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Haven't read the whole thread yet, but IMO the biggest challenge for HBO will be to have the viewers wait for a whole year, after the red wedding, and the "death" of Arya. I was able to continue reading through Book 3, and so the Red Wedding wasn't as bad for me (Plus Mommy Stark was really annoying me in the chapters leading up to the Red Wedding).
Since the RW is purportedly episode 9, they'd still be able to reveal Arya was alive in the finale and end the season on a higher note to carry people over to the next season.