Been really encouraged by the numbers lately. This days-of-the-week chart really helps to show how the last 4 weeks it has been a day over day decrease in deaths, which is great.
This is the projections from
https://covid19-projections.com/ which I find to be the most robust in terms of handlign uncertainty and looking at the many aspects of the virus (cases, R0, etc). According to them, we are starting to cross a line of R0 = 1, which indicates at a minimum we are heading for a plateau in deaths relatively soon. Hopefully we have 1-3 more weeks of decrease before we see it in the death count, because if we can get to less than 300 deaths per day that's equal to 100,000 per year.
I thought this tweet was very interesting from COVID19 Tracking Project, as it suggests that a lot of the decrease is coming from the "hard hit" states and that everywhere else is flat. If it's flat at a sustainable level then maybe that's not a big problem. Very encouraged by the testing capability increases. It should greatly help our ability to find the mild/asymptomatic cases and quarantine via contact tracing if we have an abundance of testing.