Daily Charts

607,473 Views | 2786 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by AggieUSMC
cone
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AG
Moderna just said they are recommending a booster
Skillet Shot
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cone said:

primarily, if you go seek treatment at a stand-alone ER, and you are too sick to be successfully treated and discharged from there, they won't be able to find you a hospital bed in Texas or in Oklahoma or in Louisiana

so if you're really sick, go to a big hospital with a ICU and try to get in there and best of luck

in short, now's not the best time to be sick

and that's just the transfer situation. that's really temporary (I hope) compared to the front-line HC staff hitting the end of their rope.
I don't doubt there are some hospitals reaching peak capacity and having to expand or send to other neighboring hospitals.

I believe the Houston hospitals will be able to manage it by increasing capacity as demand increases. At least, according to the TMC, they have several processes in place to increase capacity as needed. This spike should be over by the end of the month. I'm sure it will be hell for those ICU workers in the next few weeks.



Another thought, if we have a doctor/nurse shortage, why don't they transfer the doctors/nurses that prefer not to get vaccinated to the ICU Covid ward? Instead of firing them.
cone
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i'm just saying if you are really sick with covid, do not go to a free standing or urgent care

if you are really sick (i.e. people walking in with sats in the 50s), they will give you the O2 they can and try to help but they can't transfer you to a real ICU because no one in the tri-state area is accepting transfers

so go to the biggest hospital in town that has a ICU
Fitch
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AG
I forget, didn't the ICU flirt with needing Phase 3 capacity last winter? Seems like there's some room to run.

Realize staffing is a whole different issue.
Forum Troll
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AG
I don't remember how close they got to phase 3 but I distinctly remember that the total TMC ICU at its worse was 50/50 COVID.
gougler08
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AG
Fitch said:

I forget, didn't the ICU flirt with needing Phase 3 capacity last winter? Seems like there's some room to run.

Realize staffing is a whole different issue.


I think you're right, very close to phase 3 but never had to flex in to it. The percentage of Covid has gone from 22-25% over the last few days so it's slowly creeping up as well

But that chart tells me that if doctors / nurses are available, then Houston has room
PJYoung
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Yeah it seems like staffing is becoming an issue as much as bed capacity.
plain_o_llama
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Fitch said:

I forget, didn't the ICU flirt with needing Phase 3 capacity last winter? Seems like there's some room to run.

Realize staffing is a whole different issue.
If my records are correct the previous reported peaks for number of covid positives in ICU beds were

716 on 2020-07-16
571 on 2021-01-18

for reference:

370 on 2021-08-04


Didn't keep up with the Phase information. If TMC archived this somewhere I've never found it.
plain_o_llama
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Web Archive is hit or miss on the TMC info but I did find these for reference:


https://web.archive.org/web/20200726214839/https://www.tmc.edu/coronavirus-updates/overview-of-tmc-icu-bed-capacity-and-occupancy/




https://web.archive.org/web/20210120005831/https://www.tmc.edu/coronavirus-updates/overview-of-tmc-icu-bed-capacity-and-occupancy/



gougler08
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AG
plain_o_llama said:

Web Archive is hit or miss on the TMC info but I did find these for reference:


https://web.archive.org/web/20200726214839/https://www.tmc.edu/coronavirus-updates/overview-of-tmc-icu-bed-capacity-and-occupancy/




https://web.archive.org/web/20210120005831/https://www.tmc.edu/coronavirus-updates/overview-of-tmc-icu-bed-capacity-and-occupancy/






Wow, Covid was 50%+ in the winter peak and 25% now, that's a good data point
cc_ag92
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AG
I don't remember. Were elective surgeries happening in the winter? Could ICU stays due to surgery be impacting the number of ICU patients now?
Yesterday
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cc_ag92 said:

I don't remember. Were elective surgeries happening in the winter? Could ICU stays due to surgery be impacting the number of ICU patients now?


Yes.
cc_ag92
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AG
Thanks.. that is hopeful.
Romello
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texan12
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According to the CDC for ages 0-49, from Jan 2020 to July 2021, there have been 29,249 covid deaths nation-wide. That's .00009% of the total population.

To include 50-64 year olds the number goes to 126,426 or .0004% of the US.


https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Sex-and-Age/9bhg-hcku
74OA
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texan12 said:

According to the CDC for ages 0-49, from Jan 2020 to July 2021, there have been 29,249 covid deaths nation-wide. That's .00009% of the total population.

To include 50-64 year olds the number goes to 126,426 or .0004% of the US.


https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Sex-and-Age/9bhg-hcku

It's 100% if you're one of the 614,000 US dead so far.
Old Buffalo
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AG
You know there's been like 4.5m other deaths that are also 100% dead.

EDIT: Updated deaths per CDC over same time period.
beerad12man
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74OA said:

texan12 said:

According to the CDC for ages 0-49, from Jan 2020 to July 2021, there have been 29,249 covid deaths nation-wide. That's .00009% of the total population.

To include 50-64 year olds the number goes to 126,426 or .0004% of the US.


https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Sex-and-Age/9bhg-hcku

It's 100% if you're one of the 614,000 US dead so far.
So it's 100% for the 330,000,000 still alive? What does this add to the conversation other than pushing an agenda? What is your point? Some people died of covid, so we shouldn't live life based on relative risk with actual data at hand?
beerad12man
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Old Buffalo said:

You know there's been like 3.4m other deaths that are also 100% dead.
Probably more than 3.4 other deaths since February of 2020. More than 3 mm Americans will die on average every year the rest of our lives. Sheer math, 330 million people. Unless people think we start living more than 100 years on average.
74OA
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AG
beerad12man said:

74OA said:

texan12 said:

According to the CDC for ages 0-49, from Jan 2020 to July 2021, there have been 29,249 covid deaths nation-wide. That's .00009% of the total population.

To include 50-64 year olds the number goes to 126,426 or .0004% of the US.


https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Sex-and-Age/9bhg-hcku

It's 100% if you're one of the 614,000 US dead so far.
So it's 100% for the 330,000,000 still alive? What does this add to the conversation other than pushing an agenda? What is your point? Some people died of covid, so we shouldn't live life based on relative risk with actual data at hand?
My point is that if you get the safe, free, effective vaccine you are almost 100% sure of not dying or getting a debilitating covid infection.
Cyp0111
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It's hard for some to understand but par the course.
PJYoung
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AG
PJYoung said:



Gordo14
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PJYoung said:

PJYoung said:






Hopefully that rounding off at the top indicates Florida is near a peak, and not something worse - like turning people they would normally take away due to limited capacity or slow to report data.
PJYoung
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P.U.T.U
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Almost like Covid is seasonal...shocker. Most places peaked at the same time last year, should not be a surprise.

Wonder if there was any way to find an accurate way to find out the percentage of people with the vaccine or already had Covid. I know several people who had it that also got the vaccine so you cannot do an either/or measurement.
cone
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AG
if that holds through November/December, then huge
PJYoung
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P.U.T.U said:

Almost like Covid is seasonal...shocker. Most places peaked at the same time last year, should not be a surprise.

I don't think that's it this time.

It seems like most of the states that are not doing well in hospitalizations with this surge are also lagging in vaccination % and visa versa.
Cyp0111
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it is seasonal but the caseload is hitting the heavily unvaccinated states hard.
P.U.T.U
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All of the areas spiking now spiked July/August last year as well as typical flu season peak in January. Combine that with a more infectious strand and you have what we have today. Compared to the northeast that peaked in March and the western states starting to see a rise and that show some seasonality.
c-jags
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P.U.T.U said:

Almost like Covid is seasonal...shocker. Most places peaked at the same time last year, should not be a surprise.



or it's almost like it's hot as balls in the south during the summer and we all go inside. and then the north goes inside during the winter. we looked terrible last summer, they looked terrible during the winter.
cone
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we looked terrible in the winter too though
Fitch
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porque no los dos?
Fenrir
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North Dakota is like 41st in vaccination rate and lowest in the country in hospitalization rate.
Fitch
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Statewide Trends




Regional Trends... San Antonio & LRGV... just chill.







Trauma Service Area Hospitalizations



harge57
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So just like the UKs third wave. Another peak of cases with a small fraction of the fatalities.

 
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