***** The Box Office Thread *****

121,882 Views | 1337 Replies | Last: 2 days ago by The Porkchop Express
Brian Earl Spilner
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It's opening pretty far below the $90M 5-day expectations. So it's already not a good sign. Guess we'll see how much damage Barbie and Oppenheimer do.
C@LAg
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paramount had plenty of time they could have moved it if they were concerned about cannibalization. seems they might have gambled and somewhat lost potential revenues.

also.. i would be curious... do summer movies tend to have a long tail. my impression is that while they occassionally do... long tails are much more common in breakout holiday releases than summer ones due to the excessive competition in summer vs winter.
Brian Earl Spilner
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Definitely not common, but it happens. Top Gun Maverick and The Lion King remake are the only ones that come to mind to have those kinds of legs.

Black Panther and Mario were both spring releases, and I feel like Avengers movies are kind of their own thing.

But for the vast majority of cases it's holiday releases for sure. Force Awakens, Titanic, Avatar, Way of Water, Frozen, etc. I feel like for massive event movies, that is the surefire way to get that kind of play.
Brian Earl Spilner
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Despite the somewhat lackluster domestic weekend, still a damn good global opening.

Brian Earl Spilner
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Brian Earl Spilner
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LMCane
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so what happens in Hollywood if the Mission Impossible movie does not sell well?

so far Drudge is reporting the sales are stalling out and soft...
Brian Earl Spilner
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jr15aggie
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LMCane said:

so what happens in Hollywood if the Mission Impossible movie does not sell well?

so far Drudge is reporting the sales are stalling out and soft...


Maybe they stop releasing 5 new movies every summer weekend!?

I wanted to see Transformers about 2 weeks after it came out and I couldn't find a showtime that worked cause it was already pushed down the ladder by a bunch of movies that nobody wanted to see.
Wildmen06
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I wonder if part of mission impossible lower box office is the fact thst everyone knows it's a "part 1" with the conclusion coming out in December.

I hate waiting for 2nd parts so might wait to watch part 1 until part 2 is about to come out.
TCTTS
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Just FYI, Part Two is scheduled for June 28, 2024, not December, and will almost assuredly be delayed even further due to the strike.
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Wildmen06
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Even more reason I'll be in no rush to see it.
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Eso si, Que es
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Mission Impossible is going to tank this weekend. From what I am seeing it was very soft through the week and presales for this weekend are really low
Brian Earl Spilner
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Brian Earl Spilner
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Eso si, Que es said:

Mission Impossible is going to tank this weekend. From what I am seeing it was very soft through the week and presales for this weekend are really low


This. Which is why the opening weekend coming in below projections was so disappointing. It was really the only weekend of clear runway it had this summer.
Eso si, Que es
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Eso si, Que es said:

Mission Impossible is going to tank this weekend. From what I am seeing it was very soft through the week and presales for this weekend are really low
Looking at local theaters today and tomorrow, I recant previous statement, everything seems to be getting a proximity bump and it may be a huge weekend for everything.
TCTTS
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This is absolutely bananas...

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Brian Earl Spilner
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Deadline:
So far, Paramount's Mission: Impossible Dead Reckoning despite shedding Imax, isn't taking a horrible hit, -54% in weekend 2 with $25M with a $124.2M running total. Friday is looking like $6.6M.

Could've been worse.
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Brian Earl Spilner
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Eso si, Que es
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Brian Earl Spilner said:

Deadline:
So far, Paramount's Mission: Impossible Dead Reckoning despite shedding Imax, isn't taking a horrible hit, -54% in weekend 2 with $25M with a $124.2M running total. Friday is looking like $6.6M.

Could've been worse.


At $5.5 it was worse.

Barbie gonna do $220M+
Brian Earl Spilner
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Brian Earl Spilner
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One distrib points out that never before in the history of box office has a weekend seen one movie open to $100M+ and a second to $50M+.
Brian Earl Spilner
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Another Doug
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Ben Shapiro just called Barbie the most woke movie ever made

So the updated weekend projection for Barbie is: Broke

People are saying that most theaters are in the process of changing out the movie for a rerelease of "Left Behind (2000)" starring Kirk Cameron.
Brian Earl Spilner
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SATURDAY UPDATE: Audiences at the domestic, global and international box office this weekend are going bonkers for Barbenheimer. Warner Bros' Barbie is now poised for an estimated $300M+ worldwide start through tomorrow (eyeing $150M+ each, from North America and a combined 69 overseas markets). Meanwhile, Universal's Oppenheimer is now pegged for a $165.9M worldwide bow through Sunday, including $88.9M internationally.
 
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