Yeah, I've seen a couple predictions saying $105M-ish. Crazy either way.

2-3 days to regenerate and some of the other powers seem a little tame for Wade Wilson to appreciate, although I can see turning water into wine being fun for DP as well as giving Jesus grief over being the son of God and asking if he could take out JC's mom (and whether she had ever been serious with anyone before).

Mmm, irreverent thought exercise. [/Homer]

Deadpool & Wolverine is showing no sign of slowing down. On the contrary, it is enjoying one of the biggest second weekends in history as it obliterates more records. https://t.co/JHFYlpG0bH

— The Hollywood Reporter (@THR) August 4, 2024

America wants graphically violent movies about men who cannot die https://t.co/zGR3n4XM4l

— David Hines (@hradzka) August 4, 2024

By passing ‘THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST’ at the box office, Deadpool has LITERALLY become Marvel Jesus. pic.twitter.com/5EYS2oIWL2

— One Take 🎬 (@OneTakeNews) August 4, 2024

‘IT ENDS WITH US’ starring Blake Lively could potentially dethrone ‘DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE’ starring Ryan Reynolds from the #1 spot at the box-office next weekend, based on presales. pic.twitter.com/VrlLSDtMBu

— Film Updates (@FilmUpdates) August 4, 2024

TCTTS said:

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‘IT ENDS WITH US’ starring Blake Lively could potentially dethrone ‘DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE’ starring Ryan Reynolds from the #1 spot at the box-office next weekend, based on presales. pic.twitter.com/VrlLSDtMBu

— Film Updates (@FilmUpdates) August 4, 2024

---

I don't know a single thing about "It Ends With Us" or a book that I assume it's based on, but that type of movie having an opening weekend in the $50M range (where Deadpool would project next weekend ) would stun me.

I can't think of a similar film exceeding $40M other than 50 shades of gray. It's target audience just doesn't rush out opening weekend regularly enough.

It would be awesome if it's that successful, but I'm skeptical.

I had never heard of the book either until the trailer dropped a few weeks ago, but apparently it's a really big deal. And as of now, the tracking for the movie is anywhere between $35M and $55M opening weekend. No clue if it's going to get anywhere near that higher end, but it'll be fun to keep tabs regardless. If anything, I'm curious to know if a wife has ever unseated her husband (in leading roles) at the box office before.

Apparently that book is written by an Aggie.

Edit: Nevermind, it's A&M - Commerce.

TCTTS said:

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I had never heard of the book either until the trailer dropped a few weeks ago, but apparently it's a really big deal. And as of now, the tracking for the movie is anywhere between $35M and $55M opening weekend. No clue if it's going to get anywhere near that higher end, but it'll be fun to keep tabs regardless. If anything, I'm curious to know if a wife has ever unseated her husband (in leading roles) at the box office before.

---

The book is okay.
Some interesting things and some annoying ones.

Will wait until streaming to see if it sticks to the book.

Since Blake Lively was also in Deadpool and Wolverine, she is now officially the biggest box office draw of 2024

Despite all of the gnashing of teeth and freak outs from way too many based on a slow start to the year, the 2024 box office is heading for $9b and potentially can surpass the 2023 box office. Quite the change from some who recently were convinced 2024 would end in the $7b range. pic.twitter.com/lMfrA4Vhlz

— EmpireCity Box Office (@EmpireCityBO) August 4, 2024

Back to 2009 revenue numbers. Still 20% off pre covid.

2006-2008 $9 Bill in rev
2009-2019 - $10-$11.9 Bill in rev

Ticket cost inflation has helped even with less tickets sold
$9 Billion in 2009 adjusted for inflation would be $13 Billion in 2024 dollars

Looking like $8.7m in previews for @ItEndsWithUs and should head to a $50m+ weekend if it isn't extremely front loaded. pic.twitter.com/mjbX6ou5Oq

— EmpireCity Box Office (@EmpireCityBO) August 9, 2024

atm0812 said:

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TCTTS said:

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‘IT ENDS WITH US’ starring Blake Lively could potentially dethrone ‘DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE’ starring Ryan Reynolds from the #1 spot at the box-office next weekend, based on presales. pic.twitter.com/VrlLSDtMBu

— Film Updates (@FilmUpdates) August 4, 2024

---

I don't know a single thing about "It Ends With Us" or a book that I assume it's based on, but that type of movie having an opening weekend in the $50M range (where Deadpool would project next weekend ) would stun me.

I can't think of a similar film exceeding $40M other than 50 shades of gray. It's target audience just doesn't rush out opening weekend regularly enough.

It would be awesome if it's that successful, but I'm skeptical.

---

Opening near $50 million, even if that stays 2nd place for the weekend is phenomenal. I am officially stunned.

Back from banned land I see.

TC: Here is me eating crow for saying Deadpool was not a shoe-in for $1B.

But, I also said Dune 2 wouldn't hit it, and it didn't, so it cancels out.

Because this was asked earlier:

Quote:

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As noted earlier this week, the last time a married couple had their films top the domestic box office was 34 years ago. In 1990, Bruce Willis' Die Hard 2 stayed atop the chart in its second weekend with $14.5 million, and Demi Moore's Ghost opened in second place with $12.2 million.

---

Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Apparently that book is written by an Aggie.

Edit: Nevermind, it's A&M - Commerce.

---

Yeah, these books are GINORMOUS among the female crowd. The author's story is unique. She couldn't get a book deal and so published through Amazon. Books caught fire there.

Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Back from banned land I see.

---

Didn't get banned, took some time off to watch my lawyers destroy 2 of the 3 people involved in my 2021 doxxing and the subsequent harassment of my family and attempt to ruin my business.

More D&W numbers

12th best third weekend ($54 million). IO2 made $57 m earlier this summer. Record is $90m by The Force Awakens.

11th best third Saturday ($21 million) IO2 made $22 million earlier this summer.

Tied for 6th fastest to $450 million (15 days) with Jurassic World and Black Panther


D&W vs. IO2 - day by day

After 17 days:
D&W: $494.3 m
IO2: $469.4m

That's the most insane # of all for D&W

The Porkchop Express said:

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Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Back from banned land I see.

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Didn't get banned, took some time off to watch my lawyers destroy 2 of the 3 people involved in my 2021 doxxing and the subsequent harassment of my family and attempt to ruin my business.

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Who are these three people?

You probably won't/can't reveal them but it doesn't hurt to ask.

Why didn't his lawyers get the 3rd person?

concac said:

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The Porkchop Express said:

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Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Back from banned land I see.

---

Didn't get banned, took some time off to watch my lawyers destroy 2 of the 3 people involved in my 2021 doxxing and the subsequent harassment of my family and attempt to ruin my business.

---

Who are these three people?

You probably won't/can't reveal them but it doesn't hurt to ask.

---

I signed something promising I wouldn't say. And I wouldn't say anyways. Cuz doxxing sucks, and they learned the hard way, much as I did years ago, that there's always someone out there who can track your ass down on the Internet when you do something stupid.

20ag07 said:

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Why didn't his lawyers get the 3rd person?

---

Second person rolled on the third person during mediation. Third person got handed a nice friendly notice last week at their office.

Deadpool & Wolverine surpassing $1 billion makes this the first time since 2019 that one studio has had 2 movies accomplish that in the same year, and only the 7th time ever. Not surprisingly, Disney is the only studio to ever done this, starting with:

2013 - Frozen and Iron Man 3

2015 - The Force Awakens and Age of Ultron

2016 - Captain America: Civil War, Rogue One, Finding Dory, and Zootopia

2017 - The Last Jedi and Beauty and the Beast

2018 - Infinity War, Black Panther, The Incredibles 2

And the absolutely insane 2019, when Disney had SEVEN movies cross $1 billion globally. Take into account only 54 movies have ever made $1 billion. In 2019, Disney had - Endgame, The Lion King, Frozen II, Captain Marvel, Toy Story 4, The Rise of Skywalker, and Aladdin.

I'm a little shocked Aladdin is on that list because it sucked

As a reminder, mid-August through most of December 2023 was not good. Strikes and lingering delays tanked the second half of 2023. October and November were in particular both relatively terrible. The 2024 calendar August - December is about a billion times better.

— EmpireCity Box Office (@EmpireCityBO) August 13, 2024

What a massive achievement it would be if box office were to exceed 2023's total. It would continue our upward climb to $10B+ in 2025 and beyond in 2026! We're on our way back to pre-pandemic levels!

— Kersey R (@MrGoodtimes11) August 13, 2024

So I decided to have some fun with projecting the Deadpool & Wolverine domestic box office numbers from opening weekend to the end of 10 weeks to see how it would possibly play out. I decided to use 3 films first 10 weeks performances as comparisons and those 3 were:

Passion of the Christ....Top Gun Maverick....Inside Out 2.

All 3 of those films were the top #1 film for 3 weeks straight as was D&W. In addition, Passion was obviously R-rated and TG:M and IO2 while PG and PG-13 were big blockbusters as well.

Now...I was not looking at actual revenue....rather looking at the projected week dropoffs week over week. And with doing that there were several outliers I had to take into account.

1. Passion had a massive bump over Easter which does not follow the norms of week over week projections so those were thrown out.

2. TG:M had (can't remember exactly) some sort of resergence in its 5th or 6th week and got put in a bunch of imax theaters again...or something else but anyways it had an unusual rise later on that I removed as it was an outlier that would scew the numbers higher for D&W.

I do plan on adding in one more filim to see how it changes numbers, which would be Joker but just didn't have the time.

But I wanted to play it safe and actually had the % drop-offs for each week for D&W lower than or equal to the lowest drop off of the 3 films above.....and i also broke these down individually for weekend only and weekday only as those would have different drop off %'s and hopefully yield more accurate numbers....

and based on all that over a 10 week period domestically I expect D&W to hit a MINIMUM of $609,014,718 and a MAXIMUM of $631,755,272.

And if domestic vs international %'s stay the same that would equal an international range of a minimum of $662,414,755 and a maximum of $687,149,262.....

Which means a low end projection of $1.27 billion worldwide and a high end projection of $1.31 billion worldwide....

we'll see....but so far this is looking insanely epic....and remember i took less than the lowest weekly drop off of the 3 films for the HIGH END projections of this one....and went even below that for the LOW END projections....

Just wanted to say that the last two posts are some legit box office analysis, and this is such a great, informative thread overall.

TexAgs should start an entertainment coverage division.

The LIvely-Reynolds dream team back in action on Tuesday.
Lively's "It Ends with US" is a mega hit out of nowhere, $7.2 million on a Tuesday of the week where a ton of people went back to school and up to $63m in 5 days.

D&W: $7.15 million, up to $506.9m domestic in 19 days. It's the 8th-fastest film to $500m domestic.

Three other movies going over $1m for the day: Trap ($1.1 m), Despicable Me 4 ($1.4m) and Twisters ($2m).

Despicable Me 4 up to $332m, will pass the original Minions this week for 3rd in the franchise history. Above it are DM 2 ($368m) and Minions: Rise of Gru ($370m).

Borderlands fails to make $1m for the second ay in a row, but does make it to $10 million domestic and $17m global. Just another $103m to go to make that budget back.

D&W passes Beauty and the Beast for #21 all time, up to $506.9m. It will pass Rise of Skywalker and enter the top 20 on Thursday.
Globally it's up to $1.042 bn and 46th place, jumping past The Phantom Menace yesterday. Next up is POTC: On STranger Tides, which somehow made $804m international against $241m domestic.

Through 19 days, Inside Out 2 was at $489m. D&W is $17 million ahead of that pace. Absolutely staggering.
Seems likely Inside Out 2 will pass Jurassic World for #10 at some point, and then D&W will knock Inside Out 2 out of the top 10.

The last time 2 movies entered the top 10 domestically the same year was 2018 with Black Panther and Infinity War. When those 2 finished their runs, they were 3rd and 4th all time. Now they are 6th and 8th.