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Tropical two-fer

536,334 Views | 3418 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by V8Aggie
Seabreeze
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No longer forecast to reach Hurrican strength.
AgLA06
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AG
Probably better for the houses on the coast, but worse from a flooding risk.
flyingaggie12
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AG
So everything south of I-10 could see anywhere from 6-15"?
Ag12thman
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AG
So, lots of rain, but not as much wind?
AgLiving06
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flyingaggie12 said:

So everything south of I-10 could see anywhere from 6-15"?

I found this to be helpful.

15 inches is predicted more to be on the coast.

The farther away it's more like 10.

FWIW, my work's weather group is saying 10 inches near downtown.


Seabreeze
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I didn't take water here in Seabrook with 48 inches in 48 hours durring Harvey. Never took water with a 22 ft storm surge durring Ike while Kemah next door took 10 ft of Gulf. Every storm is different, but my pucker factor is at about a 2 of 10 right now.
Anti-taxxer
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AG
AgLiving06 said:

flyingaggie12 said:

So everything south of I-10 could see anywhere from 6-15"?

I found this to be helpful.

15 inches is predicted more to be on the coast.

The farther away it's more like 10.

FWIW, my work's weather group is saying 10 inches near downtown.




10 inches over three days? Am I reading that correctly?
Seabreeze
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Yes
Fitch
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AG
Breaking out NWS Twitter graphic from above as of about two hours ago. Little higher resolution.


Seabreeze
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This isn't shaping up to be an Allison or Harvey. Its going to be wet, but looking like something that shouldn't cause much problems.
lunchbox
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Storm surge already hitting Galveston. How is the golf cart???

Seabreeze
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Levi's latest
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aggies12thman
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AG
I need more blue golf cart in my life right now
mAgnoliAg
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AG
Our maroon golf cart is fine. My dad might pick it up tomorrow just in case
AgLiving06
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Space City update: Saturday Evening Update

This is their response to the NHC showing 10-20 inches of rain.

Quote:

Yep, this shows a solid 15 to 20 inches along the coast, and a band of 10 to 15 inches across the Houston metro area. This is what you would expect from a typical tropical storm following Beta's track.

However, there are several ways in which this forecast could go bust. One is that Beta moves far enough inland into Texas early next week that it gets cut off from a moisture supply. Two, Beta is going to be fighting dry air to its west, and this may starve the convection near the storm's center, which would lessen rain totals along the Texas coast. Finally, we could see the heaviest remains far removed from the center. This is the scenario depicted in virtually all of the global model guidance, both their operational runs and ensemble outputs. Nearly all of this guidance suggests five-day rain totals of 2 to 8 inches across the greater Houston metro area, including Galveston. These models do not do a good job of picking up small-scale convective processes, but there is a strong signal here that is hard for us to ignore.
jetch17
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AG
Was already up over dock on back bay Harborwalk today


jetch17
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AG
Flagged? WTF?
sburg2007
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Did you post a pic of Uncle P after too many cold ones?
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jetch17
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AG
sburg2007 said:

Did you post a pic of Uncle P after too many cold ones?
P.H. Dexippus
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AG
Latest update has Beta moving NNE.
The story isn't that [DeSantis] "couldn't win" the primary. The story is that an overwhelming majority of our population is heinously stupid. 50% of them vote for communists. 75% of the remaining 50% vote for Trump, who cant win. When the majority of the opposition party insists on voting for an opposition candidate who can't win, you get exactly the government you deserve. - Well Endowed Ag
Cromagnum
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AG
These fools don't know. KHOU had said areas could see 10-20 inches of rain or less than 3 inches, and that rainfall could be limited due to dry air.
Seabreeze
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With this one no knows till it happens.
Seabreeze
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Center sure seems North of all these models and tracks. Though it was supposed to start turning West not going North
Seabreeze
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nonameag99
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Seabreeze said:



Does that mean that we are all gojng to die?
The Aggie number specified has already been linked with another TexAgs account.
Rustys-Beef-o-Reeno
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AG
Cataclysmicopalse murder hurricane beta
You will not survive
AgLiving06
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NHC saying the storm is expected to speed up a bit faster than projected, while still facing heavy sheer and dry air.

All that has them reducing the rainfall levels for the area.

ChipFTAC01
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AG
Last report I saw only like maybe 3 cumulative inches in the west side.
htxag09
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AG
All I know is it feels ****ing amazing outside for the first time in months
gougler08
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AG
Our weather guy (major oil co) is saying 5-7 inches for the energy corridor
V8Aggie
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AG
Remain calm! Blue cart lives.

we're in a small cabin outside Cat Spring. Not heading home till tomorrow morning. Will keep the pics coming.
V8Aggie
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AG

AgLiving06
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gougler08 said:

Our weather guy (major oil co) is saying 5-7 inches for the energy corridor

That's in alignment with the weather guy at company who went from 10" to 7" this morning.
 
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