Political fallout and arguments regarding the US-Israeli action against Iran 022824

175,450 Views | 2133 Replies | Last: 36 min ago by mjschiller
hph6203
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FobTies said:

Keyno said:


This is a bizarre comment. Everything I said happened. Why are you calling me a liar?

Accurate predictions on fallout and shifting narratives seem to be offensive.

I personally think its great that "Regime Change" has shifted from a liberation campaign, to negotiating a nuke deal with a new leader in the existing regime. I dont think there is anything wrong with acknowledging that shift, or anyone's prediction it would happen.

I genuinely think that path is the best we Americans can hope for, with least poltical fallout for Trump. Unfortunately, I think Iran realizes that too.
Goal has always been with regards to their nuclear capability. From the start the U.S. and Israel have told the Iranian people desirous of regime change to stay home for their safety. The phrasing with respect to regime change has always been in the context of weakening the Iranian government and military to create the circumstances that would make it more feasible for the Iranian people to overthrow their government if they choose to take that task on, but has never been the explicitly stated goal. Current messaging is the same as previous messaging.
Phatbob
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Old McDonald said:

Phatbob said:

To be fair, it was a bunch of isolationists that were projecting onto Trump that pushed that idea during the campaign. I think most people knew from the beginning Trump was not that.

samurai_science said:

"Peace ticket" is fiction

uh huh


lol, that's about as fluff as you could possibly get and means nothing, and you know that. "Pro-Peace" could mean anything from "Let's do yoga and find your inner peace" to "peace through the iron fist". Platitudes are proof of nothing. Anyone who paid attention to the actual details of what Trump was saying knew he was never isolationist based peace at all costs.
flown-the-coop
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Believe that some of the chatter on ground troops results from the below. My understanding of this is that this is sort of the advanced team for a larger deployment.

Trump also just mentioned that Iran has provided a "gift" to him today. Probably an airplane or golden toilet.

There are also reports that the negotiator for Iran has agreed their will drop all pursuits for a nuclear weapon in perpetuity.

Seems like Trump is absolutely losing this war just as we all predicted.

https://nypost.com/2026/03/24/us-news/pentagon-prepares-3000-troops-from-elite-82nd-airborne-for-deployment-as-iran-war-continues/


bobbranco
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Keyno said:

FobTies said:

Keyno said:


This is a bizarre comment. Everything I said happened. Why are you calling me a liar?

Accurate predictions on fallout and shifting narratives seem to be offensive.

I personally think its great that "Regime Change" has shifted from a liberation campaign, to negotiating a nuke deal with a new leader in the existing regime. I dont think there is anything wrong with acknowledging that shift, or anyone's prediction it would happen.

I genuinely think that path is the best we Americans can hope for, with least poltical fallout for Trump. Unfortunately, I think Iran realizes that too.

Yeah, that is very optimistic. I wish it were so. But Israel wants regime change. So that's what we are going to do


Nice. One can only can surmise you want the the evil regime in place with nuclear weapons.
maverick2076
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Keyno said:

FobTies said:

Keyno said:


This is a bizarre comment. Everything I said happened. Why are you calling me a liar?

Accurate predictions on fallout and shifting narratives seem to be offensive.

I personally think its great that "Regime Change" has shifted from a liberation campaign, to negotiating a nuke deal with a new leader in the existing regime. I dont think there is anything wrong with acknowledging that shift, or anyone's prediction it would happen.

I genuinely think that path is the best we Americans can hope for, with least poltical fallout for Trump. Unfortunately, I think Iran realizes that too.

Yeah, that is very optimistic. I wish it were so. But Israel wants regime change. So that's what we are going to do

I always find it interesting when people carry out conversations between their socks.
japantiger
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S
flown-the-coop said:

Believe that some of the chatter on ground troops results from the below. My understanding of this is that this is sort of the advanced team for a larger deployment.

Trump also just mentioned that Iran has provided a "gift" to him today. Probably an airplane or golden toilet.

There are also reports that the negotiator for Iran has agreed their will drop all pursuits for a nuclear weapon in perpetuity.

Seems like Trump is absolutely losing this war just as we all predicted.

https://nypost.com/2026/03/24/us-news/pentagon-prepares-3000-troops-from-elite-82nd-airborne-for-deployment-as-iran-war-continues/




"It was not immediately clear when the troops would be deployed or what specific role they would play if sent to the region."

So it's bull*****..have not seen anything from either my own contacts or WH/Pentagon that relates to an 82nd IRF deployment
“It was miraculous. It was almost no trick at all, he saw, to turn vice into virtue and slander into truth, impotence into abstinence, arrogance into humility, plunder into philanthropy, thievery into honor, blasphemy into wisdom, brutality into patriotism, and sadism into justice. Anybody could do it; it required no brains at all. It merely required no character.”
Joseph Heller, Catch 22
Old McDonald
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Phatbob said:

Anyone who paid attention to the actual details of what Trump was saying knew he was never isolationist based peace at all costs.
this is just more backpedaling, retconning, and gaslighting. the cycle never ends:

1) trump throws out incoherent, contradictory messages
2) the sycophants cherry pick the ones that support the current party line, pretend the others don't exist
3) This Was Always the Plan and Everyone Knew it the Whole Time (TM)
4) party line changes, back to step 1
Keyno
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bobbranco said:

Keyno said:

FobTies said:

Keyno said:


This is a bizarre comment. Everything I said happened. Why are you calling me a liar?

Accurate predictions on fallout and shifting narratives seem to be offensive.

I personally think its great that "Regime Change" has shifted from a liberation campaign, to negotiating a nuke deal with a new leader in the existing regime. I dont think there is anything wrong with acknowledging that shift, or anyone's prediction it would happen.

I genuinely think that path is the best we Americans can hope for, with least poltical fallout for Trump. Unfortunately, I think Iran realizes that too.

Yeah, that is very optimistic. I wish it were so. But Israel wants regime change. So that's what we are going to do


Nice. One can only can surmise you want the the evil regime in place with nuclear weapons.


Nvmd
flown-the-coop
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I have no idea if that is what's occurring or if Tucker and Candace just outed their accounts on f16.

If every bad guy in Iran had laid down their weapons on day 4 of the air strikes and Reza was brought in on a golden helicopter and paraded in the streets followed by 30 days of freedom and feasts in Tehran with Jews and former IRGC dining together, Trump would be blamed for ending things too soon, didn't do enough to bomb the country into oblivion, demand executions of IGRC leaders whilst also wanting to try BiBi on war crimes.

Their true colors keep shining through, and they ain't Red, White and Blue.
flown-the-coop
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Its pretty well sourced. Below is from stripes.com.

To be clear, I have ZERO issue with this deployment. Seems rather sensible and inspected.

Libs will say this is the ghost of Stormin Norman ready to march into Tehran.

Quote:

On Tuesday, Fox News reported that the Commander of the 82nd Airborne Division, Maj. Gen. Brandon Tegtmeier, and his command element, along with members of his headquarters staff, have been ordered to deploy to the Middle East amid discussions about possible ground operations. Later in the day, The Wall Street Journal reported a written order was imminent.

Read more at: https://www.stripes.com/branches/army/2026-03-24/karag-82nd-airborne-marines-iran-21167074.html
Source - Stars and Stripes


Prosperdick
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maverick2076 said:

Keyno said:

FobTies said:

Keyno said:


This is a bizarre comment. Everything I said happened. Why are you calling me a liar?

Accurate predictions on fallout and shifting narratives seem to be offensive.

I personally think its great that "Regime Change" has shifted from a liberation campaign, to negotiating a nuke deal with a new leader in the existing regime. I dont think there is anything wrong with acknowledging that shift, or anyone's prediction it would happen.

I genuinely think that path is the best we Americans can hope for, with least poltical fallout for Trump. Unfortunately, I think Iran realizes that too.

Yeah, that is very optimistic. I wish it were so. But Israel wants regime change. So that's what we are going to do

I always find it interesting when people carry out conversations between their socks.

I call it a sock hop.
maverick2076
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flown-the-coop said:

I have no idea if that is what's occurring or if Tucker and Candace just outed their accounts on f16.

If every bad guy in Iran had laid down their weapons on day 4 of the air strikes and Reza was brought in on a golden helicopter and paraded in the streets followed by 30 days of freedom and feasts in Tehran with Jews and former IRGC dining together, Trump would be blamed for ending things too soon, didn't do enough to bomb the country into oblivion, demand executions of IGRC leaders whilst also wanting to try BiBi on war crimes.

Their true colors keep shining through, and they ain't Red, White and Blue.

Well, red maybe...
Ag87H2O
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AG


Things that make you smile. This is how you negotiate.
Phatbob
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Old McDonald said:

Phatbob said:

Anyone who paid attention to the actual details of what Trump was saying knew he was never isolationist based peace at all costs.

this is just more backpedaling, retconning, and gaslighting. the cycle never ends:

1) trump throws out incoherent, contradictory messages
2) the sycophants cherry pick the ones that support the current party line, pretend the others don't exist
3) This Was Always the Plan and Everyone Knew it the Whole Time (TM)
4) party line changes, back to step 1

I've never said it wasn't, at best, playing both sides of the isolationism debate at the time. Still don't like Trump. Still doesn't affect that this is a stupid thing to argue over because

1) It doesn't matter what Trump does, you will hate, so this war is obviously wrong to you based on TDS
2) The merits of going to kinetic action in this case has 0 to do with what Trump ran or didn't run on
3) The performance of the current kinetic action has 0 to do with whether you or I or anyone like, love, or hate Trump, and you and half a dozen others here are already judging the outcome based on things that have yet to even happen simply because either Trump or Israel is involved.
4stringAg
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AG
Phatbob said:

Old McDonald said:

Phatbob said:

Anyone who paid attention to the actual details of what Trump was saying knew he was never isolationist based peace at all costs.

this is just more backpedaling, retconning, and gaslighting. the cycle never ends:

1) trump throws out incoherent, contradictory messages
2) the sycophants cherry pick the ones that support the current party line, pretend the others don't exist
3) This Was Always the Plan and Everyone Knew it the Whole Time (TM)
4) party line changes, back to step 1

I've never said it wasn't, at best, playing both sides of the isolationism debate at the time. Still don't like Trump. Still doesn't affect that this is a stupid thing to argue over because

1) It doesn't matter what Trump does, you will hate, so this war is obviously wrong to you based on TDS
2) The merits of going to kinetic action in this case has 0 to do with what Trump ran or didn't run on
3) The performance of the current kinetic action has 0 to do with whether you or I or anyone like, love, or hate Trump, and you and half a dozen others here are already judging the outcome based on things that have yet to even happen simply because either Trump or Israel is involved.

4) Nothing in Trump's history as CIC suggest he's in this for the long haul. We're a little over 3 weeks in. Comparisons to Iraq and Afghanistan are ridiculous arguments at this stage and reflect TDS.
Keyno
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4stringAg said:

Phatbob said:

Old McDonald said:

Phatbob said:

Anyone who paid attention to the actual details of what Trump was saying knew he was never isolationist based peace at all costs.

this is just more backpedaling, retconning, and gaslighting. the cycle never ends:

1) trump throws out incoherent, contradictory messages
2) the sycophants cherry pick the ones that support the current party line, pretend the others don't exist
3) This Was Always the Plan and Everyone Knew it the Whole Time (TM)
4) party line changes, back to step 1

I've never said it wasn't, at best, playing both sides of the isolationism debate at the time. Still don't like Trump. Still doesn't affect that this is a stupid thing to argue over because

1) It doesn't matter what Trump does, you will hate, so this war is obviously wrong to you based on TDS
2) The merits of going to kinetic action in this case has 0 to do with what Trump ran or didn't run on
3) The performance of the current kinetic action has 0 to do with whether you or I or anyone like, love, or hate Trump, and you and half a dozen others here are already judging the outcome based on things that have yet to even happen simply because either Trump or Israel is involved.

4) Nothing in Trump's history as CIC suggest he's in this for the long haul. We're a little over 3 weeks in. Comparisons to Iraq and Afghanistan are ridiculous arguments at this stage and reflect TDS.

I tend to disagree. Trump is not going to "lose". The Strait of Hormuz thing is destroying his stature internationally.

Iranian leadership is also not going to back down.

Escalation ladder

FobTies
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bobbranco said:


One can only can surmise you want the the evil regime in place with nuclear weapons.


BMX Bandit said:

If you don't understand how preventing the foremost sponsor of Islamic terrorism in the world from getting nuclear weapons or conventional weapons that can reach us is in the best interest of the United States, then there isn't anything anyone can ever say to convince you this is good for America.

If one truly believes any action Trump takes against Iran, or to help Israel, is to prevent a Nuclear Holocaust, then literally anything he does is justified and should not be challenged. If anyone opposes Trump under that framing, they can be perceived as wanting a Nuclear Holocaust. Then, anyone who is for "Nuke Holocaust" can be thrown out, along with any legit arguements they may have.

Like with "Climate Change" this "existential threat" can be used to batter any disagreement, in perpetuity. You can be on the winning side of any argument, if its about not wanting to die. That dynamic is why we see this tactic used so much.

*For the record this Iran war will be the 4th time Trump has saved us from a "Nuke Holocaust":

FobTies
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hph6203 said:

Current messaging is the same as previous messaging.

Keyno
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FobTies said:

bobbranco said:


One can only can surmise you want the the evil regime in place with nuclear weapons.


BMX Bandit said:

If you don't understand how preventing the foremost sponsor of Islamic terrorism in the world from getting nuclear weapons or conventional weapons that can reach us is in the best interest of the United States, then there isn't anything anyone can ever say to convince you this is good for America.

If one truly believes any action Trump takes against Iran, or to help Israel, is to prevent a Nuclear Holocaust, then literally anything he does is justified and should not be challenged. If anyone opposes Trump under that framing, they can be perceived as wanting a Nuclear Holocaust. Then, anyone who is for "Nuke Holocaust" can be thrown out, along with any legit arguements they may have.

Like with "Climate Change" this "existential threat" can be used to batter any disagreement, in perpetuity. You can be on the winning side of any argument, if its about not wanting to die. That dynamic is why we see this tactic used so much.

*For the record this Iran war will be the 4th time Trump has saved us from a "Nuke Holocaust":



Yeah take that to the next step. Is there any real deterrence from Israel using a nuke? Obviously the US would not do anything and would in fact defend them from retaliation from other powers
Keyno
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W
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the tricky thing...

sometimes the replacement leaders -- civilian and military -- are smarter and better than the original leaders

i.e. the original guys were the incompetent ones
FobTies
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Keyno said:

Is there any real deterrence from Israel using a nuke?

I hope so. But doubtful. There is the version of Trump who didn't like ME regime change wars. Also, the version below. But sadly there is lots of "turn them to glass" internet tough cheerleading also.

aggiehawg
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Keyno said:




Response? "Just look up. We are right there."
Ag87H2O
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AG
Keyno said:




Keyno
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aggiehawg said:

Keyno said:




Response? "Just look up. We are right there."

It's fun to be coy and playful, but a ground invasion is not that. Its deadly and brutal and many of your country men will die. Iran is not Iraq or Afghanistan. Much bigger and brutal terrain. Much bigger and well trained army. Iranians have a higher average IQ. And they have been preparing to get invaded for like 3 decades.
aggiehawg
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Guess you missed this. That is what I was referencing.


Quote:

We negotiate with bombs. You have a choice, as we loiter over the top of Tehran... about your future."


Keyno
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Yes I am aware that Trump is continually saying "we won" while he prepares a ground invasion.
HoustonAggie11
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we are using ground troops now in full combat?
HoustonAggie11
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Keyno said:




lol you post like this is actually going to happen
bobbranco
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AG
Keyno said:

aggiehawg said:

Keyno said:




Response? "Just look up. We are right there."

It's fun to be coy and playful, but a ground invasion is not that. Its deadly and brutal and many of your country men will die. Iran is not Iraq or Afghanistan. Much bigger and brutal terrain. Much bigger and well trained army. Iranians have a higher average IQ. And they have been preparing to get invaded for like 3 decades.


You misread a simple sentence.
bobbranco
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AG
Trolling the board.
FobTies
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Has anyone stopped to think what Iran wants at the negotiation table? What if anything they would concede on, to give Trump a victory?

The more I think about what all parties want, and how far apart they are, the less likely a deal looks.

Starting to look binary:

Trump finds a way to let Israel take the reins of war, while claiming US victory on the air strikes. (best case)
Or
Trump invades Iran with US troops. (major gamble)
Keyno
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bobbranco said:

Keyno said:

aggiehawg said:

Keyno said:




Response? "Just look up. We are right there."

It's fun to be coy and playful, but a ground invasion is not that. Its deadly and brutal and many of your country men will die. Iran is not Iraq or Afghanistan. Much bigger and brutal terrain. Much bigger and well trained army. Iranians have a higher average IQ. And they have been preparing to get invaded for like 3 decades.


You misread a simple sentence.

Unfortunately, aggiehawg is the one who misread the tweet. And you misread the entire thing
Cinco Ranch Aggie
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Unconditional surrender is all they get
flown-the-coop
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Correct.

Looks like Fuente, TC and CO are sticking with their "Its the Jews man" propaganda.

Trump says we get what we want. If they do not give, we take. Pretty simple.

Bombing will continue until negotiations improve.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
 
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