***** OFFICIAL Call the Iowa Caucus Thread *****

40,363 Views | 844 Replies | Last: 10 mo ago by Rapier108
justcallmeharry
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AP has called it for Trump. Bigly.

https://apnews.com/live/iowa-republican-caucuses-live-updates

"Donald Trump wins. AP race call at 7:31 p.m. on Jan. 15, 2024.

The Associated Press declared Trump the winner of the Iowa caucuses based on an analysis of early returns as well as results of AP VoteCast, a survey of voters who planned to caucus on Monday night. Both showed Trump with an insurmountable lead.

Initial results from eight counties showed Trump with far more than half of the total votes counted as of 8:31 pm. ET, with the rest of the field trailing far behind. These counties include rural areas that are demographically and politically similar to a large number of counties that have yet to report.
Rapier108
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Old_Ag_91 said:

Apparently some think that if desantis was to win the nomination he would magically be strong enough to beat biden. If trump cant win against biden(i personally believe 2020 was illegitimate), desantis doesn't have a prayer. How can you believe the vote would mobilize for desantis if trump couldnt beat biden? It makes no sense.
And why do you think the vote will mobilize for Trump?

Yes, he'll get his base, but that is at most 25% of the electorate. He has no path to win another 25%, especially in the states that will decide the election.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Ag with kids
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Rapier108 said:

TRM said:

This is the biggest issue. State GOP parties going broke. RNC is barely above water. We don't have the infrastructure to GOTV and challenge Dem policies. It is going to suck
And most of the money will go to Trump's legal bills.
Yep. MAGA will get grifted to pay for the billionaire's bills and actually LIKE it.

Rich people don't get and stay rich by spending their OWN money after all.
J. Walter Weatherman
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Aggies2009 said:

Ag with kids said:

TRM said:

This is the biggest issue. State GOP parties going broke. RNC is barely above water. We don't have the infrastructure to GOTV and challenge Dem policies. It is going to suck
MAGA doesn't care. They literally ONLY care about voting for Trump.


Looks like MAGA is more successful than your boy.


So successful maga has lost three elections in a row. Congrats I guess.
Aggies2009
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J. Walter Weatherman said:

Aggies2009 said:

Ag with kids said:

TRM said:

This is the biggest issue. State GOP parties going broke. RNC is barely above water. We don't have the infrastructure to GOTV and challenge Dem policies. It is going to suck
MAGA doesn't care. They literally ONLY care about voting for Trump.


Looks like MAGA is more successful than your boy.


So successful maga has lost three elections in a row. Congrats I guess.


Winning this one against your boy.
Ag with kids
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Rapier108 said:

Old_Ag_91 said:

Apparently some think that if desantis was to win the nomination he would magically be strong enough to beat biden. If trump cant win against biden(i personally believe 2020 was illegitimate), desantis doesn't have a prayer. How can you believe the vote would mobilize for desantis if trump couldnt beat biden? It makes no sense.
And why do you think the vote will mobilize for Trump?

Yes, he'll get his base, but that is at most 25% of the electorate. He has no path to win another 25%, especially in the states that will decide the election.
But he'll win the MAGA vote. And THAT is what is really important. Scoreboard!
BoydCrowder13
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Old_Ag_91 said:

Apparently some think that if desantis was to win the nomination he would magically be strong enough to beat biden. If trump cant win against biden(i personally believe 2020 was illegitimate), desantis doesn't have a prayer. How can you believe the vote would mobilize for desantis if trump couldnt beat biden? It makes no sense.


Republicans will vote Republican. DeSantis doesn't drive nearly the hate vote that Trump does. We are unlikely to ever see a politician as hated as Trump again. Part of that is the media and part is because Trump enjoys the hate and is grating on purpose.

If DeSantis only gets 90% of Trump's support but lowers the hate vote by 20%, he would easily win.
Ag with kids
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Aggies2009 said:

J. Walter Weatherman said:

Aggies2009 said:

Ag with kids said:

TRM said:

This is the biggest issue. State GOP parties going broke. RNC is barely above water. We don't have the infrastructure to GOTV and challenge Dem policies. It is going to suck
MAGA doesn't care. They literally ONLY care about voting for Trump.


Looks like MAGA is more successful than your boy.


So successful maga has lost three elections in a row. Congrats I guess.


Winning this one against your boy.
Congrats on voting for Biden, I guess?
Wes97
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The poor texags Cruz/DeSantis board once again shows that it completely has its finger on the pulse of the average conservative voter.
Rapier108
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Ag with kids said:

Rapier108 said:

Old_Ag_91 said:

Apparently some think that if desantis was to win the nomination he would magically be strong enough to beat biden. If trump cant win against biden(i personally believe 2020 was illegitimate), desantis doesn't have a prayer. How can you believe the vote would mobilize for desantis if trump couldnt beat biden? It makes no sense.
And why do you think the vote will mobilize for Trump?

Yes, he'll get his base, but that is at most 25% of the electorate. He has no path to win another 25%, especially in the states that will decide the election.
But he'll win the MAGA vote. And THAT is what is really important. Scoreboard!
Notice the post above yours.

That is all they care about. They think they scored some major victory and it erases the MAGA loses in 2018, 2020, and 2022.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Rapier108
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Wes97 said:

The poor texags Cruz/DeSantis board once again shows that it completely has its finger on the pulse of the average conservative voter.
Anyone voting for Trump isn't conservative.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
J. Walter Weatherman
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Aggies2009 said:

J. Walter Weatherman said:

Aggies2009 said:

Ag with kids said:

TRM said:

This is the biggest issue. State GOP parties going broke. RNC is barely above water. We don't have the infrastructure to GOTV and challenge Dem policies. It is going to suck
MAGA doesn't care. They literally ONLY care about voting for Trump.


Looks like MAGA is more successful than your boy.


So successful maga has lost three elections in a row. Congrats I guess.


Winning this one against your boy.


I know Trumpers are new to this, but the goal is to win the general, which he will lose (again). But we know you don't care since you at least got to vote for Dear Leader one more time.
No Spin Ag
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Ag with kids said:

Rapier108 said:

Old_Ag_91 said:

Apparently some think that if desantis was to win the nomination he would magically be strong enough to beat biden. If trump cant win against biden(i personally believe 2020 was illegitimate), desantis doesn't have a prayer. How can you believe the vote would mobilize for desantis if trump couldnt beat biden? It makes no sense.
And why do you think the vote will mobilize for Trump?

Yes, he'll get his base, but that is at most 25% of the electorate. He has no path to win another 25%, especially in the states that will decide the election.
But he'll win the MAGA vote. And THAT is what is really important. Scoreboard!


Yep, when you've got the maga vote you're bound to win the general. Well, as long as you don't count 2020.
There are in fact two things, science and opinion; the former begets knowledge, the later ignorance. Hippocrates
Old_Ag_91
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I guess they thinks independents/dems/libs will magically vote for desantis.

Its laughable but whatever.
J. Walter Weatherman
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Old_Ag_91 said:

I guess they thinks independents/dems/libs will magically vote for desantis.

Its laughable but whatever.


They did in 2022, when he won Miami of all places and performed much better than Trump did in 2020. Trump turned Georgia and Arizona blue.
Dan Scott
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Vivek and DeSantis earned my vote. If they go, Trump has work to do on me.
Iowafarmkid
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https://ibb.co/7kGDsBx
https://ibb.co/BfKrjWV
https://ibb.co/H7nRPD0

Sitting here in the parking lot because I'm parked in and waiting for people to leave now. Was getting texts from out of state friends saying Fox had called it for trump and we literally hadn't voted yet. I'm honestly not surprised when you saw the amount of trump hats in the room, just thought it was odd to have the race called before I'm sure a lot of rural votes had even taken place. I know they still haven't been counted yet for our county and called in
FireAg
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Starting to sound like Trump might be doing even better than polling averages suggested…that would actually shock me, but it is what it is…
Who?mikejones!
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J. Walter Weatherman said:

Aggies2009 said:

J. Walter Weatherman said:

Aggies2009 said:

Ag with kids said:

TRM said:

This is the biggest issue. State GOP parties going broke. RNC is barely above water. We don't have the infrastructure to GOTV and challenge Dem policies. It is going to suck
MAGA doesn't care. They literally ONLY care about voting for Trump.


Looks like MAGA is more successful than your boy.


So successful maga has lost three elections in a row. Congrats I guess.


Winning this one against your boy.


I know Trumpers are new to this, but the goal is to win the general, which he will lose (again). But we know you don't care since you at least got to vote for Dear Leader one more time.


Trumpers are unable to see the main goal, which is to remove democrats from the presidency.

He'll, Trump might cost us the senate too. That's how much he drives democrats to vote
Wes97
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I assume you are voting for DeSantis? You realize the policy differences between those 2 are pretty darn small, right?

Are maybe you are full blown neocon voting for Haley. In which case… oh Nevermind
one safe place
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Rapier108 said:



And yes Trumpers, Biden did get pretty much 81 million. Any fraud was very specific and limited to a handful of states and counties. Take away those votes, Biden would still have over 80 million.
Very telling.
Tergdor
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Wes97 said:

The poor texags Cruz/DeSantis board once again shows that it completely has its finger on the pulse of the average conservative voter.
MAGA isn't conservative. It's populist.
Grapesoda2525
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dmart90
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Trump won in '16 for one reason and one reason only. He was running against Hilldawg - the MOST divisive candidate ever. Biden barely has a pulse and will still win head to head with Trump. Again.
one safe place
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Rapier108 said:


They would rather hand the country over to the Democrats forever than vote for anyone other than Trump.
And some would rather hand the country over to the Democrats forever than vote for Trump. Quite a few on here if they are to be believed.
Rapier108
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Wes97 said:

I assume you are voting for DeSantis? You realize the policy differences between those 2 are pretty darn small, right?

Are maybe you are full blown neocon voting for Haley. In which case… oh Nevermind
Of course, you had to toss in ad hominem instead of just asking a question. What is it with you MAGA types being incapable of any level of decorum? Oh yeah, I forgot for a second who you follow.

And DeSantis is far more conservative than Trump. He is what MAGA thinks Trump is.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
shack009
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Old_Ag_91 said:

I guess they thinks independents/dems/libs will magically vote for desantis.

Its laughable but whatever.


Short term memory loss is a real b…
Rockdoc
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Rapier108 said:

Wes97 said:

The poor texags Cruz/DeSantis board once again shows that it completely has its finger on the pulse of the average conservative voter.
Anyone voting for Trump isn't conservative.

The primary or the general? And your choice will be….
Who?mikejones!
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one safe place said:

Rapier108 said:


They would rather hand the country over to the Democrats forever than vote for anyone other than Trump.
And some would rather hand the country over to the Democrats forever than vote for Trump. Quite a few on here if they are to be believed.


One in the same. Trump doesn't stop the democrats from doing anything.

45-70Ag
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JobSecurity
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So weird. I don't know anyone who actually wants to vote for trump. Or biden for that matter
Dan Scott
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They need to change the way Iowa does Caucuses. The official vote shouldn't be released until all voting is completed in the state.
Old_Ag_91
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I dont see desantis or any other republican winning against biden(dems will cheat against whoever it is regardless of the name to win). Trump has a slim chance because of major republican turnout (including votes from independent/democratic blacks and hispanics). Desantis might as well be a guaranteed loss.
oysterbayAG
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The economy, the border, the wars and Joe Biden's weakness and poor health will hopefully drive people to vote for Trump. Not as overwhelming as in 1980 for Reagan, but enough to win !
Rapier108
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one safe place said:

Rapier108 said:



And yes Trumpers, Biden did get pretty much 81 million. Any fraud was very specific and limited to a handful of states and counties. Take away those votes, Biden would still have over 80 million.
Very telling.
There was massive turnout in heavily Democrat states in 2020, far exceeding what has been seen before. Take out those "excess" votes from New York, Illinois, California, New Jersey, most of the rest of New England, Oregon, Washington, and Colorado, and Trump wins the popular vote. Even in states Trump carried, Democrats did far better in their strongholds such as Austin, Houston, Dallas, etc.

Trump is the biggest turnout machine Democrats have.

And sorry, I have never believed in Dominion, The Kraken, and Smartmatic. 20-30+ million votes were not switched from Biden to Trump. That was a fools errand from day 1. The fraud was focuses on 5-7 states with 1-3 counties in each state using ballot harvesting, mail in fraud, and probably some old school fraud thrown in.

If Trump hadn't made those states close by increasing Democrat turnout, the fraud wouldn't have mattered.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
 
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