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Tropical two-fer

539,710 Views | 3418 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by V8Aggie
Fitch
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AG
More of these to come it feels like.
gougler08
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There's an orange blob this morning by the Yucatan that's headed north slowly

Ag_07
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That's supposed to get caught up in the front that's coming this weekend and then the subsequent high pressure behind the front is supposed to win out and keep it off shore and away from us.
Ag12thman
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Ag_07 said:

That's supposed to get caught up in the front that's coming this weekend and then the subsequent high pressure behind the front is supposed to win out and keep it off shore and away from us.
This is what I've read as well.

Come on down cold fronts. Things simply need to be cooled down in the Gulf. It's especially bad this year.
Cromagnum
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gougler08 said:

There's an orange blob this morning by the Yucatan that's headed north slowly




Thats the same one that was the yellow one that went south in the gulf before Sally came over. It put it in reverse.

TXAG14
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Oh man. GFS has this spinning up and hitting Louisiana. Front should keep it away from us.
Seabreeze
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BOC blob next week potentially.

Seabreeze
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Euro run next Friday, GFS picking it up too.
gougler08
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Seabreeze said:

Euro run next Friday, GFS picking it up too.



Which way that bad boy heading? Louisiana taking one for the team again?
Seabreeze
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9 days out who knows, but as of right now might be a double whammy for the Lake Charles, Baton Rouge area. Like i said this is 9 days out so who knows. It could end up being a nothing burger, or something to watch.
Seabreeze
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Models had this thing fizzle 2 days ago, now they are all over it. So who knows.
Seabreeze
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htxag09
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Looks like someone just gave several 3 year olds a box of crayons and a map of the gulf.
Milwaukees Best Light
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Yay Science!
Seabreeze
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Right lol
jetch17
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That looks like my kids, or myself on a hefty tequila night, got after those maps
Quincey P. Morris
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AVM is like "Psych b****es!"
Dr. Venkman
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V8Aggie said:

Thanks to the power of TexAgs, the blue cart will live to see another booze cruise.

In all seriousness- praying for those in the path.

Do you rent that thing out? I'm heading down to Galveston next weekend with my wife and two kids (3 and 6) and would make it easier to go to and from the beach.
Zobel
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Ferris Wheel Allstar
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Dr. Venkman said:

V8Aggie said:

Thanks to the power of TexAgs, the blue cart will live to see another booze cruise.

In all seriousness- praying for those in the path.

Do you rent that thing out? I'm heading down to Galveston next weekend with my wife and two kids (3 and 6) and would make it easier to go to and from the beach.
If you need to rent one, I use https://waterboyrentals.com/

they are always good at p/u drop off times.
V8Aggie
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Dr. Venkman said:

V8Aggie said:

Thanks to the power of TexAgs, the blue cart will live to see another booze cruise.

In all seriousness- praying for those in the path.

Do you rent that thing out? I'm heading down to Galveston next weekend with my wife and two kids (3 and 6) and would make it easier to go to and from the beach.


Sorry we don't rent it out. I agree about Ricks rentals (waterboyrentals).
Dr. Venkman
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Thanks
jefe95
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90L seems to be getting its act together.

Keep an eye on this one. May be a rain maker
TexAg2001
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Seabreeze said:




Love the warning about not using this map to make any decisions. LOL
one MEEN Ag
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TexAg2001 said:

Seabreeze said:




Love the warning about not using this map to make any decisions. LOL
Even that storm can't make a decision.
jetch17
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damn i guess im just realizing how quickly we rifled through the alphabet since Laura - fixing to turn the page and start over
Caliber
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jetch17 said:

damn i guess im just realizing how quickly we rifled through the alphabet since Laura - fixing to turn the page and start over
turn the page and start over? All look greek to me.
SLAM
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Seabreeze said:







Looks like a woman with a GPS.
SLAM
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You better not verify. Looks like we may be in for another widespread flooding event. Oh joy!
BowSowy
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BowSowy said:

SLAM said:

Anti-taxxer said:

Who is this dude? He doesn't even have a check mark. He just likes the weather?


He's a meteorologist, go read his bio at his website. Given that he studies models, I'm trust his opinion on them.

Also, just from following storms the last few years, the ECMWF is generally the best model nowadays as the GFS has really fallen down. The HMRF is really good for intensity but not so great for track. The UKMET is also a good model.

It's a shame but the Euros are beating us in the tropical models now.
I think you're just here trying to stir up fear porn. This morning you were saying the UKMET has been by far the most accurate and the ECMFW has been mostly garbage ( https://texags.com/forums/38/topics/3125797/replies/57216877#57216877 ). Now that UKMET shifted East and ECMFW shows a hit closer to Houston, you're saying that ECMFW is "generally the best".


Oh look, SLAM showing up again to stir up fear porn
SLAM
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BowSowy said:

BowSowy said:

SLAM said:

Anti-taxxer said:

Who is this dude? He doesn't even have a check mark. He just likes the weather?


He's a meteorologist, go read his bio at his website. Given that he studies models, I'm trust his opinion on them.

Also, just from following storms the last few years, the ECMWF is generally the best model nowadays as the GFS has really fallen down. The HMRF is really good for intensity but not so great for track. The UKMET is also a good model.

It's a shame but the Euros are beating us in the tropical models now.
I think you're just here trying to stir up fear porn. This morning you were saying the UKMET has been by far the most accurate and the ECMFW has been mostly garbage ( https://texags.com/forums/38/topics/3125797/replies/57216877#57216877 ). Now that UKMET shifted East and ECMFW shows a hit closer to Houston, you're saying that ECMFW is "generally the best".


Oh look, SLAM showing up again to stir up fear porn


Nah, my post was sarcastic. The models are all drunk right now and have no idea where the storm is going because there are basically zero steering currents. It's going to meander around the gulf for a week it seems.
gougler08
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That thing is stumbling all over the place
Ferris Wheel Allstar
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can I get a TL;DR summary of this storms projected path?
schmendeler
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Ferris Wheel Allstar said:

can I get a TL;DR summary of this storms projected path?
TLDR: no one has any real clue what it's going to do, because it's expected to be kept bottled up in that area for the next week. as such, it's too far out to be able to predict where it goes after that.
The Wonderer
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Ferris Wheel Allstar said:

can I get a TL;DR summary of this storms projected path?
 
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