeah, good luck with that.Quote:
Over the next three weekends, the campaign needs to "double our capacity" on voter outreach in 17 battleground states and raise $234 million by Nov. 3, the memo said. If they exceed that amount, Biden can boost efforts in Texas, a traditionally red-leaning state that Democrats have been trying to flip for years.
Translation: Our internals suck donkey balls.Quote:
"We cannot become complacent because the very searing truth is that Donald Trump can still win this race," Dillion wrote, "and every indication we have shows that this thing is going to come down to the wire."
LINK
This may go down as the worst run campaign in history.
Well, they have likely the worst ticket in history.barnyard1996 said:
This may go down as the worst run campaign in history.
A senile milque-toast career politician that excites nobody.
And a VP with less charisma than Hilldawg who even voters her own race don't like.
Really does seem like they are trying to lose.barnyard1996 said:
This may go down as the worst run campaign in history.
For instance, the biggest star they have Obama himself is only now going to make an appearance and it is in Pennsylvania? How many times has Joe been to Pennsylvania now? A dozen? Since August?
aggiehawg said:Really does seem like they are trying to lose.barnyard1996 said:
This may go down as the worst run campaign in history.
For instance, the biggest star they have Obama himself is only now going to make an appearance and it is in Pennsylvania? How many times has Joe been to Pennsylvania now? A dozen? Since August?
Here's a question. Everything he is doing is cheap. Yes ads are expensive, but no ground game and no major travel.
Can the DNC pocket the case for future races?
I know Biden can't personally benefit from it. But could this set up for a highly funded midterm?
He can't personally benefit from after the election. But his family can receive campaign money as "staffers" and can continue to be paid for services rendered during the winding down period post election.fightingfarmer09 said:aggiehawg said:Really does seem like they are trying to lose.barnyard1996 said:
This may go down as the worst run campaign in history.
For instance, the biggest star they have Obama himself is only now going to make an appearance and it is in Pennsylvania? How many times has Joe been to Pennsylvania now? A dozen? Since August?
Here's a question. Everything he is doing is cheap. Yes ads are expensive, but no ground game and no major travel.
Can the DNC pocket the case for future races?
I know Biden can't personally benefit from it. But could this set up for a highly funded midterm?
As to whether the DNC automatically takes control of the funds from the Biden campaign, that's kind of up to Biden. I do know the DNC was essentially broke after Obama's last run in 2012. How Hillary was able to be their benefactor and run the DNC essentially during 2016. She was the one paying the bills.
And the DNC started out in a hole before the 2018 midterms. Neither Obama nor Hillary were great fundraisers for the DNC. Wasserman Schultz sucked at it and Perez pretty much sucked at it until lately.
ETA: Biden can distribute funds to other candidate's campaigns for the midterms, as I understand it.
Gigem314
FINAL from Olsen Field at BBP: No. 1 Texas A&M 13, Houston 11
in Billy Liucci's TexAgs Premium
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