That's a very interesting read.agforlife97 said:
https://medium.com/analyticaper/covid-what-the-data-tells-us-about-texas-e319c4406741
Fair. I'd like all indicators taken as a whole with weighting, agreeing that hospitalizations should be number 1.cone said:
you watch the real time metric indicative of severity and volume that we've been watching all along
hospitalizations
I don't think people would look at the back-dated numbers and says it over. I think it probably gives a better view that it is being managed and not over-running our hospitals.ETFan said:
Am I wrong in thinking the back-dated/date-of death reporting is going to make it more difficult to make real-time, society wide changes / suggestions? In the last few weeks the very obvious climb in cases and deaths made it pretty easy to report and show people "wear your masks, stop having gatherings, etc". Now you've got a death chart that a layperson can look at and go "awesome, it's basically over".
But then I guess most people would point to new/active cases which is more of a 'live' look.
Without back dating, the curve is shifted by the reporting delay.ETFan said:
Am I wrong in thinking the back-dated/date-of death reporting is going to make it more difficult to make real-time, society wide changes / suggestions? In the last few weeks the very obvious climb in cases and deaths made it pretty easy to report and show people "wear your masks, stop having gatherings, etc". Now you've got a death chart that a layperson can look at and go "awesome, it's basically over".
But then I guess most people would point to new/active cases which is more of a 'live' look.
ETFan said:
What happened in Texas yesterday?
What a cluster. We're six months in to this and now they adjust how deaths are reported?Premium said:ETFan said:
What happened in Texas yesterday?
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.khou.com/amp/article/news/health/coronavirus/texas-covid-19-death-numbers-jump/285-19fc2cc4-a1ab-4d28-88a2-e439a176eb60
Any chance you can line with this up with the corresponding number of people actually infected?Premium said:
I hate data without age groups and demographics. If you are under 60, and especially a female, you have hardly a think to worry about. Ironic this is one of the most scared groups.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm
All USA:
Female only ALL USA:
Oh right, so they're doing a daily reported deaths on their COVID dashboard (shows 313 on DSHS) but also keeping a more accurate death cert chart.Keegan99 said:
Change in reporting and catching up. The next few days may also be large numbers as the curve for the last 2+ weeks is filled in using the new aggregation method.
The peak day of death is still 7/12, with a total of 175. That will likely rise and might get pulled forward a bit. But given hospitalization trends and decreasing detected infections, the worst seems to be in our rearview mirror. We'll end up with the usual Gompertz curve over the next month.
Do you think the old way of reporting was better, given there was a substantially longer delay in reporting some deaths and they were being attributed to the day they were reported rather than the day they died?Cepe said:What a cluster. We're six months in to this and now they adjust how deaths are reported?Premium said:ETFan said:
What happened in Texas yesterday?
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.khou.com/amp/article/news/health/coronavirus/texas-covid-19-death-numbers-jump/285-19fc2cc4-a1ab-4d28-88a2-e439a176eb60
I'm not sure how we trust anybody that should be managing this thing if they can't even get the counts right. How can you make decisions based on data this way?
Frustrating.
Part of the issue is they didn't update for several days as the switched the methodology.Keegan99 said:
Change in reporting and catching up. The next few days may also be large numbers as the curve for the last 2+ weeks is filled in using the new aggregation method.
The peak day of death is still 7/12, with a total of 175. That will likely rise and might get pulled forward a bit. But given hospitalization trends and decreasing detected infections, the worst seems to be in our rearview mirror. We'll end up with the usual Gompertz curve over the next month.