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Tropical two-fer

539,807 Views | 3418 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by V8Aggie
98Ag99Grad
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In reply to Ferris Wheel Allstar • 2:52p, 9/17/20
AG
Ferris Wheel Allstar said:
can I get a TL;DR summary of this storms projected path?
no one knows anything. Enjoy some drier weather this weekend with our front and watch the US Open.
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SLAM
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In reply to schmendeler • 3:05p, 9/17/20
schmendeler said:
Ferris Wheel Allstar said:
can I get a TL;DR summary of this storms projected path?
TLDR: no one has any real clue what it's going to do, because it's expected to be kept bottled up in that area for the next week. as such, it's too far out to be able to predict where it goes after that.


It looks like this guy driving around.

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Jock 07
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3:25p, 9/17/20
AG
Tine armchair meteorologists using big acronyms to sound like they know what's going on with authority.
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Seabreeze
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3:38p, 9/17/20
Latest Euro. Near landfall off Brownsville for some Mexican food then a Beignet in New Orleans for desert


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MAROON
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3:47p, 9/17/20
AG
the only thing certain is that it probably screws up my south texas dove hunt starting next Wednesday
What do you boys want for breakfast BBQ ?.....OK Chili.
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98Ag99Grad
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In reply to Seabreeze • 3:47p, 9/17/20
AG
How strong of a storm is the Euro forecasting?
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Ag83
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In reply to SLAM • 3:55p, 9/17/20
AG
SLAM said:


You better not verify. Looks like we may be in for another widespread flooding event. Oh joy!
That model was initialized at 06z yesterday.
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V8Aggie
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In reply to MAROON • 4:01p, 9/17/20
AG
MAROON said:
the only thing certain is that it probably screws up my south texas dove hunt starting next Wednesday
My story for the last 3 years...
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chimpanzee
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In reply to 98Ag99Grad • 4:03p, 9/17/20
98Ag99Grad said:
How strong of a storm is the Euro forecasting?
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#90L

Only one of these intensity models has it getting to a cat 1, not sure if the Euro is one of them.

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Cromagnum
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In reply to Seabreeze • 6:17p, 9/17/20
AG
If that happens it will be a lot of close calls for us this year. Just get all that **** out the way now so I can fish in Rockport in peace mid-October.
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SLAM
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6:39p, 9/17/20


Thanks model ensembles! This really cleared it up!
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P.H. Dexippus
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In reply to SLAM • 6:47p, 9/17/20
AG
NHC is the inverse
The story isn't that [DeSantis] "couldn't win" the primary. The story is that an overwhelming majority of our population is heinously stupid. 50% of them vote for communists. 75% of the remaining 50% vote for Trump, who cant win. When the majority of the opposition party insists on voting for an opposition candidate who can't win, you get exactly the government you deserve. - Well Endowed Ag
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Teddy Perkins
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6:49p, 9/17/20
AG
Evening update from Spacecity.

Quote:
After Sunday we're deep into the realm of speculation, as we're not sure what will happen by Monday or so.
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htxag09
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In reply to Teddy Perkins • 6:53p, 9/17/20
AG
Teddy Perkins said:
Evening update from Spacecity.

Quote:
After Sunday we're deep into the realm of speculation, as we're not sure what will happen by Monday or so.

Sounds very familiar
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SLAM
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In reply to P.H. Dexippus • 6:59p, 9/17/20
Mr. AGSPRT04 said:
NHC is the inverse


Nice, looks like we're in for loop to loops! We just need to wait for confirmation on a clockwise loop or a counter clockwise loops.
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Teddy Perkins
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In reply to htxag09 • 7:01p, 9/17/20
AG
At least they offer the greatest likelihood.

Quote:
Because of the track uncertainty, the entire Texas and Louisiana coasts need to be paying close attention to the potential for heavy rainfall next week. We don't have to tell you about the potential for mischief from slow-moving tropical systems. But with that said, we are still very much in the wait-and-see mode with this systemthe greatest likelihood is that the Houston area sees a few inches of rain next week, not a dozen or more.
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SLAM
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7:02p, 9/17/20
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htxag09
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In reply to Teddy Perkins • 7:06p, 9/17/20
AG
Nm
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LostInLA07
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In reply to SLAM • 7:16p, 9/17/20
AG
SLAM said:


Thanks model ensembles! This really cleared it up!


Is it going to teleport to the east coast of Florida?
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Funky Winkerbean
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In reply to SLAM • 8:26p, 9/17/20
AG
SLAM said:


Thanks model ensembles! This really cleared it up!


Looks like Vince Young is in charge of modeling.
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Zobel
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In reply to SLAM • 8:31p, 9/17/20
AG
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Fitch
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8:46p, 9/17/20
AG
Stand on the coast, feet in the surf, with a barometer... You'll know more than the national mets with this one.
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Jock 07
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In reply to Funky Winkerbean • 8:48p, 9/17/20
AG
Troutslime said:
SLAM said:


Thanks model ensembles! This really cleared it up!


Looks like Vince Young is in charge of modeling.


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rangerdanger
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In reply to SLAM • 9:00p, 9/17/20
AG
SLAM said:


Thanks model ensembles! This really cleared it up!


Fear porn intensify to maximum!!!!
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Seabreeze
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9:49p, 9/17/20
Like Slam posted. Never fear, the models are here. So it's gona rain gif is looking good for someone next week.


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Seabreeze
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9:55p, 9/17/20
Got some spin to it tonight.
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AgLiving06
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10:13p, 9/17/20
Not the best update at 10pm.
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Bonfired
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In reply to AgLiving06 • 10:33p, 9/17/20
AG
AgLiving06 said:
Not the best update at 10pm.


Correct...the cone looks like a comma. I'm not getting too concerned *yet*, but the meandering around is worrisome wherever it ends up.
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Seabreeze
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10:37p, 9/17/20
Noaa just like screw it. Circle the whole damn thing.
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Fitch
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10:37p, 9/17/20
AG
After you read the above comments you really can't help but see a d-i-c-k. Dammit.
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Seabreeze
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6:39a, 9/18/20

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94chem
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In reply to Seabreeze • 6:40a, 9/18/20
Seabreeze said:
Like Slam posted. Never fear, the models are here. So it's gona rain gif is looking good for someone next week.




"Do not use this map to make decisions." That has to be the understatement of the day. The map doesn't even use the map to make decisions.
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Cromagnum
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7:06a, 9/18/20
AG
What in the hell?

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AgLiving06
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7:56a, 9/18/20
Spacecity now more confident we will see some effects from this.

Link: Link

Quote:
The current rain forecast calls for about 2 to 5 inches for most of the Houston area, escalating to 10 to 15 inches as you get toward Galveston or Freeport. Areas north and west of Houston are currently expected to see 1 to 3 or so. Spread out over a week, this is probably manageable to some degree for areas south and east of Houston. But much will depend on how intense the rain is and for how long, questions we are unable to answer at this time. But this gives you a good opening bid on what to expect. Again, if the track comes farther north or shifts south, these totals will change.

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Ag_07
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8:32a, 9/18/20
AG
Awesome!! Just in time for our summer getaway in Galveston next week.
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