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2021 Tropical Twofer

145,229 Views | 1102 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by htxag09
Seabreeze
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12z Euro

FarmerJohn
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AG
Regarding Nobles Globetrotter from Ida, I've heard it went through it because of poor planning. Didn't plan enough time to pull everything. Haven't heard of any equipment failures.
sts7049
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AG
saw this today

https://gcaptain.com/noble-globetrotter-ii-worker-files-lawsuit-after-being-left-in-path-of-hurricane-ida/?fbclid=IwAR2aWoqUpfumKGTtzvl-PGSMbuRDjbu5D8lcDUTDbys7knIo3lunMXIVpYs
AgLiving06
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Kick-R said:

Stronger storm is less likely to slow down and dump rain. Stronger in this case also correlates to a more easterly track which keeps a lot of the moisture out in the gulf.

That plus this one is pretty lopsided due to wind sheer. So it's well to the east that will get the rain.
AgLiving06
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Good video from the dude who runs Tropical Tidbits.

BayAg_14
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Forecast is clear as mud. We are either getting 2'' or over 10''.
Seabreeze
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All about where it comes in now
Seabreeze
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Seabreeze
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gougler08
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AG
Seabreeze said:

All about where it comes in now



Well let's hope GFS is better this time around
Ag12thman
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AG
spadilly
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S
Looks like it slows down once it gets around Houston.
Quincey P. Morris
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AG
https://spacecityweather.com/tropical-storm-nicholas-forms-in-the-bay-of-campeche-headed-up-the-texas-coast-to-bring-us-areas-of-heavy-rain/
Agasaurus Tex
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AG
Curious where you found that link. I go to their site and the latest update is the one from yesterday afternoon.

Edit -- I found it.
Quincey P. Morris
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AG
They shared it on Facebook and I got it from their app.
Ag12thman
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AG
If you have Twitter, both guys are on there and very active: Matt Lanza and Eric Berger. They are the best along with Levi Cowan, in my opinion.
Seabreeze
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12z GFS

Cromagnum
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AG
Euro with 5 feet of rain out towards Austin...

gougler08
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AG
Cromagnum said:

Euro with 5 feet of rain out towards Austin...




That seems a bit aggressive
Tom Cardy
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AG
12z Euro must not be getting enough attention at home and is acting out in class
Seabreeze
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https://spacecityweather.com/nicholas-to-bring-a-mess-of-rain-to-texas-and-a-large-area-is-still-at-risk-for-flooding/
New post just now
flyingaggie12
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AG
So this isn't looking good right…potential for 20 in and looks to be a slow mover?? Harvey Jr.?
Seabreeze
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18z ensemble
Milwaukees Best Light
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AG
Cromagnum said:

Euro with 5 feet of rain out towards Austin...



It will take a good 36" to wash off all that bum feces.
Seabreeze
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BayAg_14
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Update from Travis says center is further to the northeast than models have it.

https://www.facebook.com/100044538485111/posts/402366654591281/?d=n
Seabreeze
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BayAg_14 said:

Update from Travis says center is further to the northeast than models have it.

https://www.facebook.com/100044538485111/posts/402366654591281/?d=n

Reed Timer just mentioned this as well
Seabreeze
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Hunters seem to put the center there, which is a bit East of where the track was centered
CDUB98
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AG
Cromagnum said:

Euro with 5 feet of rain out towards Austin...




In the past, I would have laughed at that projection, but after getting bent over by Harvey, I won't blow anything off.
BBRex
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AG
That's bad for Houston, right?
Seabreeze
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Seabreeze
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CDUB98
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AG
Well, this is gonna be fun.
AgLiving06
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Won't the shift east keep the rain off the coast more?
Seabreeze
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