Houston
Sponsored by

Icepocalypse watch 2022/2023

185,248 Views | 1531 Replies | Last: 1 yr ago by Jock 07
Quincey P. Morris
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to BohunkAg • 9:59p, 1/17/23
AG
BohunkAg said:
Quincey P. Morris said:
I love cold weather, but today's pretty damned nice. And I get to enjoy my outside tv I just hung up.




Is that on the side of your house?


Side of the garage which is in the back yard. Got a weather proof bag to cover it when not in use and it comes off the mount easy if necessary.
Reply Quote
3
CDUB98
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Mostly Foggy Recollection • 7:34a, 1/18/23
AG
I understand the map. They're departure from normal.

Maybe I'm just seeing the colors differently. I'm seeing them as anywhere from 7 to 11 degree colder than norm.

Could need to calibrate my eyeballs though.
Reply Quote
2
Ag_07
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to CDUB98 • 8:13a, 1/18/23
AG
I think what he's trying to say is that it says 7-11 but the models don't typically account for the cold air very well so it's probably more of a drop than the model output.

I still don't see this as that cold and agree with the others. I would rather enjoy a shot of cold air in February as long it doesn't cover the city in a layer of ice for days straight.
Reply Quote
1
Fitch
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:57p, 1/19/23
AG
Reposting this but not worth [whatever a tweet is worth] this far out.


Reply Quote
evestor1
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Fitch • 9:57a, 1/20/23
the dude gets it right 69% of the time!
Reply Quote
1
AgLA06
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to evestor1 • 10:15a, 1/20/23
AG
evestor1 said:
the dude gets it right 69% of the time!
That's a lot more accurate than our local meteorologist.
Reply Quote
1
Ferris Wheel Allstar
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Fitch • 10:31a, 1/20/23
AG
Fitch said:
Reposting this but not worth [whatever a tweet is worth] this far out.


Perfect timing for cookoff
Reply Quote
6
AgLA06
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Ferris Wheel Allstar • 10:32a, 1/20/23
AG
Ferris Wheel Allstar said:
Fitch said:
Reposting this but not worth [whatever a tweet is worth] this far out.


Perfect timing for cookoff
Like clockwork. Seems like it's 50/50 each year.
Reply Quote
1
TXAG 05
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Ferris Wheel Allstar • 10:40a, 1/20/23
AG
Ferris Wheel Allstar said:
Fitch said:
Reposting this but not worth [whatever a tweet is worth] this far out.


Perfect timing for cookoff


We got a couple big propane heaters last year and they were worth every penny. Kept the whole tent nice and toasty.
Reply Quote
AgLA06
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to TXAG 05 • 10:42a, 1/20/23
AG
TXAG 05 said:
Ferris Wheel Allstar said:
Fitch said:
Reposting this but not worth [whatever a tweet is worth] this far out.


Perfect timing for cookoff


We got a couple big propane heaters last year and they were worth every penny. Kept the whole tent nice and toasty.
I guess it pays to be head cook. Nice and warm around the pits.
Reply Quote
The Wonderer
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Ferris Wheel Allstar • 10:43a, 1/20/23
AG
Ferris Wheel Allstar said:
Fitch said:
Reposting this but not worth [whatever a tweet is worth] this far out.


Perfect timing for cookoff
I'm going to laugh when everyone that said they weren't going to go this year if the weather was like last year changes their minds and then start asking for bands the week of.
Reply Quote
1
AgLA06
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to The Wonderer • 10:44a, 1/20/23
AG
The Wonderer said:
Ferris Wheel Allstar said:
Fitch said:
Reposting this but not worth [whatever a tweet is worth] this far out.


Perfect timing for cookoff
I'm going to laugh when everyone that said they weren't going to go this year if the weather was like last year changes their minds and then start asking for bands the week of.
As I said.

Like clockwork.
Reply Quote
1
1 edit
Texaggie7nine
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to TXAG 05 • 10:48a, 1/20/23
TXAG 05 said:
Ferris Wheel Allstar said:
Fitch said:
Reposting this but not worth [whatever a tweet is worth] this far out.


Perfect timing for cookoff


We got a couple big propane heaters last year and they were worth every penny. Kept the whole tent nice and toasty.
I hear hand grenades work as well.
7nine
Reply Quote
BayAg_14
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
12:37p, 1/21/23
Little sooner than cook off.

Reply Quote
txags92
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to BayAg_14 • 12:50p, 1/21/23
AG
BayAg_14 said:
Little sooner than cook off.

Trail ride weather...
Reply Quote
Fitch
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:33p, 1/21/23
AG
The 12z GFS has us going below freezing early Tuesday (1/31) and staying under through Saturday (2/4).

Not a forecast but starting to get noticed in the long range.
Reply Quote
Tom Cardy
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Fitch • 3:40p, 1/21/23
AG
Also the only model showing that, with most others showing mild/warm for the time. Not saying it won't happen, but this is the first blip on the radar. Think of all the hurricanes that get spun up on these models just to never happen, or to have different outcomes.

If we see consistency over several model runs and then other models starting to show the same, then maybe
Reply Quote
2
Seabreeze
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
4:12p, 1/21/23
18z, poof it's gone.
Reply Quote
1
txags92
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Seabreeze • 4:20p, 1/21/23
AG
Seabreeze said:
18z, poof it's gone.
What site are you using to access the 18z? Because on tropical tidbits, the 18z is only showing up to the 28th right now. Rest is still running.
Reply Quote
CowtownAg06
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
4:35p, 1/21/23
AG
18z hasn't caught up to where the 12 went crazy cold, but nothing else followed it. The GFS op is the drunk uncle for a reason.
Reply Quote
CowtownAg06
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
4:35p, 1/21/23
AG
Don't know where the emoji came from.
Reply Quote
Fitch
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Tom Cardy • 4:43p, 1/21/23
AG
Yup, spot on.

Personally not interested in anything sub-freezing.
Reply Quote
2
wessimo
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
6:12p, 1/21/23
AG
Reply Quote
1
CDUB98
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
8:00p, 1/21/23
AG
No freezing weather please.
Reply Quote
8
CowtownAg06
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
8:50a, 1/22/23
AG
GFS Op lost over 147 HDDs in Texas on the 0z. Basically it's a cumulative of 147 degrees warmer over the 15 days. That's too warm, but just an example of not taking operational outliers too seriously.
Reply Quote
1
1 edit
Tom Cardy
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to CowtownAg06 • 9:37a, 1/22/23
AG
The gfs and euro have both been consistent showing a front pushing through sometime that week, but probably not going to be an arctic blast. Could be a shot of cold air, maybe a light freeze. Perfectly normal for this time of year

The larger pattern continues to favor typical La Niña winter, and the SE ridge seems to be another consistent presence in the models. Warmer than average for the most part with some shots of cooler air here and there
Reply Quote
1 edit
Mostly Foggy Recollection
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Tom Cardy • 10:16a, 1/22/23
Tom Cardy said:
The gfs and euro have both been consistent showing a front pushing through sometime that week, but probably not going to be an arctic blast. Could be a shot of cold air, maybe a light freeze. Perfectly normal for this time of year

The larger pattern continues to favor typical La Niña winter, and the SE ridge seems to be another consistent presence in the models. Warmer than average for the most part with some shots of cooler air here and there


SE ridge is largely immaterial late in Winter. It's much more of a factor in December than late January and February.

The one good thing it does late in Winter is set up baroclinic boundaries in the south which sets up areas of heavy snow and ice. But when you get big fronts late in the season, they overwhelm the ridge rather easily compared to early in the season.
Reply Quote
cone
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
12:44p, 1/22/23
AG
it's pretty warm outside in the sun right now
Reply Quote
gougler08
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to cone • 1:34p, 1/22/23
AG
It's a glorious day
Reply Quote
10
Fitch
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:43p, 1/22/23
AG
Not so much Icepocalypse-related but seemed germane for weather happenings… batten down the hatches…



Reply Quote
2
wessimo
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
1:53p, 1/23/23
AG
Do not want

Reply Quote
Seersucker Ag 2011
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to wessimo • 1:58p, 1/23/23
AG
Frankie MacDonald live from His Own TV Station or gtfo
Reply Quote
6
CDUB98
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:02p, 1/23/23
AG
Timmer may be correct, but I cannot get over how much of a raging d-bag he is.
Reply Quote
1
Tom Cardy
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to wessimo • 2:17p, 1/23/23
AG
"Extreme forecaster"
Reply Quote
wessimo
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:28p, 1/23/23
AG
Ok here's one from a more reputable source

Reply Quote
2
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.