Daily Charts

606,620 Views | 2786 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by AggieUSMC
nortex97
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to AgsMyDude • 12:56p, 1/13/21
AG
I'd agree with the big picture timeline. Caveat is that there aren't many infections in the summer for coronaviruses anyway. It's likely peaking now/next 45 days.
Reply Quote
ETFan
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to AgsMyDude • 12:49p, 1/14/21
Those seem like reasonable projections to me. Hope they become reality.
Reply Quote
Duncan Idaho
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to AgsMyDude • 1:02p, 1/14/21
Quote:

This translates to a final US COVID-19 death toll of roughly 600,000 (100,000) reported deaths, or ~300,000 additional deaths since mid-December 2020


Can someone explain the "600,00 (100,000) reported deeths" part to me?

I get the 600,000 reported death number. That seems reasonable.

I don't understand the 100,000 number.
Reply Quote
pocketrockets06
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Duncan Idaho • 3:52p, 1/14/21
AG
It's + / - 100,000. Formatting error
Reply Quote
AgsMyDude
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:07p, 1/15/21
AG
Have we hit the peak?







Reply Quote
Beat40
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to AgsMyDude • 3:13p, 1/15/21
I sure hope so.
Reply Quote
plain_o_llama
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:05p, 1/21/21
Dallas County Summary Report

https://www.dallascounty.org/Assets/uploads/docs/hhs/2019-nCoV/C-19-risklevelmgmt/012021-DallasCounty-COVID-19-Hospitalization-Data.pdf



Reply Quote
3
Duncan Idaho
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to pocketrockets06 • 9:21p, 1/21/21
Thanks.
Reply Quote
Duncan Idaho
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to AgsMyDude • 9:21p, 1/21/21
Fingers crossed.
Reply Quote
1
gougler08
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:26p, 1/21/21
AG
We are past the New Years surge now and the weather is warming up already in the south, we should be past the peak now

I hope
Reply Quote
7
PJYoung
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
1:05p, 1/22/21
AG
Feels like we are past the peak to me. Keep those vaccinations rolling.
Reply Quote
7
Fitch
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to PJYoung • 1:13p, 1/22/21
AG
PJYoung said:
Feels like we are past the peak to me. Keep those vaccinations rolling.
Agreed.
Reply Quote
AgsMyDude
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
1:16p, 1/22/21
AG
Stole these from covidtrackingproject.com

For hospitalizations, US as a whole, along with every region is in decline.







Every state but 1 is improving. 28 of the 30 marked as "staying the same" are in the negative and will be in "Falling" soon





Reply Quote
8
4 edits
AgsMyDude
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:09p, 1/22/21
AG
And there it is, almost half the states in a huge decline hospitalization wise
Reply Quote
Keegan99
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:28p, 1/22/21
AG
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/new-cases-50-states

Reply Quote
2
Not a Bot
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
10:30p, 1/27/21
AG
Reply Quote
BiochemAg97
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Not a Bot • 10:38p, 1/27/21
AG
see the 3 peaks in the daily tests mirrored in the daily new cases. Not exactly surprising that positive cases falls with # of tests. Notice the hospitalizations don't show local maximum.

But there are three local maxima in the daily deaths too. That seems odd.
Reply Quote
Keegan99
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to BiochemAg97 • 10:55p, 1/27/21
AG
Reporting dips due to holidays?
Reply Quote
1
1 edit
HotardAg07
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to BiochemAg97 • 7:47a, 1/28/21
AG
As Keegan said, likely reporting dips. You don't see the same dips in the hospitalization data.
Reply Quote
Tabasco
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
12:06p, 1/28/21
AG
How much of the sharp decline in positive cases in the past week is due to new stringent criteria for positive cases noted by WHO on inauguration day (not sure if CDC ever jumped on the bandwagon, and I'm not sure MSM would even report it if so).
Reply Quote
2
HotardAg07
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Tabasco • 12:21p, 1/28/21
AG
Tabasco said:
How much of the sharp decline in positive cases in the past week is due to new stringent criteria for positive cases noted by WHO on inauguration day (not sure if CDC ever jumped on the bandwagon, and I'm not sure MSM would even report it if so).
I think zero. I don't think that has been implemented anywhere. Again, you can see the dip in hospitalizations across the country, which is an indication that the reversal is real.
Reply Quote
2
GAC06
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to HotardAg07 • 12:29p, 1/28/21
AG
I'm not saying it's happening but wouldn't stricter testing also result in a drop in hospitalizations? Are hospitals still testing everyone admitted?
Reply Quote
1
AggieBiker
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to GAC06 • 12:33p, 1/28/21
AG
GAC06 said:
I'm not saying it's happening but wouldn't stricter testing also result in a drop in hospitalizations? Are hospitals still testing everyone admitted?
I don't think so. People aren't being hospitalized because they test positive, they are being put in because the effects are so bad, low O2, fevers, lung issues etc. And yes they are still testing everyone for Covid that is admitted to a hospital whether they are having a baby, a broken arm or whatever.
Reply Quote
3
HotardAg07
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to AggieBiker • 12:37p, 1/28/21
AG
AggieBiker said:
GAC06 said:
I'm not saying it's happening but wouldn't stricter testing also result in a drop in hospitalizations? Are hospitals still testing everyone admitted?
I don't think so. People aren't being hospitalized because they test positive, they are being put in because the effects are so bad, low O2, fevers, lung issues etc. And yes they are still testing everyone for Covid that is admitted to a hospital whether they are having a baby, a broken arm or whatever.
I agree.

I think the degree to the drop off in reported cases is also inflated by an over-shoot in reported cases following the holidays due to reporting backlog. There is a significant dip in Christmas/New Years in new REPORTED cases, then a surge afterwards, then a drop. If you smooth that out, the apparent 33% drop in cases may be more like 10-15%
Reply Quote
2
GAC06
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to AggieBiker • 12:41p, 1/28/21
AG
I mean if someone goes to the hospital after a car wreck and tests positive, does that go down as a covid hospitalization?
Reply Quote
1
HotardAg07
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:17p, 1/28/21
AG

This rough sketch is what I mean about how it's possible smoother/more timely reporting could make the current drop not as aggressive as it currently seems.
Reply Quote
1
Keegan99
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
6:44p, 1/28/21
AG
Another contributor? Regional peaks. The US curve is the sum of several smaller waves.




Reply Quote
2
Fitch
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:10p, 1/28/21
AG
State-wide Trends




Regional Trends









Trauma Service Area Hospitalizations



Reply Quote
4
plain_o_llama
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
10:12a, 1/30/21
Dallas County Summary Report

https://www.dallascounty.org/Assets/uploads/docs/hhs/2019-nCoV/C-19-risklevelmgmt/012821-DallasCounty-COVID-19-Hospitalization-Data.pdf




Things seem to be headed in a better direction

Reply Quote
5
AggieBiker
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to GAC06 • 4:18p, 1/30/21
AG
GAC06 said:
I mean if someone goes to the hospital after a car wreck and tests positive, does that go down as a covid hospitalization?
So you think covid is causing people to have severe car wrecks that put them in the hospital? So many that it pushes up the Covid hospitalization numbers? I suppose that's possible so maybe somebody should look into it.
Reply Quote
2
GAC06
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to AggieBiker • 4:42p, 1/30/21
AG
AggieBiker said:
GAC06 said:
I mean if someone goes to the hospital after a car wreck and tests positive, does that go down as a covid hospitalization?
So you think covid is causing people to have severe car wrecks that put them in the hospital? So many that it pushes up the Covid hospitalization numbers? I suppose that's possible so maybe somebody should look into it.


I'm asking if hospitals are using the less stringent testing protocols mentioned in the WHO message. If everyone at the hospital that tests positive for covid is counted as a covid hospitalization, then less testing of asymptomatic people and following the WHO guidance: ("the cut-off should be manually adjusted to ensure that specimens with high Ct values are not incorrectly assigned SARS-CoV-2 detected due to background noise.") would reduce "covid" hospitalizations.

I don't know how Covid hospitalizations are counted. I don't know if hospitals are adjusting the precision of their tests. But an adjustment could affect hospitalization numbers hypothetically.
Reply Quote
1
1 edit
AgsMyDude
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Tabasco • 5:17p, 1/30/21
AG
Tabasco said:
How much of the sharp decline in positive cases in the past week is due to new stringent criteria for positive cases noted by WHO on inauguration day (not sure if CDC ever jumped on the bandwagon, and I'm not sure MSM would even report it if so).


Very little. We saw the exact same drop off from the other two peaks.

Virus gonna virus.
Reply Quote
1
AgsMyDude
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:30p, 2/2/21
AG


Reply Quote
1
PJYoung
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:32a, 2/3/21
AG
Reply Quote
7
plain_o_llama
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:12p, 2/6/21
Latest Dallas County Summary:

https://www.dallascounty.org/Assets/uploads/docs/hhs/2019-nCoV/C-19-risklevelmgmt/020521-DallasCounty-COVID-19-Hospitalization-Data.pdf



Trends continuing in the right direction.




Reply Quote
2
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.