Has Italy not posted their daily numbers?
Usually BNO tweets it, but nothing yet.
Usually BNO tweets it, but nothing yet.
Keegan99 said:
Has Italy not posted their daily numbers?
Usually BNO tweets it, but nothing yet.
The daily changes of a linear growth curve would be flat. Same number of people getting infected daily. That's approximately what's happening in Italy, according to that graph, which is what Keegan is pointing to.NASAg03 said:
Linear isn't flat. I wouldn't really call that smashing.
The models will predict a peak when transmission is low enough that more people are recovering (or dying) than are catching the illness so you get a net decline in total cases. If they are equal, then you will see a plateau.DuncanAg said:
I know this is a really dumb question, but how does the model predict a peak? What's to say growth in cases continues to climb beyond the peak model output?
Also, when they say Texas is 20-30 days behind New York...what does that mean? Is this them extrapolating our current case growth?
Sorry...I'm just a dumb banker
We have an issue with testing capacity, but I don't think Italy does. That should be evident given the drastic pullback in number of daily cases.Sq 17 said:
Hope it is true but if testing is at an upper limit # of new cases will be flat regardless of underlying rate of infection
Must be democrat countiesNASAg03 said:
Blue are democratic counties?
Philip J Fry said:
Philip J Fry said:
Yeah, I think it's safe to say the bend in the infection rate is real. Death rate bend really should start showing up soon.
Philip J Fry said:
Yeah, I think it's safe to say the bend in the infection rate is real. Death rate bend really should start showing up soon.
Exsurge Domine said:Philip J Fry said:
Yeah, I think it's safe to say the bend in the infection rate is real. Death rate bend really should start showing up soon.
The 910k vs 277k difference is quite encouraging, but I literally see no silver lining at all in deaths
Literally working on that right now.flashplayer said:Philip J Fry said:
Yeah, I think it's safe to say the bend in the infection rate is real. Death rate bend really should start showing up soon.
I need you to use your time wisely and get multiplayer fixed on that 42 app ASAP
Beat40 said:Exsurge Domine said:Philip J Fry said:
Yeah, I think it's safe to say the bend in the infection rate is real. Death rate bend really should start showing up soon.
The 910k vs 277k difference is quite encouraging, but I literally see no silver lining at all in deaths
In theory, the deaths of behind infections. In theory, if the infections are bending, the deaths should start to show bend sooner rather than later.
Exsurge Domine said:Beat40 said:Exsurge Domine said:Philip J Fry said:
Yeah, I think it's safe to say the bend in the infection rate is real. Death rate bend really should start showing up soon.
The 910k vs 277k difference is quite encouraging, but I literally see no silver lining at all in deaths
In theory, the deaths of behind infections. In theory, if the infections are bending, the deaths should start to show bend sooner rather than later.
Yessir, scary to think of how bad it's going to get in 10 days death wise though.
Always proceeds something being downplayed based on 1 data point.Premium said:
Not to downplay this,
Premium said:Exsurge Domine said:Beat40 said:Exsurge Domine said:Philip J Fry said:
Yeah, I think it's safe to say the bend in the infection rate is real. Death rate bend really should start showing up soon.
The 910k vs 277k difference is quite encouraging, but I literally see no silver lining at all in deaths
In theory, the deaths of behind infections. In theory, if the infections are bending, the deaths should start to show bend sooner rather than later.
Yessir, scary to think of how bad it's going to get in 10 days death wise though.
Not to downplay this, but could we compare upcoming TX death rate compared to normal flu season? I understand it as we may be 3-4 times a usual flu season, but I've 1) never had anyone I've known die from the flu and I know 2) zero people who have covid-19...
And you would assume around that much (probably less though with the distancing) are still dying every week of regular flu?Exsurge Domine said:Premium said:Exsurge Domine said:Beat40 said:Exsurge Domine said:Philip J Fry said:
Yeah, I think it's safe to say the bend in the infection rate is real. Death rate bend really should start showing up soon.
The 910k vs 277k difference is quite encouraging, but I literally see no silver lining at all in deaths
In theory, the deaths of behind infections. In theory, if the infections are bending, the deaths should start to show bend sooner rather than later.
Yessir, scary to think of how bad it's going to get in 10 days death wise though.
Not to downplay this, but could we compare upcoming TX death rate compared to normal flu season? I understand it as we may be 3-4 times a usual flu season, but I've 1) never had anyone I've known die from the flu and I know 2) zero people who have covid-19...
It looks like around 8,000 Texans die each flu season. Figure around 600 per week x 13 weeks.
Where is that warm weather ,btw?Philip J Fry said:
The Texas death rate is increasing. Just looking at the last three days, we would hit 8000 before the end of the month. Really hoping the warm weather will protect us by then.