Houston
Sponsored by

Tropical two-fer

537,145 Views | 3418 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by V8Aggie
Beat40
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
11:19a, 10/6/20
Next 24 hours are going to be very interesting to follow. For Houston's sake, let's hope this thing moves a little more east. I always hate thinking because of other people.

Really, I'd just rather this thing dissipate and not let anyone worry about it.
Reply Quote
5
Cromagnum
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
11:33a, 10/6/20
AG
Look at the future feeder band across the entire gulf. Looks like whatever gamma left behind is juicing it up.

Reply Quote
HossAg
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
12:18p, 10/6/20
AG
Lake Charles can't take another ass blasting from a cat 3 or 4. Literally just got power back here last week, and so much debris on the side of the roads from people fixing their houses.
Reply Quote
6
Phat32
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
12:25p, 10/6/20
AG
We were planning to be in Cancun on Thursday. Switched to Cabo a month ago. What luck.
Reply Quote
Ducks4brkfast
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Phat32 • 12:32p, 10/6/20
AG
yukmonkey said:
We were planning to be in Cancun on Thursday. Switched to Cabo a month ago. What luck.
That is always the right choice.
Reply Quote
1
schmendeler
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Phat32 • 12:47p, 10/6/20
AG
yukmonkey said:
We were planning to be in Cancun on Thursday. Switched to Cabo a month ago. What luck.
really makes you think.
Reply Quote
14
P.H. Dexippus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
12:56p, 10/6/20
AG
140mph
The story isn't that [DeSantis] "couldn't win" the primary. The story is that an overwhelming majority of our population is heinously stupid. 50% of them vote for communists. 75% of the remaining 50% vote for Trump, who cant win. When the majority of the opposition party insists on voting for an opposition candidate who can't win, you get exactly the government you deserve. - Well Endowed Ag
Reply Quote
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:14p, 10/6/20
Getting close to Lake Charles
Reply Quote
ChemAg15
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:17p, 10/6/20
AG
I guess L really does stand for Louisiana.
Reply Quote
15
LC Wannabe
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:31p, 10/6/20
S
I hate saying this, but I'm gonna need Delta to go ahead and head east.

I live in Sulphur, and we are still cleaning up from Laura. Hell, I just got use to having power again.
Reply Quote
12
Al Bula
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:37p, 10/6/20
AG
So let me get this straight...

Hurricane Delta is going to hit somewhere between Delta Downs and the Mississippi River Delta?!

2020 has not been funny in a long time.
Reply Quote
9
Teddy Perkins
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:54p, 10/6/20
AG
Quote:
The bottom line with Delta's track is that right now every available bit of evidence we have suggests this storm is going to turn toward Louisianabut its future path is not 100 percent locked down.

Houston effects

Along this track Houston is likely to experience only very mild effects from Deltaperhaps some rain showers on Thursday, Friday or Saturday. Seas will reach their maximum on Friday, but should be below the levels the region experienced during Hurricane Laura.
SCW 2pm update
Reply Quote
kelkel25
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:25p, 10/6/20
I was at our Sulphur office two days after the storm and it was a total mess. That was a tight, compact storm that if you were in it, it was no Bueno. This one at least for now seems very similar, another hit to Lake Charles would be awful.
Reply Quote
kelkel25
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:25p, 10/6/20
I was at our Sulphur office two days after the storm and it was a total mess. That was a tight, compact storm that if you were in it, it was no Bueno. This one at least for now seems very similar, another hit to Lake Charles would be awful.
Reply Quote
BayAg_14
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:29p, 10/6/20
Cold gulf waters and wind sheer will be Louisiana's friend.
Reply Quote
5
ChemAg15
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:41p, 10/6/20
AG
4pm update shifts the track west again...
Reply Quote
jetch17
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:42p, 10/6/20
AG
The gulf ain't exactly 'cold' these days
Reply Quote
1
Caliber
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to jetch17 • 3:49p, 10/6/20
AG
jetch17 said:
The gulf ain't exactly 'cold' these days
It isn't cold.... but it isn't like the Caribbean that is helping it undergo rapid intensification...
Tropical Cyclone heat potential (not regular temp)

Reply Quote
1
1 edit
Cromagnum
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:49p, 10/6/20
AG
Been shifting west since early this morning. Still looks like its gonna hook but how far will it get before it does?

Reply Quote
4
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
4:31p, 10/6/20

Reply Quote
98Ag99Grad
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
4:47p, 10/6/20
AG
Euro has been consistent with LA/TX border landfall. Everyone else east of there.
Reply Quote
Beat40
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to 98Ag99Grad • 4:57p, 10/6/20
98Ag99Grad said:
Euro has been consistent with LA/TX border landfall. Everyone else east of there.


Similar to Laura where it was west of all the other models until the last day where it tightened up with the consensus. Will be interesting to see what happens with Delta.
Reply Quote
Fitch
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
5:22p, 10/6/20
AG
Can anyone recommend a map service that would show the storm surge in the Yucatan?

My family got evac'd from the beach and found a hotel in Tulum. Not sure I agree with that decision. They're cutting all power, water, gas and internet preemptively at 10pm.
Reply Quote
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Fitch • 5:31p, 10/6/20
From the 5pm Noaa update


STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels
in areas of onshore winds by as much as 9 to 13 ft above normal tide
levels along the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from Cabo
Catoche to Progresso, and 6 to 9 ft above normal tide levels along
the eastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from Tulum to Cabo
Catoche. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large
and destructive waves.
Reply Quote
plain_o_llama
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Fitch • 6:10p, 10/6/20
Looks like downtown Tulum is 5-6 meters above sea level

https://en-il.topographic-map.com/maps/rzmm/Tulum/
Reply Quote
Fitch
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
6:32p, 10/6/20
AG
Thanks, y'all
Reply Quote
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Fitch • 7:05p, 10/6/20

Reply Quote
SJEAg
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:17p, 10/6/20
AG
Near Cat5 yet hurricane force winds only extending out 30 miles seems crazy compact.
Reply Quote
Anti-taxxer
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Fitch • 7:24p, 10/6/20
AG
Fitch said:
Can anyone recommend a map service that would show the storm surge in the Yucatan?

My family got evac'd from the beach and found a hotel in Tulum. Not sure I agree with that decision. They're cutting all power, water, gas and internet preemptively at 10pm.

Tulum isn't *that* far from Cancun, is it? And still on the water. That's an odd plan. Prayers for them!
Reply Quote
1
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to SJEAg • 7:25p, 10/6/20
Wilma that hit around there in '05, the eye wall was only 2 miles wide with substained wind of 185, gust of 215 at 882 mbar.
Reply Quote
Fitch
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Anti-taxxer • 7:46p, 10/6/20
AG
They're about 3 miles inland in a concrete hotel. Wanted to drive further south today but roads were standstill. Took 3 hours to get gas.
Reply Quote
1
Sazerac
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Anti-taxxer • 8:14p, 10/6/20
AG
It's on the border with Belize. It's a better evac spot. The town is small and will be safe.

The small resorts on the beach will take on some surge.

Reply Quote
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Fitch • 8:22p, 10/6/20
Similar storms, same paths to this point. But each one is different. Hopefully they hunker down, hope for the best, be prepared for the worst. I'll put them in prayers tonight. I know it has to killing you right now.
Reply Quote
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Fitch • 8:27p, 10/6/20
Talum looks to be south and West of the eye at landfall. If they don't take to much surge at first they will be on the North wind side pushing water out as it moves past.
Reply Quote
Ag_07
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
8:31p, 10/6/20
AG
We just booked a trip to Playa Mujeres in Feb for a wedding.

May be changing those plans.
Reply Quote
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.