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2021 Tropical Twofer

145,237 Views | 1102 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by htxag09
Harry Stone
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texsn95 said:

If it comes here, Dora will blame it on the un-vaxxed.


super spreader
Sazerac
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it's looking like Tuesday landfall?
wessimo
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Do not want.
Anti-taxxer
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The lady next to me at the HEB curbside pickup in Pearland is already prepping. They just loaded three cases each of water, toilet paper, and those nasty Bud Light fruit-a-ritas into her suv.
Jackal99
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Anti-taxxer said:

The lady next to me at the HEB curbside pickup in Pearland is already prepping. They just loaded three cases each of water, toilet paper, and those nasty Bud Light fruit-a-ritas into her suv.
To be fair, that just sounds like a Pearland townie getting ready for the weekend.
BayAg_14
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Don't blame anyone for wanting to beat the rush. Worst case scenario they have some extra water, toilet paper and booze.
chilidogfood
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Kinda silly not to go ahead and fill up the tanks and make sure you have essentials on hand already.

Why wait until the rush?
rangerdanger
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chilidogfood said:

Kinda silly not to go ahead and fill up the tanks and make sure you have essentials on hand already.

Why wait until the rush?


I went ahead and got some H2O and dried/canned foods. Won't go to waste no matter what. Karen is gonna freak after the news at 9pm.
wessimo
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chilidogfood said:

Kinda silly not to go ahead and fill up the tanks and make sure you have essentials on hand already.

Why wait until the rush?


Because you then can't post about your apocalyptic shopping trip on Texags.
Seabreeze
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Space City with this update just a few minutes ago




AgLiving06
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Frank saying the 18z has it going into New Orleans.

Said it's a huge shift.
Seabreeze
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Yea, look for a more shift East. The newest model runs have the high weakening, and allowing a more North and East path.
ChemAg15
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Per Tropical Tidbits, this thing could land anywhere from Mexico to Mississippi. The models will be uncertain until a clear center forms sometime on Friday.
Seabreeze
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8/25 18z GFS run.
Seabreeze
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BayAg_14
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Looking like we are going to dodge another one.
TX04Aggie
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So we've gone from Corpus, The Chuck, Houston and now NOLA in last 12 hours. Sounds about right!
Ag12thman
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I don't think they really even know yet and it could shift again quite a bit (hopefully even further east) in the next day or two. Seems like the biggest missing piece is the development of the center of the storm.
Seabreeze
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AgLiving06
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TX04Aggie said:

So we've gone from Corpus, The Chuck, Houston and now NOLA in last 12 hours. Sounds about right!

The original forecasts for Grace was to veer off in the atlantic and miss the US entirely.

It ended up hitting southern/central Mexico.

But the GFS has been the more accurate model this year (and last), so hopefully as they dial it in today/tomorrow it sticks.
AgLiving06
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Ag12thman said:

I don't think they really even know yet and it could shift again quite a bit (hopefully even further east) in the next day or two. Seems like the biggest missing piece is the development of the center of the storm.

I think the main factor is the high pressure off the east coast.

Initially they had it really exerting which is what pushed it to Texas/Mexico...but the most recent GFS keeps it well off to the east which steers the storm more that way.
Ag12thman
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AgLiving06 said:

Ag12thman said:

I don't think they really even know yet and it could shift again quite a bit (hopefully even further east) in the next day or two. Seems like the biggest missing piece is the development of the center of the storm.

I think the main factor is the high pressure off the east coast.

Initially they had it really exerting which is what pushed it to Texas/Mexico...but the most recent GFS keeps it well off to the east which steers the storm more that way.
I hope it stays this way (but feel bad for those more to the east in saying this).
AgLiving06
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Ag12thman said:

AgLiving06 said:

Ag12thman said:

I don't think they really even know yet and it could shift again quite a bit (hopefully even further east) in the next day or two. Seems like the biggest missing piece is the development of the center of the storm.

I think the main factor is the high pressure off the east coast.

Initially they had it really exerting which is what pushed it to Texas/Mexico...but the most recent GFS keeps it well off to the east which steers the storm more that way.
I hope it stays this way (but feel bad for those more to the east in saying this).

It's always the uncomfortable thing about hurricane season.

You hope it doesn't hit you, but that typically means someone else is taking the brunt of it.

In this case, my in-laws live in New Orleans.
Agasaurus Tex
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Tropical Tidbits just updated and all models moved more to the east.
Seabreeze
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Shift East

billyjack2009
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I don't give any models credence until this sucker is in the gulf.
Al Bula
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How much scratch did the Houston tv weather poofs donate to get that blue line to come here?
Quote:


tk for tu juan
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So instead of a hurricane we get more refugees from New Orleans, hmm
V8Aggie
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Don't worry I'm still here. Now have a Ring camera at two houses in Sea Isle.

agproducer
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T&P to the new golf cart.
Tom Cardy
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I think it's lifted enough to avoid the surge
Seabreeze
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Space City morning update


BayAg_14
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Unfortunately for Louisiana this doesn't look like it will be a weak storm. Cat 2 minimum at landfall.
AgLiving06
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Yeah...Space City made it clear...the more north the storm goes the stronger it will be. The drift west apparently "weakens" it.

My wife and I were talking earlier that the last big storm to hit New Orleans was Katrina (they've had several glancing blows).

I was at A&M when that happened and we took in a lot of Tulane students because of the damage done.
aggiedrew08
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