I keep seeing people saying it was cool in Houston after Ike. I remember it being hotter than hell. Maybe it's that I sleep with it at 68.AgCPA95 said:I was only 10 but I still remember how hot it was in the days after Alicia in 1983. We were in Kingwood and without power for days.The TC Jester said:
It was pretty crazy how cool it was in the days immediately following Ike, I forgot about that. Made things much easier at the time.
Tropical two-fer
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The TC Jester said:
It was pretty crazy how cool it was in the days immediately following Ike, I forgot about that. Made things much easier at the time.
For the first two days it was great. We sat out in the cul-de-sac with the neighbors and had the firepit going to stay warm at night. Day three it got hot and the mosquitoes came out in force.
We had no power in Spring for 10 days. That sucked but what was worse was we had no trash service for three weeks. Everyone's spoiled food sat on the curbs and rotted in the heat. It smelled like a death camp.
I feel like I'm getting confused. when is **** supposed to go down exactly?
10 AM has Laura still over Port Arthur
No real movement in the track.
It was nice weather after Ike, but it was still miserable to sleep without A/C
That says 7amBohunkAg said:
10 AM has Laura still over Port Arthur
some of the best memories i have is with my brother and parents in Ike drinking and listening to Captain Micky Fishing report as the power went in and out in Sugar Land. Mickey was calling all the guides he knew up and down Trinity bay getting reports
It says 10
Uh...no...hit refreshTurkeyBaconLeg said:That says 7amBohunkAg said:
10 AM has Laura still over Port Arthur
10am forecast. Not when it's actually going to be over PA.
AgCPA95 said:I was only 10 but I still remember how hot it was in the days after Alicia in 1983. We were in Kingwood and without power for days.The TC Jester said:
It was pretty crazy how cool it was in the days immediately following Ike, I forgot about that. Made things much easier at the time.
I still call the day after Alicia as the hottest and most humid day I have ever experienced in Houston. My Mom volunteered me to clean up 4 of her friends yards. I was 11.
Ike had an unexpected cool front. It was great. I was busy following the Air Force vs UH game (Sumlin's first year) that was moved to SMU and played at 10am. There were 500 attending that game.
We had a couple of nice days immediately after Harvey, too. I remember thinking what a nice reprieve that was.
Worst was visiting my parents a day or two after Katrina. House had 4 ft of water. Not only was it so hot and humid that even my poor 9 month old son was dripping wet, it smelled like a freaking sewer. Just gross.
On another note, anyone else think this might end their company's current WFH arrangement?
Our building has a generator. There is no way those of us who are WFH will be allowed to not work for two weeks, if the power is out for that long again.
Worst was visiting my parents a day or two after Katrina. House had 4 ft of water. Not only was it so hot and humid that even my poor 9 month old son was dripping wet, it smelled like a freaking sewer. Just gross.
On another note, anyone else think this might end their company's current WFH arrangement?
Our building has a generator. There is no way those of us who are WFH will be allowed to not work for two weeks, if the power is out for that long again.
swimmerbabe11 said:
I feel like I'm getting confused. when is **** supposed to go down exactly?
From NHC 1000 Discussion
Quote:
The current and forecast synoptic
pattern should steer Laura west-northwestward today followed by a
turn toward the northwest tonight and toward the north by Wednesday
night and Thursday. This will result in the hurricane making
landfall in the area of southwestern Louisiana or the upper Texas
coast late Wednesday night or Thursday morning. The new forecast
track before landfall has been nudged a little to the west of the
previous track in response to a westward nudge in the guidance.
However, it still lies a little east of the consensus models at the
time of landfall.
Landfall will be late Wed night, early Thurs morning...impacts will probably start Wed afternoon depending on where you live
Wednesday after lunch will start feeling the first winds (if it tracks right at Houston)
so are we trusting that new NHS track? if so we are good
That is what I am wondering. Are we all good?
gigemJTH12 said:
so are we trusting that new NHS track? if so we are good
I'm not almost every ensemble has it further west. This is the first storm in a long time that I can think of where it's this much of a **** show
Seems like we keep seeing what now seem to be "click bait" tweets saying "expect a major shift westward with the next NHC update," but they have actually not moved the projected path much at all in in the last 24 hours or so.
Great follows on Twitter right now, IMO:
Of course, our own:
https://twitter.com/Doc_Sanger
https://twitter.com/SpaceCityWX
https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits
Great follows on Twitter right now, IMO:
Of course, our own:
https://twitter.com/Doc_Sanger
https://twitter.com/SpaceCityWX
https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits
Kenneth_2003 said:
From NHC 1000 DiscussionQuote:
The current and forecast synoptic
pattern should steer Laura west-northwestward today followed by a
turn toward the northwest tonight and toward the north by Wednesday
night and Thursday. This will result in the hurricane making
landfall in the area of southwestern Louisiana or the upper Texas
coast late Wednesday night or Thursday morning. The new forecast
track before landfall has been nudged a little to the west of the
previous track in response to a westward nudge in the guidance.
However, it still lies a little east of the consensus models at the
time of landfall.
So, do we expect another westerly track shift in the 4PM update?
Kenneth_2003 said:
From NHC 1000 DiscussionQuote:
The current and forecast synoptic
pattern should steer Laura west-northwestward today followed by a
turn toward the northwest tonight and toward the north by Wednesday
night and Thursday. This will result in the hurricane making
landfall in the area of southwestern Louisiana or the upper Texas
coast late Wednesday night or Thursday morning. The new forecast
track before landfall has been nudged a little to the west of the
previous track in response to a westward nudge in the guidance.
However, it still lies a little east of the consensus models at the
time of landfall.
Does this mean they are still being conservative with the track?
Don't focus on the skinny black line. Focus on the cone, which Houston metro is still within. The hurricane force wind field will extend significantly and the TS force winds will extend well beyond that.gigemJTH12 said:
so are we trusting that new NHS track? if so we are good
RitaAggie_3 said:gigemJTH12 said:
so are we trusting that new NHS track? if so we are good
I'm not almost every ensemble has it further west. This is the first storm in a long time that I can think of where it's this much of a **** show
Part of me thinks NHS are delaying the further west trajectory just so that Houston doesnt go full panic mode and keep the galveston folks from getting out.
NHC seems very conservative staying on the eastern side of the track, most models have it more west and continuing to do so. Someone is going to be proven wrong. Much like Ike, 20-30 miles makes a huge difference.
Well Rita was a long time ago to be fairBohunkAg said:RitaAggie_3 said:gigemJTH12 said:
so are we trusting that new NHS track? if so we are good
I'm not almost every ensemble has it further west. This is the first storm in a long time that I can think of where it's this much of a **** show
gigemJTH12 said:
so are we trusting that new NHS track? if so we are good
The cone represents roughly a 2/3rd probability of the location of the CENTER of the storm. So they are still giving a reasonable chance for a direct hit to Galveston Bay. Plus it will be a fairly large storm all impacts will extend a ways out from the cone. So in short it's too soon to say
Thanks, Where is that one located?
Transtar isn't showing unusual traffic....yet
Gah. Eric Berger is going to wait until right at 10:30 to post.
ajolly said:
Part of me thinks NHS are delaying the further west trajectory just so that Houston doesnt go full panic mode and keep the galveston folks from getting out.
Local officials need to decide ASAP if they are going to call for evacuations. Waiting until the 4:00 update may be too late.
Sure seems like itAnti-taxxer said:Kenneth_2003 said:
From NHC 1000 DiscussionQuote:
The current and forecast synoptic
pattern should steer Laura west-northwestward today followed by a
turn toward the northwest tonight and toward the north by Wednesday
night and Thursday. This will result in the hurricane making
landfall in the area of southwestern Louisiana or the upper Texas
coast late Wednesday night or Thursday morning. The new forecast
track before landfall has been nudged a little to the west of the
previous track in response to a westward nudge in the guidance.
However, it still lies a little east of the consensus models at the
time of landfall.
Does this mean they are still being conservative with the track?
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