Writers Guild strike 2023

145,601 Views | 1612 Replies | Last: 9 mo ago by uujm
Red Five
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Prophet00 said:

In your estimation, they should've either just accepted the deal the studios initially presented (which was virtually nothing) or left their jobs?

That's the choice every single working person makes. If you don't like your compensation, leave for something else. Hollywood isn't some magical fairy land where everyone involved is guaranteed to live their dreams in perpetuity. If the studios lose enough money because quality of content declines when all the qualified writers leave, they will have to decide if it's worth paying more to bring them back. They aren't obligated to assume that will happen, and right now they are clearly willing to take that risk. The writers being the poor ones in this scenario doesn't make them righteous inherently.
Sea Speed
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Why could the studios not use AI right now and scabs to tweak the AI script to make a show? Other strikes have scabs, why could this strike not have AI/scabs step in?
nai06
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Sea Speed said:

Why could the studios not use AI right now and scabs to tweak the AI script to make a show? Other strikes have scabs, why could this strike not have AI/scabs step in?


If the writers that cross the picket lines are members of the WGA, they would face suspension, expulsion, and even monetary fines.

If they aren't guild members, they'll never be one in the future. This will eventually be resolved and it's a short term pay off in exchange to likely never getting a guild job in the future.
Prophet00
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Yes, I'm well aware that is how the workforce operates. My point is that just like any other job where you feel you are more worth more than your current pay, especially if your work directly contributes to substantial increases in revenue, more so than the original model you operated under, you ask for a raise.

Typically, in a well-run company that values it's employees, you would at least come into the discussion with an intent on reaching a fair deal. I do this all the time. If you don't value them, you refuse to discuss their requests, and you even diminish their role moving forward.

In your mind, what is the difference between them all quitting, and going on strike? We get to the same end either way. The studios decide to negotiate, or all of those people lose their jobs (like if they quit).
Red Five
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Prophet00 said:

In your mind, what is the difference between them all quitting, and going on strike? We get to the same end either way. The studios decide to negotiate, or all of those people lose their jobs (like if they quit).


There is no difference. The writers are doing what they should do if they believe their wages are unfair. But I'm not obligated to agree with them or care if they get what they want. Right now the studios don't think the writers are worth what they are asking. Labor negotiations are economic warfare and right now the writers are acting like it's unfair that the studios are fighting back. That's nonsense.
Prophet00
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I agree with you. I don't have any issue with them striking vs. quitting. The real market value of their role(s) will dictate the outcome.

I do think that we as the consumer will suffer for it.
aTmAg
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Some employees think that they have value that they really don't have. Then they find out the hard way.
Prophet00
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Agreed, and some employers also think they can succeed without their people. They may find out the hard way, as well.
aTmAg
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Prophet00 said:

Agreed, and some employers also think they can succeed without their people. They may find out the hard way, as well.
Well, based on everything you and others have said here, the employers here are right. As the employees' position is ignorant.

Just because employers developed a new revenue stream does not mean that employees, that had nothing to do with it, should automatically get more money. To deserve more, they need to provide more value to their employers. Clearly these writers are not.
Prophet00
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Oh, ok.
Brian Earl Spilner
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The new revenue stream depends entirely on their work, though. Key point.
tysker
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Prophet00 said:

Agreed, and some employers also think they can succeed without their people. They may find out the hard way, as well.

The work is clearly changing. Its unclear how valuable that labor is worth today let alone 10 years from now. We're seeing similar issues in finance, legal, manufacturing, and construction, Adopt or die. Luddites are rarely successful.
Prophet00
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Absolutely, you have to adapt to the changes in technology that can create efficiencies and improve processes.
But that adaptation works if all parties involved find a way to introduce these changes and mutually determine the best way to incorporate them into the industry. IMO, you don't just say, "we'll talk about it down the road" while also lining out short-term reductions in the value and roles of your employees. The studios want to squeeze whatever they can from their people while also holding the potential of AI over their heads. "Be lucky that we even give you jobs, we could use ChatGPT to replace you." It's a business, they can run it how they see fit, the name of the game is shareholder profits.

It's fine if they want to think that, I'm just saying that I don't believe it will be a successful outcome for them.

aTmAg
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Brian Earl Spilner said:

The new revenue stream depends entirely on their work, though. Key point.
That point is not key at all, as everybody's work depends on the work of others. So if a writer takes the bus to work every day, should the bus driver demand higher fare from writers because he knows they got more money from their employers? After all, it's "mutually beneficial", right?

Of course, that's not how it works. Bus drivers offer a service to their employers to drive the bus. That price is set by supply and demand. The bus driver can try to negotiate a yearly salary or a salary per mile or whatever he thinks best suits him. But since his job is easily replaceable, he won't have much pull in that negotiation. And he sure as hell won't be able to demand a larger piece of the pie, if his employer opens a new line in another state.

Now if you are irreplaceable, then you CAN demand stuff like a percent of the streaming revenue. Like Messi did with Apple TV.

Clearly, writers are more like bus drivers than Lionel Messi.
DTP02
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As someone who has generally sided with employer over employee in these strike situations in my lifetime, I find myself rooting for the workers in this one.

And it's not because I'm influenced by the propaganda war that the talent is predictably winning.

It's because I think AI is going to be incredibly disruptive to our society and I want to see some guardrails put up, so I'm rooting for a W on that front which could lead to others.
Sea Speed
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This is the crux of the matter imo
nai06
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aTmAg said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

The new revenue stream depends entirely on their work, though. Key point.
That point is not key at all, as everybody's work depends on the work of others. So if a writer takes the bus to work every day, should the bus driver demand higher fare from writers because he knows they got more money from their employers? After all, it's "mutually beneficial", right?

Of course, that's not how it works. Bus drivers offer a service to their employers to drive the bus. That price is set by supply and demand. The bus driver can try to negotiate a yearly salary or a salary per mile or whatever he thinks best suits him. But since his job is easily replaceable, he won't have much pull in that negotiation. And he sure as hell won't be able to demand a larger piece of the pie, if his employer opens a new line in another state.

Now if you are irreplaceable, then you CAN demand stuff like a percent of the streaming revenue. Like Messi did with Apple TV.

Clearly, writers are more like bus drivers than Lionel Messi.


You're comparing a low skill job like driving a bus to a high skill job like acting and writing. Take 100 average people and a good majority could drive a city bus reasonably well with no training and very well with a little bit of training. That doesn't hold true with acting and writing.

Writers and actors have inherent value and skill that isn't easily replicated.
tysker
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nai06 said:

aTmAg said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

The new revenue stream depends entirely on their work, though. Key point.
That point is not key at all, as everybody's work depends on the work of others. So if a writer takes the bus to work every day, should the bus driver demand higher fare from writers because he knows they got more money from their employers? After all, it's "mutually beneficial", right?

Of course, that's not how it works. Bus drivers offer a service to their employers to drive the bus. That price is set by supply and demand. The bus driver can try to negotiate a yearly salary or a salary per mile or whatever he thinks best suits him. But since his job is easily replaceable, he won't have much pull in that negotiation. And he sure as hell won't be able to demand a larger piece of the pie, if his employer opens a new line in another state.

Now if you are irreplaceable, then you CAN demand stuff like a percent of the streaming revenue. Like Messi did with Apple TV.

Clearly, writers are more like bus drivers than Lionel Messi.


You're comparing a low skill job like driving a bus to a high skill job like acting and writing. Take 100 average people and a good majority could drive a city bus reasonably well with no training and very well with a little bit of training. That doesn't hold true with acting and writing.

Writers and actors have inherent value and skill that isn't easily replicated.


That is an incredibly dangerous argument you are making. Drivers, the number one occupation for men without college degrees, are being replaced by automated vehicles.

You telling me AI cant write 2/3rds of a CSI or L&O script?
aTmAg
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The list of jobs that have been supplanted by technology is longer than the list of jobs that still exist. Every job that exists today, with the possible exception of prostitution, will be replaced by technology someday.

We will be fine.
aTmAg
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nai06 said:

aTmAg said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

The new revenue stream depends entirely on their work, though. Key point.
That point is not key at all, as everybody's work depends on the work of others. So if a writer takes the bus to work every day, should the bus driver demand higher fare from writers because he knows they got more money from their employers? After all, it's "mutually beneficial", right?

Of course, that's not how it works. Bus drivers offer a service to their employers to drive the bus. That price is set by supply and demand. The bus driver can try to negotiate a yearly salary or a salary per mile or whatever he thinks best suits him. But since his job is easily replaceable, he won't have much pull in that negotiation. And he sure as hell won't be able to demand a larger piece of the pie, if his employer opens a new line in another state.

Now if you are irreplaceable, then you CAN demand stuff like a percent of the streaming revenue. Like Messi did with Apple TV.

Clearly, writers are more like bus drivers than Lionel Messi.


You're comparing a low skill job like driving a bus to a high skill job like acting and writing. Take 100 average people and a good majority could drive a city bus reasonably well with no training and very well with a little bit of training. That doesn't hold true with acting and writing.

Writers and actors have inherent value and skill that isn't easily replicated.
As evident by the fact that they are having to strike because they can "barley live" says otherwise.
tysker
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To reiterate a point I think you made above, barely living in places like LA and NY. How many of those strikers are truly talented and not just living off their parents? Maybe the trust fund babies will have to find actual jobs in not-so-cool places like Seattle or DC or Chicago instead of stealing jobs from truly talented writers and actors
Brian Earl Spilner
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This is the worst argument I've ever seen from you.
aTmAg
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Brian Earl Spilner said:

This is the worst argument I've ever seen from you.
Your inability to make an actual retort says otherwise.
nai06
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aTmAg said:

nai06 said:

aTmAg said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

The new revenue stream depends entirely on their work, though. Key point.
That point is not key at all, as everybody's work depends on the work of others. So if a writer takes the bus to work every day, should the bus driver demand higher fare from writers because he knows they got more money from their employers? After all, it's "mutually beneficial", right?

Of course, that's not how it works. Bus drivers offer a service to their employers to drive the bus. That price is set by supply and demand. The bus driver can try to negotiate a yearly salary or a salary per mile or whatever he thinks best suits him. But since his job is easily replaceable, he won't have much pull in that negotiation. And he sure as hell won't be able to demand a larger piece of the pie, if his employer opens a new line in another state.

Now if you are irreplaceable, then you CAN demand stuff like a percent of the streaming revenue. Like Messi did with Apple TV.

Clearly, writers are more like bus drivers than Lionel Messi.


You're comparing a low skill job like driving a bus to a high skill job like acting and writing. Take 100 average people and a good majority could drive a city bus reasonably well with no training and very well with a little bit of training. That doesn't hold true with acting and writing.

Writers and actors have inherent value and skill that isn't easily replicated.
As evident by the fact that they are having to strike because they can "barley live" says otherwise.


So is it your belief that writing and acting is easy? Anyone can do it?
aTmAg
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nai06 said:

aTmAg said:

nai06 said:

aTmAg said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

The new revenue stream depends entirely on their work, though. Key point.
That point is not key at all, as everybody's work depends on the work of others. So if a writer takes the bus to work every day, should the bus driver demand higher fare from writers because he knows they got more money from their employers? After all, it's "mutually beneficial", right?

Of course, that's not how it works. Bus drivers offer a service to their employers to drive the bus. That price is set by supply and demand. The bus driver can try to negotiate a yearly salary or a salary per mile or whatever he thinks best suits him. But since his job is easily replaceable, he won't have much pull in that negotiation. And he sure as hell won't be able to demand a larger piece of the pie, if his employer opens a new line in another state.

Now if you are irreplaceable, then you CAN demand stuff like a percent of the streaming revenue. Like Messi did with Apple TV.

Clearly, writers are more like bus drivers than Lionel Messi.


You're comparing a low skill job like driving a bus to a high skill job like acting and writing. Take 100 average people and a good majority could drive a city bus reasonably well with no training and very well with a little bit of training. That doesn't hold true with acting and writing.

Writers and actors have inherent value and skill that isn't easily replicated.
As evident by the fact that they are having to strike because they can "barley live" says otherwise.


So is it your belief that writing and acting is easy? Anyone can do it?
I didn't say anyone, but enough people to make their salaries too low to live in a liberal "paradise" like California.
BassCowboy33
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tysker said:

nai06 said:

aTmAg said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

The new revenue stream depends entirely on their work, though. Key point.
That point is not key at all, as everybody's work depends on the work of others. So if a writer takes the bus to work every day, should the bus driver demand higher fare from writers because he knows they got more money from their employers? After all, it's "mutually beneficial", right?

Of course, that's not how it works. Bus drivers offer a service to their employers to drive the bus. That price is set by supply and demand. The bus driver can try to negotiate a yearly salary or a salary per mile or whatever he thinks best suits him. But since his job is easily replaceable, he won't have much pull in that negotiation. And he sure as hell won't be able to demand a larger piece of the pie, if his employer opens a new line in another state.

Now if you are irreplaceable, then you CAN demand stuff like a percent of the streaming revenue. Like Messi did with Apple TV.

Clearly, writers are more like bus drivers than Lionel Messi.


You're comparing a low skill job like driving a bus to a high skill job like acting and writing. Take 100 average people and a good majority could drive a city bus reasonably well with no training and very well with a little bit of training. That doesn't hold true with acting and writing.

Writers and actors have inherent value and skill that isn't easily replicated.


That is an incredibly dangerous argument you are making. Drivers, the number one occupation for men without college degrees, are being replaced by automated vehicles.

You telling me AI cant write 2/3rds of a CSI or L&O script?


South Park actually touched on this by having a AI write part of an episode...and it didn't go well, lol.
Brian Earl Spilner
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aTmAg said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

This is the worst argument I've ever seen from you.
Your inability to make an actual retort says otherwise.


If the writer starts bringing a friend on the bus with him every day, should he not pay bus fare if he sits on his friend's lap?

This question makes as much sense as yours.
aTmAg
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Brian Earl Spilner said:

aTmAg said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

This is the worst argument I've ever seen from you.
Your inability to make an actual retort says otherwise.


If the writer starts bringing a friend on the bus with him every day, should he not pay bus fare if he sits on his friend's lap?

This question makes as much sense as yours.
Another non-retort. How typical. My post makes perfect sense to people with above average IQ.

So which part(s) do you need me to explain to you?
Brian Earl Spilner
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Your lack of retort says otherwise.
TCTTS
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aTmAg said:

Mark Harris is an idiot.

Jobs are worth what they are worth. You can't make flipping burgers worth $100/hr no matter how "economically fragile" the employees are. If a fast food chain tried, then their prices would go up, and people would stop buying their burgers, and they'd eventually go out of business. If the employees went on strike, or government passed a $100/hr minimum wage, the ONLY survivable alternative for the employers is to automate those jobs and fire all the workers.

The question should be, "why are these employees economically fragile" now? People have done these jobs for over a century and have been able to live fine. It's because the cost of living has gone way the hell up. And who's fault is that? The government. These Hollywood employees should be pissed at the local, state, and federal government policies that push costs way the hell up. But they won't, because they are ignorant enough to support those policies. They don't know better.

Well reality doesn't give exceptions to people because they are ignorant. The laws of economics effects everybody just like the law of gravity. To me this is a case of karma being a *****.

Starting with this post, you've been doing nothing more than spouting off extremely basic economic principles that everyone and their dog already knows, and using them to rant about the government and whatever else for the umpteenth time on this board.

When, in reality, if you'd actually read the guilds' positions, or read even a fraction of the articles posted and discussion had earlier in this thread, you'd know that the primary issues are systemic in nature, and that a number of the standard pay increases were nearly settled on and where the various sides were closest. In other words, this isn't just a bunch of entitled assh*les striking because they want to get paid more per hour. If it was, agreements would have been reached weeks and months ago. Rather, the guilds are striking over bedrock issues that Big Tech has completely upended, in ways the industry won't be able to sustain going forward, should the studios go unchecked.

You think Hollywood is insufferable now? How much more insufferable will it be when only a handful of veterans and a spatter of trust fund kids are the only ones who can afford to be writers?

You think Hollywood makes sh*t now? How much more sh*t do you think will be made when most everything is then written by AI and features only digital actors?

We had a system that worked. Extremely well. One that made the rich richer and allowed everyone else a livable wage, with infinite opportunity for not only upward mobility, but for writers to actually gain valuable experience learning the trade via traditional writers' rooms and everything that comes along with them (learning to produce, cast, edit, etc on the job). Thus novices becoming veterans, and so on and so forth, ensuring the health of the industry for decades to come.

But then Big Tech came along and destroyed that, turning the writing industry, in particular, into a gig economy. And now the entire industry - even most of the traditional studios - have wised up, and realized just how catastrophic it was to chase Big Tech's nonsense.

These strikes are an attempt to correct those mistakes.

That's what this is all about.
MasonStorm
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nai06 said:

aTmAg said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

The new revenue stream depends entirely on their work, though. Key point.
That point is not key at all, as everybody's work depends on the work of others. So if a writer takes the bus to work every day, should the bus driver demand higher fare from writers because he knows they got more money from their employers? After all, it's "mutually beneficial", right?

Of course, that's not how it works. Bus drivers offer a service to their employers to drive the bus. That price is set by supply and demand. The bus driver can try to negotiate a yearly salary or a salary per mile or whatever he thinks best suits him. But since his job is easily replaceable, he won't have much pull in that negotiation. And he sure as hell won't be able to demand a larger piece of the pie, if his employer opens a new line in another state.

Now if you are irreplaceable, then you CAN demand stuff like a percent of the streaming revenue. Like Messi did with Apple TV.

Clearly, writers are more like bus drivers than Lionel Messi.


You're comparing a low skill job like driving a bus to a high skill job like acting and writing. Take 100 average people and a good majority could drive a city bus reasonably well with no training and very well with a little bit of training. That doesn't hold true with acting and writing.

Writers and actors have inherent value and skill that isn't easily replicated.



And you are confusing coming from wealth and nepotism as "skills" that aren't easily replaceable.

The majority can't afford to not work while "acting" or can't afford to get a Drama degree without wealth.

Nepotism is the norm.

https://www.vulture.com/article/hollywood-nepotism-babies-list-taxonomy.html

https://www.cosmopolitan.com/entertainment/celebs/g42757376/nepo-babies-in-hollywood-list/

This isn't some boot strap industry. There are way more "employees" than jobs available and there is a new crop being born every day.

Disposable.
MasonStorm
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TCTTS said:

aTmAg said:

Mark Harris is an idiot.

Jobs are worth what they are worth. You can't make flipping burgers worth $100/hr no matter how "economically fragile" the employees are. If a fast food chain tried, then their prices would go up, and people would stop buying their burgers, and they'd eventually go out of business. If the employees went on strike, or government passed a $100/hr minimum wage, the ONLY survivable alternative for the employers is to automate those jobs and fire all the workers.

The question should be, "why are these employees economically fragile" now? People have done these jobs for over a century and have been able to live fine. It's because the cost of living has gone way the hell up. And who's fault is that? The government. These Hollywood employees should be pissed at the local, state, and federal government policies that push costs way the hell up. But they won't, because they are ignorant enough to support those policies. They don't know better.

Well reality doesn't give exceptions to people because they are ignorant. The laws of economics effects everybody just like the law of gravity. To me this is a case of karma being a *****.

Starting with this post, you've been doing nothing more than spouting off extremely basic economic principles that everyone and their dog already knows, and using them to rant about the government and whatever else for the umpteenth time on this board.

When, in reality, if you'd actually read the guilds' positions, or read even a fraction of the articles posted and discussion had earlier in this thread, you'd know that the primary issues are systemic in nature, and that a number of the standard pay increases were nearly settled on and where the various sides were closest. In other words, this isn't just a bunch of entitled assh*les striking because they want to get paid more per hour. If it was, agreements would have been reached weeks and months ago. Rather, the guilds are striking over bedrock issues that Big Tech has completely upended, in ways the industry won't be able to sustain going forward, should the studios go unchecked.

You think Hollywood is insufferable now? How much more insufferable will it be when only a handful of veterans and a spatter of trust fund kids are the only ones who can afford to be writers?

You think Hollywood makes sh*t now? How much more sh*t do you think will be made when most everything is then written by AI and features only digital actors?

We had a system that worked. Extremely well. One that made the rich richer and allowed everyone else a livable wage, with infinite opportunity for not only upward mobility, but for writers to actually gain valuable experience learning the trade via traditional writers' rooms and everything that comes along with them (learning to produce, cast, edit, etc on the job). Thus novices becoming veterans, and so on and so forth, ensuring the health of the industry for decades to come.

But then Big Tech came along and destroyed that, turning the writing industry, in particular, into a gig economy. And now the entire industry - even most of the traditional studios - have wised up, and realized just how catastrophic it was to chase Big Tech's nonsense.

These strikes are an attempt to correct those mistakes.

That's what this is all about.


We had a system where all risk is taken by production and we got generational
wealth for very little work.
aTmAg
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Brian Earl Spilner said:

Your lack of retort says otherwise.
Retort to what? Unlike my post, you said nothing.
jeffk
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I'm just excited that several people in here stayed awake for a couple of intro to macro lectures and want to share all they learned with us.
Whos Juan
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Are we positive aTmAg isn't an AI Chatbot?
 
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