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Tropical two-fer

533,375 Views | 3418 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by V8Aggie
tamuags08
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In reply to flyingaggie12 • 12:54p, 8/21/20
AG
flyingaggie12 said:
Looks like we'll have two hurricanes in the gulf at the same time.
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Trolley Problems
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12:55p, 8/21/20
NHC 10am update has it weakening some relative to their last update.

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texsn95
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2:15p, 8/21/20
AG
Laura westward shift in models. Fascinating scenario to read about regardless with these 2 storms.

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lunchbox
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2:26p, 8/21/20
There are probably going to be parts of TX and LA in both cones in the next couple of days...
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gougler08
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In reply to texsn95 • 2:27p, 8/21/20
AG
Fujiwhara superstorm inbound
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Aggie_3
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In reply to AustinCountyAg • 2:33p, 8/21/20
AustinCountyAg said:
exactly.. all signs point to it moving east. not west


The track forecast has moved westward on it twice today
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Ducks4brkfast
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In reply to Aggie_3 • 2:41p, 8/21/20
AG
Aggie_3 said:
AustinCountyAg said:
exactly.. all signs point to it moving east. not west


The track forecast has moved westward on it twice today
We're talking two different storms, no?
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FHKChE07
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2:43p, 8/21/20
AG
Both have moved west today.
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Cardiag
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2:58p, 8/21/20
AG
2020 Super Hurricane is just a warm up for whatever 2020 wants to do next.
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tk for tu juan
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2:59p, 8/21/20
You get wind, you get wind, everybody gets wind

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/173715.shtml?tswindloop?#wcontents
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3:02p, 8/21/20
P.H. Dexippus
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3:09p, 8/21/20
AG
Would not be a bad weekend to have any deferred maintenance tree trimming/thinning done if close to the house.
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W
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3:17p, 8/21/20
AG
at least the ground is bone dry
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JJxvi
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3:24p, 8/21/20
AG
Both storms are going to hit Louisiana
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Ducks4brkfast
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In reply to JJxvi • 3:28p, 8/21/20
AG
JJxvi said:
Both storms are going to hit Louisiana
theyre moving west
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Seabreeze
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3:31p, 8/21/20
Uhhhh.
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Cromagnum
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3:53p, 8/21/20
AG
Someone gonna get double barreled.
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flyingaggie12
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In reply to Cromagnum • 3:54p, 8/21/20
AG
Looks like two of the models have something against Dallas.
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Seabreeze
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3:56p, 8/21/20
Both new NHC tracks shift west.

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P.H. Dexippus
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3:57p, 8/21/20
AG
4pm update looks like a direct hit is more likely but shows weakening storm.
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Aggie_3
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4:03p, 8/21/20
My hayfields are loving this shift
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Bigballin
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4:11p, 8/21/20
AG
Yeah, I hoping Lee County can get some good rain out of this event.
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Anti-taxxer
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In reply to Cromagnum • 4:16p, 8/21/20
AG
Cromagnum said:
Someone gonna get double barreled.

These seem to be pretty much in agreement that 14 is coming in around Houston.

Today, Eric Berger had a Q&A and said that there's less than a 10% chance Houston feels any effects of 14.

How is that possible?
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bluefire579
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In reply to Anti-taxxer • 4:25p, 8/21/20
AG
Anti-taxxer said:
Cromagnum said:
Someone gonna get double barreled.

These seem to be pretty much in agreement that 14 is coming in around Houston.

Today, Eric Berger had a Q&A and said that there's less than a 10% chance Houston feels any effects of 14.

How is that possible?
Looking at the charts, that number seems more likely for Laura. Or maybe it was a misspeak and he meant less than 10% that we're not affected?
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aggiedata
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4:41p, 8/21/20
AG
Double barrel
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Anti-taxxer
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In reply to bluefire579 • 4:43p, 8/21/20
AG
bluefire579 said:
Anti-taxxer said:
Cromagnum said:
Someone gonna get double barreled.

These seem to be pretty much in agreement that 14 is coming in around Houston.

Today, Eric Berger had a Q&A and said that there's less than a 10% chance Houston feels any effects of 14.

How is that possible?
Looking at the charts, that number seems more likely for Laura. Or maybe it was a misspeak and he meant less than 10% that we're not affected?

He had to have meant Laura. He kept repeating that there was less than 10% chance we feel any effects. That stuck out to me, because I thought it was odd that even for a weak storm, we wouldn't feel anything.
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P.H. Dexippus
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In reply to Anti-taxxer • 5:19p, 8/21/20
AG
From the most recent SCW blog post:
Quote:

The overall probability of the Houston region, including Galveston, seeing significant, sustained effects from one or both of these storms remains fairly low. What do I mean by this? At present, the odds of Galveston seeing hurricane force winds in the next week is under 10 percent. The odds of the Houston region seeing 5 inches or more of rainfall, total, is probably less than 10 percent too. We're not saying Houston will not experience severe weather in the next week. What we're saying is that given the spread of possibilities, the overall chances are fairly low. It's our job to let you know if that changes. And we will.
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BowSowy
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In reply to flyingaggie12 • 5:24p, 8/21/20
AG
flyingaggie12 said:
Looks like two of the models have something against Dallas.
WGAS
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Al Bula
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In reply to AustinCountyAg • 5:35p, 8/21/20
AG
AustinCountyAg said:
exactly.. all signs point to it moving east. not west
thank you for proving that being a dumbass on the internet is still a thing.

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jetch17
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6:04p, 8/21/20
AG
Lina's REALLY gotta be sh*tting herself now
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flyingaggie12
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In reply to BowSowy • 6:04p, 8/21/20
AG
Lol I was talking about the two straight 90* lines after it makes its way in land.
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AgLiving06
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6:10p, 8/21/20
Channel 2 was in full hurricane hype mode today.

Even interviewed the Cajun navy.

Insanity
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Cromagnum
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6:13p, 8/21/20
AG
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Jugstore Cowboy
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In reply to AgLiving06 • 6:20p, 8/21/20
AG
AgLiving06 said:
Channel 2 was in full hurricane hype mode today.

Even interviewed the Cajun navy.

Insanity
I liked the part w/ the mayor's warnings about Hurricane prepping DURING A PANDEMIC!!!

This time - pay attention folks - you'll also want to remember to pick up some hand soap or hand sanitizer!
And masks! Wear a mask when you go fight some mongoloid at WalMart for the last C cell batteries and bleach.
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Al Bula
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In reply to Cromagnum • 6:24p, 8/21/20
AG
Cromagnum said:
kudos, dude. You captured the essence of the TWC fear porn guru himself. Can't blue star this enough.
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