Daily Charts

606,365 Views | 2786 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by AggieUSMC
Squadron7
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AG
AgsMyDude said:


El Paso now 2nd in TX in hospitalizations (16.5% of the total). Amarillo, Longview, Lubbock ahead of SA is pretty significant as well.



% over time. This shows that it's really hard for a TSA area to maintain a high hospitalization rate as the virus burns through the area.



I'd love to see this bottom chart with the cities listed at left but using a geographic sorting East to West just to see what it would look like.
AgsMyDude
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AG
So Galveston at the top (eastern most) and El paso at the bottom (western most)?
Squadron7
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AG
AgsMyDude said:

So Galveston at the top (eastern most) and El paso at the bottom (western most)?

Yeah.....I want to see if it presents some sort of pseudo-timeline. Because it looks like the spikes are moving East to West over time.
Beat40
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If those who were tracking the numbers early one would provide an update, I would be grateful!

I wish I had all the templates you guys use already set up and could help you update them.
plain_o_llama
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Latest Dallas County Summary
COVID-19-DCHHS-Summary-111020.pdf



plain_o_llama
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Also...


Fitch
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AG
Statewide Trends





Regional Trends







Hospitalizations by TSA Region




Source: https://dshs.texas.gov/coronavirus/additionaldata/


NASAg03
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Yep just like all of Europe and North America, regardless of policy.

Except Sweden and Florida, neither of which are seeing significant increases in death yet have minimal closures and no mask requirements.
Mike Shaw - Class of '03
Beat40
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Thank you for providing some of the latest charts. Much appreciated!
Beat40
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Thanks, Fitch, for providing the charts. I appreciate your hard work!
cc_ag92
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AG
Really appreciate these

Thank you
Cepe
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AG
It will be interesting to see what happens from this point. Before when there were spikes in different areas people kind of "self locked down".

I don't get there is an appetite for that this time and people just want it to run its course.

I've pulled back going out as much due to a very high risk member of my family in the house. I think that's the way it should be - for me to take the responsibility rather than someone else lock us down.

It may get pretty scary out there though.
NewOldAg
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AG
Interesting to see the split between continued rise in cases but decrease in fatalities. In the summer spike, the number if fatalities was on pace with the number of cases.
culdeus
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AG
NewOldAg said:

Interesting to see the split between continued rise in cases but decrease in fatalities. In the summer spike, the number if fatalities was on pace with the number of cases.

Breaking the case load down by age is important in this situation. The cases, if concentrated below age 65, then would suggest much fewer deaths. This is one of the reasons why the death rate in Africa is so low, in that they have few over age 65 contracting CV19. We could now be finding ourselves in this situation. I suppose, until everyone piles in their Tahoe to go see Grandma next week.
KlinkerAg11
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AG
Africa also lacks big fat people.
FrioAg 00
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AG
Same in India. Less than 6% of the population makes it too 65, so of course their covid outcomes look better



Contrast that to Italy, where 23% of the population was over 65 yearly old.


In American we have plenty together aged AND a ton of obese people. There was no scenario where out numbers weren't going to look pretty bad relative to other countries.
AgsMyDude
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AG
I find it interesting that DFW is currently at their highest hospitalizations even though they were hit pretty hard in the summer. They are really the only region in the top 10 currently to spike in both waves.

Looking at top 10 currently



Removing regions that hit >500 hospitalizations over the summer. All at all-time highs.



Only including regions that hit >500 hospitalizations over the summer. All but DFW remain pretty low during this wave.




Aston94
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AG
I know that DFW was accepting a lot of patients from El Paso and Amarillo areas due to their influx, so not sure if that is what is leading the the bump, cases that are not DFW cases but are DFW hospitalizations...
AgsMyDude
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AG
San Antonio is as well. 66 of the 407 (16%) currently hospitalized are from El Paso.
cc_ag92
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AG
The DFW region is large enough that spikes could possibly be happening in areas that weren't seeing them before. Not sure what the Collin County numbers are now, but anecdotally, I know lots of people who were recently diagnosed and this summer I just knew a few. If Collin County and Rockwall numbers are going up, that would impact DFW hospitalization numbers.
Cyp0111
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DFW may also be taking people from far north and east texas. Oklahoma has a pretty big spike going.
ramblin_ag02
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AG
No big hospital in DFW has been taking any COVID patients for 2 weeks or more. If I'm wrong, then tell me where. Our patients are getting turned down everywhere
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
Cyp0111
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Are you saying Dallas isn't taking transfers ? I dont know, was trying to explain the bump.
ramblin_ag02
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AG
They're not taking ours. They are explicitly telling us they are not taking any more COVID patients no matter how sick
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
Fitch
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AG
My grandfather has been at Medical City for two weeks for chemo and this past weekend they tightened down on all of the (already tight) visitation rules with the explanation they're opening another Covid ward to address the spike in cases. That's direct info as of last Friday.
AustinCountyAg
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So people are testing positive, but the #of deaths per day is decreasing daily???? If that's the case who cares if you're catching it or not?
cc_ag92
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AG
I'm not sure deaths are the only negative outcome. Now, if more people are testing positive with cold-like symptoms, no long illnesses, no hospitalizations, then the rise in cases isn't a concern. However, if people aren't dying because we're getting better at treating it, yet hospitalizations and long illnesses are ramping up with the number of cases, then we should care.
Gordo14
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AustinCountyAg said:

So people are testing positive, but the #of deaths per day is decreasing daily???? If that's the case who cares if you're catching it or not?


We've been through this before. Deaths are reported up to 6 weeks after they happen. Look at the death rate isn't a useful metric. It's a fact that more people are dying every day as the case count goes up.
PJYoung
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AG
Hospitalizations lag infections, deaths lag Hospitalizations.
plain_o_llama
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The Dallas County data upthread suggests how this plays out. If you look at the peaks in the Summer Wave,
Hospitalizations peaked in CDC week 26. ICU patient numbers peaked in week 28. Deaths peaked in week 30. Dallas County reports according to day of death in their chart.

As for TMC's data. The peak daily new hospitalizations were 7/5 with 446 and 7/9 with 424. The ICU patient numbers peaked two weeks later on 7/22 with 716 and 7/23 with 714. TMC reports a running total of deaths. It isn't clear when those deaths happened and whether there is a consistent pattern of reporting. The maximum daily change in the totals (other than a known data anomaly in Sept) was 7/21 at 43 and 7/23 at 40 deaths.
Aust Ag
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AG
ramblin_ag02 said:

They're not taking ours. They are explicitly telling us they are not taking any more COVID patients no matter how sick
They said on the news here that Austin is taking patients from EP, but non-Covid....so that frees up beds in EP.
ramblin_ag02
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AG
Everyone is taking non-COVID patients. But no one I know is taking COVID patients as transfers. Even from their normal small referring hospitals like ours
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
Aust Ag
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AG
ramblin_ag02 said:

Everyone is taking non-COVID patients. But no one I know is taking COVID patients as transfers. Even from their normal small referring hospitals like ours
Is the "net" the same though? I mean, if you're trying to create open beds? (whether they're Covid or not?)
ramblin_ag02
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AG
Aust Ag said:

ramblin_ag02 said:

Everyone is taking non-COVID patients. But no one I know is taking COVID patients as transfers. Even from their normal small referring hospitals like ours
Is the "net" the same though? I mean, if you're trying to create open beds? (whether they're Covid or not?)
Yes, but. It isn't the reason why DFW has increasing hospitalizations. It also is not great if most of your patients are COVID patients. Or if you work at a hospital like mine without an ICU, but you're stuck with ICU level COVID patients.
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
Not a Bot
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AG
Trauma region G (Tyler/Longview) is brutal right now. It may not look like a huge spike on the chart but the hospitals are pretty much full. There are a lot of people in the rural areas getting sick and there are only four medium-sized hospitals to take them (5 if you count Marshall which shut down their ICU last year). Speaking of ICU, we are holding ICU transfers on the normal care floor because we don't have ICU space.

I can confirm multiple hospitals in that region are frequently holding double digits in the ERs with nowhere to put them. Well past the summer peak at this point and they just keep coming.

All I can say is THANK GOD for RAC nurses. They have been our saviors.
 
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