Guitarsoup said:

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Draft situation for Mavs:

They are currently 11th worst in the league, not in the play-in and Luka doesn't play against Indiana.

If Dallas stays at 11th, they have about 11% chance at a top-4 pick, or else it would be 11th or worse and would go to NYK.

Dallas and Chicago have essentially the same record (Dallas has one more win and one more loss).

10th place team has a 16.6% chance at top 4, then a 66% chance at getting the 10th pick. In that situation, Dallas would keep the pick.

Utah is one game below the Mavs for 9th place. 9th place would have a 20% chance at top 4, 50% at 9th and 26% at 10th. So just a ~4% chance of the pick going to the Knicks.

Utah is 1 game back from OKC for the play-in. Wizards have two games on the Jazz for 8th.

Basically, the Mavs are simultaneously 1 game out of 9th worst and a 96% chance at keeping their draft pick and a half game back on OKC for the playin.

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zgolfz85 said:

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So we need to get to 9th place for a better shot at not losing our draft pick…am I interpreting that right?

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shack009 said:

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zgolfz85 said:

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So we need to get to 9th place for a better shot at not losing our draft pick…am I interpreting that right?

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Not 9th place, 9th worst record.

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zgolfz85 said:

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shack009 said:

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zgolfz85 said:

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So we need to get to 9th place for a better shot at not losing our draft pick…am I interpreting that right?

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Not 9th place, 9th worst record.

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Thanks…not used to rooting against my team

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zgolfz85 said:

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shack009 said:

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zgolfz85 said:

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So we need to get to 9th place for a better shot at not losing our draft pick…am I interpreting that right?

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Not 9th place, 9th worst record.

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Thanks…not used to rooting against my team

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shack009 said:

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zgolfz85 said:

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shack009 said:

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zgolfz85 said:

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So we need to get to 9th place for a better shot at not losing our draft pick…am I interpreting that right?

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Not 9th place, 9th worst record.

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Thanks…not used to rooting against my team

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We aren't used to counting from the bottom like Spurs fans.

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shack009 said:

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wangus12 said:

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Lol the guys on The Fan talked about being in good hands with Kidd to rebuild over the next two years and right the ship

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Who tf is listening to the Fan when the ticket is right there? As long as you understand that Sturm and Jake are the only ones worth listening to about sports.

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PatAg said:

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This team is making the playoffs, and then I guess we will see what they figure out at that point. Always have a shot with Luka

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MW03 said:

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Whole team is scared to shoot... Except Bullock who should be

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jeffdjohnson said:

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Lose the next 5 and you have a high probability of keeping your pick with a plausible shot at jumping into the top 4. Win the next 5 and you have probably just made the 9/10 play-in game where you have to win 2 more in order to be the 8th seed (basically win 7 in a row). It just isn't realistic. I'm guessing the Mavs will keep trying when they play against Miami on Saturday. If they lose and Thunder win, it should be game over and they throw in the towel. Then hopefully it is Frank the tank Ntilikina time to close out the season.

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Ol Jock 99 said:

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I've already told you, we will miss the play-in and ship the #11 pick to NY. Book it.

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94chem said:

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This team can't shoot. It's painful to watch. Kyrie should be averaging 15 APG.

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PatAg said:

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94chem said:

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This team can't shoot. It's painful to watch. Kyrie should be averaging 15 APG.

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That's what we've said about Luka for the last 2 years too. He gets them the MOST open looks and they just brick it all

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Carlo4 said:

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PatAg said:

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94chem said:

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This team can't shoot. It's painful to watch. Kyrie should be averaging 15 APG.

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That's what we've said about Luka for the last 2 years too. He gets them the MOST open looks and they just brick it all

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Look up how Dinwiddie and DFS are doing. Shooting percentage is WAY down without Luka. He was making them better.

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awinlonghorn said:

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now that the mavs aren't making the playoffs..what are examples of superstars in their prime missing the playoffs?

Hakeem in 1992?

Kobe in 2005?


Any others?

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PatAg said:

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Prob plenty of players

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shack009 said:

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awinlonghorn said:

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now that the mavs aren't making the playoffs..what are examples of superstars in their prime missing the playoffs?

Hakeem in 1992?

Kobe in 2005?


Any others?

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Bill Simmons said a few (maybe 4) from the past 50 years on his Sunday pod. I think just putting it that simply is a real disservice to Luka.

The roster is garbage. After Kyrie, there aren't any guys that would be getting minutes on a playoff team.

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