Daily Charts

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HotardAg07
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1:25p, 6/8/20
AG
There are a lot of resources now showing cases AND hospitalization rising in Texas, but to be in perfect context it is rising but still well under ICU capacity.

Here is the data from TMC, clearly showing hospitalizations rising in Houston


But, as you can see, Houston is still below "normal" ICU levels:


Hopefully the trend doesn't continue.

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KidDoc
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In reply to HotardAg07 • 1:27p, 6/8/20
AG
HotardAg07 said:
There are a lot of resources now showing cases AND hospitalization rising in Texas, but to be in perfect context it is rising but still well under ICU capacity.

Here is the data from TMC, clearly showing hospitalizations rising in Houston


But, as you can see, Houston is still below "normal" ICU levels:


Hopefully the trend doesn't continue.
From what I have read it is still under the normal ICU utilization for this time of year which is usually 80% +

Worth watching the trend though.
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
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Bruce Almighty
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1:33p, 6/8/20
AG
I brought this up with my wife because the same thing is happening at her hospital. She said hospitalizations lowered because people stopped going to the hospital. Now that things are opening back up, people are going to the hospital again, and with it, an increase in hospitalizations. That doesn't mean they're all because of COVID though.
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HotardAg07
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In reply to Bruce Almighty • 1:34p, 6/8/20
AG
Bruce Almighty said:
I brought this up with my wife because the same thing is happening at her hospital. She said hospitalizations lowered because people stopped going to the hospital. Now that things are opening back up, people are going to the hospital again, and with it, an increase in hospitalizations. That doesn't mean they're all because of COVID though.
The data from TMC is specifically for COVID Hospitalizations though. Just look at the graphs.
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KidDoc
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In reply to HotardAg07 • 1:56p, 6/8/20
AG
HotardAg07 said:
Bruce Almighty said:
I brought this up with my wife because the same thing is happening at her hospital. She said hospitalizations lowered because people stopped going to the hospital. Now that things are opening back up, people are going to the hospital again, and with it, an increase in hospitalizations. That doesn't mean they're all because of COVID though.
The data from TMC is specifically for COVID Hospitalizations though. Just look at the graphs.
Yes but the ICU gauge is all ICU beds & admits for any diagnosis.
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
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Fitch
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2:30p, 6/8/20
AG
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Dazed and Confused
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In reply to GeographyAg • 3:13p, 6/8/20
AG
GeographyAg said:
Dazed and Confused said:
PJYoung said:
Dazed and Confused said:
Think they later updated the 2 week number to 5 weeks For ICU's issue in Houston. Still not a good trend.
Texas flattening the curve is no more. See Hospitalizations below.


Is that for the state of Texas?
Yes for the State of Texas, I'll label it.
Where do you get your data?

I've been following this which looks a bit different:
https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/0d8bdf9be927459d9cb11b9eaef6101f
Same Place, Additional Data Tab, then the link for Accessible Dashboard Data which is below to get to raw data. Then I have excel calculate the 7 day rolling average and make the chart. If you see an error let me know, so I can correct it.

http://dshs.texas.gov/coronavirus/TexasCOVID19CaseCountData.xlsx
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PJYoung
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In reply to Dazed and Confused • 3:16p, 6/8/20
AG
Dazed and Confused said:
GeographyAg said:
Dazed and Confused said:
PJYoung said:
Dazed and Confused said:
Think they later updated the 2 week number to 5 weeks For ICU's issue in Houston. Still not a good trend.
Texas flattening the curve is no more. See Hospitalizations below.


Is that for the state of Texas?
Yes for the State of Texas, I'll label it.
Where do you get your data?

I've been following this which looks a bit different:
https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/0d8bdf9be927459d9cb11b9eaef6101f
Same Place, Additional Data Tab, then the link for Accessible Dashboard Data which is below to get to raw data. Then I have excel calculate the 7 day rolling average and make the chart. If you see an error let me know, so I can correct it.

http://dshs.texas.gov/coronavirus/TexasCOVID19CaseCountData.xlsx



I think your chart should probably just show hospitalization and forget about testing as I think the testing axis just confuses matters and doesn't really relate to hospitalizations.

Just my 2 cents.
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Dazed and Confused
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In reply to Fitch • 3:22p, 6/8/20
AG
Fitch said:
Great chart. Glad they are preparing for a surge, hopefully we will not need it. But current trend is not helping.
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Fitch
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10:22p, 6/8/20
AG
National-level data from the CDC pointing to solid downward trends.




One note, the COVID-Net chart above is representative of 100 counties in 14 states (CA, CO, CT, GA, MD, MN, NM, NY, OR, TN, IA, MI, OH, and UT), not nation-wide.
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Duncan Idaho
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In reply to Fitch • 10:24p, 6/8/20
Now do those case count number trends and take out New York.
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Dazed and Confused
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In reply to Duncan Idaho • 10:42p, 6/8/20
AG
Duncan Idaho said:
Now do those case count number trends and take out New York.


And surrounding States.
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Fitch
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11:12p, 6/8/20
AG
Y'all have fun with that. Let me know how it goes.
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corndog04
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12:33a, 6/9/20
AG
It's late and I'm really tired so this is a bit half-assed, but here are daily new counts separating NY/NJ vs all others.

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PJYoung
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10:05a, 6/10/20
AG
Hospitalizations in Hidalgo County:

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Keegan99
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10:14a, 6/10/20
AG
What is the situation in Mexico?

That seems important when evaluating the border region.
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PJYoung
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In reply to Keegan99 • 12:33p, 6/10/20
AG
Keegan99 said:
What is the situation in Mexico?

That seems important when evaluating the border region.
The bridge will have been closed 3 months on June 22nd. Commercial traffic is still allowed.
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DFWTLR
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In reply to PJYoung • 6:05p, 6/10/20
AG
PJYoung said:
Hospitalizations in Hidalgo County:



44 people currently hospitalized in a county of 900,000 and it's a black eye? Seems like they have nothing to worry about to me.
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PJYoung
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In reply to DFWTLR • 8:30p, 6/10/20
AG
DFWTLR said:
PJYoung said:
Hospitalizations in Hidalgo County:



44 people currently hospitalized in a county of 900,000 and it's a black eye? Seems like they have nothing to worry about to me.

The black eye was for the trend. 12 on May 24th, 44 yesterday.

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Fitch
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2:42p, 6/13/20
AG
Texas











Houston Area









DFW Area






I-35 Corridor










Panhandle





Border Counties





Brazos Valley




North Texas


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BiochemAg97
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In reply to Fitch • 6:32a, 6/14/20
BiochemAg97
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In reply to Fitch • 6:33a, 6/14/20
AG


Quite the drop in active cases. Impressive that 1500 ppl "recovered" all of a sudden.
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Dddfff
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In reply to BiochemAg97 • 3:45p, 6/14/20
AG
Flagged image! Staff, honestly.
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Windy City Ag
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6:33p, 6/14/20
AG
Confused about the flag.... he was just pointing out an obvious data error. That deserves censorship?
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goodAg80
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In reply to Fitch • 7:40p, 6/14/20
AG
Fitch said:
I literally have no clue what could have gotten that flagged. Weird.
I *think* that out of an abundance of caution, TexAgs has the algorithm immediately hide any image that is flagged. They can always unflag it later. My guess it is so that if porn or something gets posted it will be hidden right away.

Why someone flagged that is strange though.
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Fitch
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9:26p, 6/14/20
AG
COVID-19 Hospitalizations by Trauma Service Area (7-Day Averages)





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PJYoung
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1:07p, 6/15/20
AG
Beginning with Easter week (April 19th-25th).

Daily average deaths in the US in the 8 weeks since Easter:

2,143.57
1,884.00
1,799.14
1,384.00
1,224.29
983.00
899.57
775.86
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goodAg80
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In reply to PJYoung • 1:35p, 6/15/20
AG
PJYoung said:
Beginning with Easter week (April 19th-25th).

Daily average deaths in the US in the 8 weeks since Easter:

2,143.57
1,884.00
1,799.14
1,384.00
1,224.29
983.00
899.57
775.86
A lot of the drop is from New York and New Jersey.

New York


New Jersey


Texas did not get to that level, and thankfully it has dropped since Easter.




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Bruce Almighty
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2:14p, 6/15/20
AG
So in two weeks, we'll be as low as New York.
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Phat32
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3:40p, 6/15/20
AG
Daily deaths were under 400 yesterday based on Worldometer, yet I see zero news stories about that positive news.
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KlinkerAg11
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In reply to Phat32 • 3:56p, 6/15/20
AG
That's also another huge issue.

You want public buy in? Then cheer for good news along the way.

People will stop caring the more doom and gloom you push without positive reinforcement.
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BiochemAg97
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9:18p, 6/15/20
AG
Austin American Statesman today:
For weeks, Austin health officials have been keeping watch for what they say is a crucial coronavirus warning sign: When the average number of new local hospitalizations tops 20 per day over a seven-day period.
The greater Austin area hit that threshold on Sunday, when 30 new patients were hospitalized.
https://www.statesman.com/news/20200615/with-enforcement-off-table-local-leaders-ask-community-to-follow-coronavirus-guidelines

One day does not make an average. If we are going to make decisions on a metric, then report the actual metric, not a single data point that could be averaged out with a 7 day moving average.

Oh, and for the record, there are 142 covid patients hospitalized in the Austin area. Am I to believe they were all hospitalized in the last week?
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PJYoung
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9:25p, 6/15/20
AG
Mission, TX reinstates 12a to 5a curfew.


https://www.valleycentral.com/news/breaking-mission-mayor-instates-curfew/


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Fitch
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In reply to BiochemAg97 • 9:45p, 6/15/20
AG
The way the article reads some ~60% of them were new in the last week, unless I misread.

The hospitalization metric they referenced is probably a refinement of the one determined by the UT model team, outlined in the below video at about 28:10.



The segment starting at 26:00 kind of has to make you go "huh".

**I don't think that will happen. Just providing a reference point from ~30 days ago.
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Bruce Almighty
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10:31p, 6/15/20
AG
So are cases going up, but deaths going down? In Springfield, where I live, we had 8 deaths during the shutdown with the last being on April 9th. Since we've reopened in early May, the number of cases have more than doubled, yet we are still sitting at 8 deaths. It just seems odd that we had 8 deaths in the first three weeks of our first case and zero in the last nine weeks.
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