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Tropical two-fer

532,771 Views | 3418 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by V8Aggie
Agasaurus Tex
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In reply to sts7049 • 9:22p, 8/17/20
AG
Thanks, I use Tropical Tidbits website all the time. Once I found out the two systems are Invests 97L and 98L I found the model runs on their website and it shows both systems turning north and not threatening Texas, completely different from the NHC forecasts!
Sorry, don't know how to provide links.
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Seabreeze
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7:24a, 8/18/20
Morning model runs. Euro shows land fall near New Orleans

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wessimo
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7:47a, 8/18/20
AG
Spaghetti

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Cromagnum
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9:29a, 8/18/20
AG
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94chem
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In reply to Cromagnum • 9:37a, 8/18/20
Cromagnum said:


Just float a dingy full of 'rona out there, and she'll fall apart like a cardboard box in a firenado.
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lunchbox
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9:38a, 8/18/20
Just a reminder...that no matter what, 2 weeks out there is always a model that does a couple of loops and heads straight for Houston. I call it the Houston loopty-loop model.
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sts7049
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In reply to Seabreeze • 9:39a, 8/18/20
AG
it's really far too early to give that much credence
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wessimo
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8:15p, 8/18/20
AG
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Martin Q. Blank
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In reply to wessimo • 8:42a, 8/19/20
Those aren't mountains...
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BohunkAg
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8:53a, 8/19/20
AG
One i use is www.spaghettimodels.com. Mike's Tropical Weather Page. He has really good updates. Right now, they have the minor system making landfall in Louisiana and the Major one (the one further north right now) making landfall in South Florida around Tuesday morning, based on current modeling. High pressure over the Carolinas steering the northerly one that way.
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Ducks4brkfast
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9:11a, 8/19/20
AG
Just give us rain!
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Cromagnum
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9:46a, 8/19/20
AG
Ugh. Hope we arent dealing with two in the gulf next week.

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Ag_07
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10:03a, 8/19/20
AG
Discussion on the first system (97L) from SpaceCity


Quote:
Quite frankly, we still do not have a good handle on where it will go, or how strong it will become. Generally, what is now a fairly disorganized tropical wave should move west and reach the Yucatan Peninsula sometime this weekend. After that there are a couple of possibilities.

If the system strengthens over the next couple of days, it is more likely to be pulled north, into the central Gulf of Mexico, and then toward Louisiana or the Florida panhandle. Under this scenario it could well become a hurricane. If the system remains weaker, it likely plows into the Bay of Campeche, and takes a more westward track into Mexico or South Texas by Monday or Tuesday of next week as more of a rainmaker. Needless to say all of these scenarios are still in play, and considerable uncertainty will likely remain until 97L starts to develop.

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ChipFTAC01
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In reply to Martin Q. Blank • 11:05a, 8/19/20
AG
What movie is that from? I've seen it but can't place it.
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In reply to ChipFTAC01 • 11:18a, 8/19/20
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In reply to ChipFTAC01 • 11:20a, 8/19/20
P.H. Dexippus
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11:27a, 8/19/20
AG
Be ware of the Fujiwhara Effect
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Cromagnum
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In reply to P.H. Dexippus • 11:30a, 8/19/20
AG
Mr. AGSPRT04 said:
Be ware of the Fujiwhara Effect


2020 gonna 2020
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BowSowy
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12:27p, 8/19/20
AG
Cromagnum and wessimo have to be nutting themselves right now
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Cromagnum
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In reply to BowSowy • 12:37p, 8/19/20
AG
BowSowy said:
Cromagnum and wessimo have to be nutting themselves right now


Not really. "Some" rain would be appreciated, but don't need Harvey 2.0 or Ike 2.0
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Martin Q. Blank
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In reply to ChipFTAC01 • 12:50p, 8/19/20
ChipFTAC01 said:
What movie is that from? I've seen it but can't place it.
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wessimo
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In reply to BowSowy • 1:08p, 8/19/20
AG
BowSowy said:
Cromagnum and wessimo have to be nutting themselves right now


I keep an eye on the tropics this time of year but I wouldn't say I find it arousing. Maybe you are projecting? :P
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kansas02gt
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4:32p, 8/19/20
AG
Jamie Dutton looks pretty scared there....
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AgLiving06
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7:52a, 8/20/20
Spacecity update:

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TXAG14
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7:53a, 8/20/20
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Seabreeze
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In reply to TXAG14 • 8:08a, 8/20/20

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TXAG14
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9:36a, 8/20/20
Going to get our first forecast from the NHC soon.
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Cromagnum
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In reply to Seabreeze • 9:45a, 8/20/20
AG
Seabreeze said:



Oof. Those high pressure areas don't leave much in way of escape paths out to sea.
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Anti-taxxer
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In reply to Seabreeze • 9:59a, 8/20/20
AG
Seabreeze said:


What is this?
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V8Aggie
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In reply to Anti-taxxer • 10:03a, 8/20/20
AG
Anti-taxxer said:
Seabreeze said:


What is this?
Trying not to sound like an idiot, but basically areas of low and high pressure. The hurricanes will not move into an area of high pressure.

High pressure is what kept Harvey hovering over Texas for so long.
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TXAG14
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10:03a, 8/20/20
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aggiedata
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10:09a, 8/20/20
AG
Bulls eye

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Anti-taxxer
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In reply to TXAG14 • 10:13a, 8/20/20
AG
TXAG14 said:

Am I reading this correctly: predicted to make landfall as a TS?
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ThunderCougarFalconBird
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In reply to Anti-taxxer • 10:16a, 8/20/20
AG
Anti-taxxer said:

TS?
TS?

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Cromagnum
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In reply to Anti-taxxer • 10:27a, 8/20/20
AG
Strong TS to weak Cat 1 is what they are currently saying.
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