Houston
Sponsored by

Tropical two-fer

532,797 Views | 3418 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by V8Aggie
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
4:19p, 9/19/20
No longer forecast to reach Hurrican strength.
Reply Quote
1
AgLA06
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Seabreeze • 4:50p, 9/19/20
AG
Probably better for the houses on the coast, but worse from a flooding risk.
Reply Quote
flyingaggie12
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
4:54p, 9/19/20
AG
So everything south of I-10 could see anywhere from 6-15"?
Reply Quote
Ag12thman
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Seabreeze • 5:24p, 9/19/20
AG
So, lots of rain, but not as much wind?
Reply Quote
AgLiving06
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to flyingaggie12 • 6:05p, 9/19/20
flyingaggie12 said:
So everything south of I-10 could see anywhere from 6-15"?

I found this to be helpful.

15 inches is predicted more to be on the coast.

The farther away it's more like 10.

FWIW, my work's weather group is saying 10 inches near downtown.


Reply Quote
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
6:30p, 9/19/20
I didn't take water here in Seabrook with 48 inches in 48 hours durring Harvey. Never took water with a 22 ft storm surge durring Ike while Kemah next door took 10 ft of Gulf. Every storm is different, but my pucker factor is at about a 2 of 10 right now.
Reply Quote
8
Anti-taxxer
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to AgLiving06 • 6:33p, 9/19/20
AG
AgLiving06 said:
flyingaggie12 said:
So everything south of I-10 could see anywhere from 6-15"?

I found this to be helpful.

15 inches is predicted more to be on the coast.

The farther away it's more like 10.

FWIW, my work's weather group is saying 10 inches near downtown.



10 inches over three days? Am I reading that correctly?
Reply Quote
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Anti-taxxer • 6:35p, 9/19/20
Yes
Reply Quote
Fitch
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
6:37p, 9/19/20
AG
Breaking out NWS Twitter graphic from above as of about two hours ago. Little higher resolution.


Reply Quote
1
1 edit
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Anti-taxxer • 6:37p, 9/19/20
This isn't shaping up to be an Allison or Harvey. Its going to be wet, but looking like something that shouldn't cause much problems.
Reply Quote
10
lunchbox
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:45p, 9/19/20
Storm surge already hitting Galveston. How is the golf cart???

Reply Quote
5
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:48p, 9/19/20

Levi's latest
Reply Quote
2
Post removed:
by user
In reply to lunchbox • 7:50p, 9/19/20
aggies12thman
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
8:02p, 9/19/20
AG
I need more blue golf cart in my life right now
Reply Quote
29
mAgnoliAg
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
8:26p, 9/19/20
AG
Our maroon golf cart is fine. My dad might pick it up tomorrow just in case
Reply Quote
1
AgLiving06
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
8:55p, 9/19/20
Space City update: Saturday Evening Update

This is their response to the NHC showing 10-20 inches of rain.

Quote:
Yep, this shows a solid 15 to 20 inches along the coast, and a band of 10 to 15 inches across the Houston metro area. This is what you would expect from a typical tropical storm following Beta's track.

However, there are several ways in which this forecast could go bust. One is that Beta moves far enough inland into Texas early next week that it gets cut off from a moisture supply. Two, Beta is going to be fighting dry air to its west, and this may starve the convection near the storm's center, which would lessen rain totals along the Texas coast. Finally, we could see the heaviest remains far removed from the center. This is the scenario depicted in virtually all of the global model guidance, both their operational runs and ensemble outputs. Nearly all of this guidance suggests five-day rain totals of 2 to 8 inches across the greater Houston metro area, including Galveston. These models do not do a good job of picking up small-scale convective processes, but there is a strong signal here that is hard for us to ignore.
Reply Quote
1
jetch17
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:43p, 9/19/20
AG
Was already up over dock on back bay Harborwalk today


Reply Quote
jetch17
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:51p, 9/19/20
AG
Flagged? WTF?
Reply Quote
9
sburg2007
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to jetch17 • 9:56p, 9/19/20
Did you post a pic of Uncle P after too many cold ones?
Reply Quote
4
Post removed:
by user
In reply to jetch17 • 10:00p, 9/19/20
jetch17
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to sburg2007 • 10:00p, 9/19/20
AG
sburg2007 said:
Did you post a pic of Uncle P after too many cold ones?
Reply Quote
1
P.H. Dexippus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
10:15p, 9/19/20
AG
Latest update has Beta moving NNE.
The story isn't that [DeSantis] "couldn't win" the primary. The story is that an overwhelming majority of our population is heinously stupid. 50% of them vote for communists. 75% of the remaining 50% vote for Trump, who cant win. When the majority of the opposition party insists on voting for an opposition candidate who can't win, you get exactly the government you deserve. - Well Endowed Ag
Reply Quote
Cromagnum
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
10:21p, 9/19/20
AG
These fools don't know. KHOU had said areas could see 10-20 inches of rain or less than 3 inches, and that rainfall could be limited due to dry air.
Reply Quote
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
11:31p, 9/19/20
With this one no knows till it happens.
Reply Quote
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
11:40p, 9/19/20
Center sure seems North of all these models and tracks. Though it was supposed to start turning West not going North
Reply Quote
2
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
11:41p, 9/19/20

Reply Quote
nonameag99
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Seabreeze • 1:37a, 9/20/20
Seabreeze said:

Does that mean that we are all gojng to die?
The Aggie number specified has already been linked with another TexAgs account.
Reply Quote
Rustys-Beef-o-Reeno
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to nonameag99 • 6:31a, 9/20/20
AG
Cataclysmicopalse murder hurricane beta
You will not survive
Reply Quote
AgLiving06
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:18a, 9/20/20
NHC saying the storm is expected to speed up a bit faster than projected, while still facing heavy sheer and dry air.

All that has them reducing the rainfall levels for the area.

Reply Quote
ChipFTAC01
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:42a, 9/20/20
AG
Last report I saw only like maybe 3 cumulative inches in the west side.
Reply Quote
htxag09
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:43a, 9/20/20
AG
All I know is it feels ****ing amazing outside for the first time in months
Reply Quote
31
gougler08
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:44a, 9/20/20
AG
Our weather guy (major oil co) is saying 5-7 inches for the energy corridor
Reply Quote
V8Aggie
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:48a, 9/20/20
AG
Remain calm! Blue cart lives.

we're in a small cabin outside Cat Spring. Not heading home till tomorrow morning. Will keep the pics coming.
Reply Quote
V8Aggie
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:52a, 9/20/20
AG

Reply Quote
37
AgLiving06
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to gougler08 • 7:55a, 9/20/20
gougler08 said:
Our weather guy (major oil co) is saying 5-7 inches for the energy corridor

That's in alignment with the weather guy at company who went from 10" to 7" this morning.
Reply Quote
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.