***Official Early Vote Tracking***

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will25u
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6:45p, 11/4/24
Big WIN!

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4
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In reply to will25u • 6:47p, 11/4/24
AG
Outstanding!

If Virginia goes red, it's over before it even begins
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RED AG 98
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In reply to 4 • 6:49p, 11/4/24
AG
Inject it into my veins. I am not ready to hurt again.
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will25u
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6:50p, 11/4/24
Throwback Thursday but on Election Eve!

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TheHulkster
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6:54p, 11/4/24
AG
When did the Rs get an elite EV ground game? Fairly unbelievable and counterintuitive. Rs can't just fill out the nursing home residents ballots and bus the homeless into polling places, as the Ds got those tactics on lock. So how are they pulling this off?
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Thunderstruck xx
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In reply to 4 • 6:55p, 11/4/24
4 said:
Outstanding!

If Virginia goes red, it's over before it even begins


I WANT TO BELIEVE
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88Warrior
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In reply to aggiehawg • 6:55p, 11/4/24
aggiehawg said:
Quote:
Of all states, Michigan is slitting their own throats if they vote for Harris.


Of all of the swing states, they have the most reason to vote for Trump.

It's amazing how stupid some people can be.
The oil and gas workers in PA might have an equal case to be made there.


The O&G guys in PA are all in for Trump…
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4stringAg
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In reply to will25u • 6:56p, 11/4/24
AG
will25u said:
Big WIN!



Wasn't this settled last week or was this another issue?
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FTAG 2000
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6:58p, 11/4/24
AG
Need someone to run with that VA illegals ruling to Arizona.
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Philip J Fry
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7:04p, 11/4/24
AG
Happy about the EV, but I'll feel much better when we see the IPV confirm they aren't cannibalizing their tally.
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agsalaska
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In reply to Matt Hooper • 7:25p, 11/4/24
AG
Matt Hooper said:
I realize there is a rational element of keep your voters motivated to vote now that we are at Election Day.

But - as a layman who's already voted, there is something that just does not make sense.

1. Across multiple states (FL, GA, NC, PA, WI. MI, NV, AZ) republicans are at or slightly above 2020 early vote totals (in person and mail). Democrats are between 75% and 80% of their 202) vote totals.

2. The 2020 race was won (SP Edit) by a small number of votes in GA, WI, PA, MI and AZ.

3. Unless you believe R votes on Election Day are going to woefully under perform relative to 2020 (despite clear voter enthusiasm in the early vote) OR D voters are going to outperform on Election Day relative to 2020 (and out performed to 115% to 120% of that number) - then there is math problem with this race being as close as 2020.
Where do the catch up votes come from to make this race close like 2020?

This ignores greater R voter registration for 2024 potential voter pool.
This ignores R apparent better performance with Latino voters - not proven yet; only poll speculation.

These things don't seem like they can co-exist together. Maybe I am missing something - but there seems to be meaningful math whole for team D.



Agree that the math is bad for D.

But the Republicans are almost certainly eating into some portion of their Election Day vote. I get that they have a bunch of first time voters. I get it. But a LOT of normal Republican voters have voted early this year.
The trouble with quotes on the internet is that you never know if they are genuine. -- Abraham Lincoln.



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MemphisAg1
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In reply to agsalaska • 7:29p, 11/4/24
AG
Plenty of data in this thread that R's are getting their early vote from low propensity voters -- people who don't normally vote -- and are still well positioned for strong turnout on ED from high propensity voters.

Of course, the proof will be in the pudding. We'll know in <30 hours.
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LMCane
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In reply to TheHulkster • 7:35p, 11/4/24
TheHulkster said:
When did the Rs get an elite EV ground game? Fairly unbelievable and counterintuitive. Rs can't just fill out the nursing home residents ballots and bus the homeless into polling places, as the Ds got those tactics on lock. So how are they pulling this off?

IF Trump wins Pennsylvania the answer is:

Scott Pressler

Turning Point Action

charlie kirk

RNC

Early vote action
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Matt Hooper
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In reply to agsalaska • 7:39p, 11/4/24
AG
Not to be argumentative - but why do you believe R's have canalized ED votes when all they have done is match 2020 early vote totals?

Note - there has also been a net increase in R registrations as well as voters that identify has R. But ignore that; early votes are the nearly the same for R; D votes are down.
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Flying Crowbar
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In reply to 4stringAg • 7:39p, 11/4/24
AG
Yes, it looks like that's the news from last week. As the video runs, there's a box in the lower right corner that says '6 days until the election.'
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annie88
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In reply to Captn_Ag05 • 7:43p, 11/4/24
AG
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LMCane
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7:43p, 11/4/24
Uh gents?!

have we discussed this breaking news...

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Cedar Bayou Ag
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In reply to LMCane • 7:44p, 11/4/24
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In reply to LMCane • 7:44p, 11/4/24
agsalaska
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In reply to MemphisAg1 • 7:46p, 11/4/24
AG
Yea. Ok.

I'm sitting down to dinner and am not going to get in that debate. But it should be pretty obvious. Agree that it's a lot of low propensity voters. But you really think we not only found these voters but talked them into voting early. Without voting ourselves. That doesn't make any sense.

And the anecdotes are off the charts. The lines in Temple Tx this week voting early were not new voters.

We will see tomorrow.
The trouble with quotes on the internet is that you never know if they are genuine. -- Abraham Lincoln.



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SwigAg11
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In reply to LMCane • 7:46p, 11/4/24
AG
And the GOP has so much gas left in the tank compared to the Dems.
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Barnyard96
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In reply to LMCane • 7:46p, 11/4/24
AG
How is this determined?
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SwigAg11
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In reply to Barnyard96 • 7:47p, 11/4/24
AG
Barnyard96 said:
How is this determined?

Voter return data given out by PA SoS.
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GottaRide
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In reply to LMCane • 7:48p, 11/4/24
S
LMCane said:
TheHulkster said:
When did the Rs get an elite EV ground game? Fairly unbelievable and counterintuitive. Rs can't just fill out the nursing home residents ballots and bus the homeless into polling places, as the Ds got those tactics on lock. So how are they pulling this off?

IF Trump wins Pennsylvania the answer is:

Scott Pressler

Turning Point Action

charlie kirk

RNC

Early vote action


Lara Trump (Lara Trump/RNC) should be in front of your RNC point. There was a lot of trash talk when she took that position, but that sure has quieted down.
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Barnyard96
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In reply to SwigAg11 • 7:49p, 11/4/24
RGLAG85
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In reply to agsalaska • 7:52p, 11/4/24
AG
agsalaska said:
Yea. Ok.

I'm sitting down to dinner and am not going to get in that debate. But it should be pretty obvious. Agree that it's a lot of low propensity voters. But you really think we not only found these voters but talked them into voting early. Without voting ourselves. That doesn't make any sense.

And the anecdotes are off the charts. The lines in Temple Tx this week voting early were not new voters.

We will see tomorrow.
The smartest person on this board can't be wrong.
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Prosperdick
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In reply to agsalaska • 7:52p, 11/4/24
AG
agsalaska said:
Yea. Ok.

I'm sitting down to dinner and am not going to get in that debate. But it should be pretty obvious. Agree that it's a lot of low propensity voters. But you really think we not only found these voters but talked them into voting early. Without voting ourselves. That doesn't make any sense.

And the anecdotes are off the charts. The lines in Temple Tx this week voting early were not new voters.

We will see tomorrow.
Obviously there is some cannibalization, silly to think that there isn't but the bigger news is the underperformance of Dems voting early, which is their bread and butter. Any loss of ED voting by R's due to early voting won't matter because Dems have massively underperformed in their early voting.

Does anyone think the Dems, who always get outvoted by R's on election day, will suddenly show up tomorrow and blow it out? Seriously? I also don't want to hear about midnight ballot drops...where are those ballots coming from? This isn't 2020 with 35 million extra MIB's available to harvest nationwide.
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RGLAG85
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In reply to GottaRide • 7:53p, 11/4/24
AG
GottaRide said:
LMCane said:
TheHulkster said:
When did the Rs get an elite EV ground game? Fairly unbelievable and counterintuitive. Rs can't just fill out the nursing home residents ballots and bus the homeless into polling places, as the Ds got those tactics on lock. So how are they pulling this off?

IF Trump wins Pennsylvania the answer is:

Scott Pressler

Turning Point Action

charlie kirk

RNC

Early vote action


Lara Trump (Lara Trump/RNC) should be in front of your RNC point. There was a lot of trash talk when she took that position, but that sure has quieted down.
Regardless of outcome, she has been nails and light years better than RM.
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FireAg
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In reply to Prosperdick • 7:54p, 11/4/24
AG
Correct…the story isn't R EV turnout…

The story is D underperformance in EV…

It's staggering compared to 2020…
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LMCane
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7:54p, 11/4/24
Just dropped that Joe Rogan officially endorsed Trump along with Elon

they need to blast this 1000 times in the next 24 hours across the entire country

need to increase the male vote!
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agsalaska
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In reply to RGLAG85 • 7:58p, 11/4/24
AG
You better believe it.
The trouble with quotes on the internet is that you never know if they are genuine. -- Abraham Lincoln.



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agsalaska
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In reply to Prosperdick • 7:59p, 11/4/24
AG
Prosperdick said:
agsalaska said:
Yea. Ok.

I'm sitting down to dinner and am not going to get in that debate. But it should be pretty obvious. Agree that it's a lot of low propensity voters. But you really think we not only found these voters but talked them into voting early. Without voting ourselves. That doesn't make any sense.

And the anecdotes are off the charts. The lines in Temple Tx this week voting early were not new voters.

We will see tomorrow.
Obviously there is some cannibalization, silly to think that there isn't but the bigger news is the underperformance of Dems voting early, which is their bread and butter. Any loss of ED voting by R's due to early voting won't matter because Dems have massively underperformed in their early voting.

Does anyone think the Dems, who always get outvoted by R's on election day, will suddenly show up tomorrow and blow it out? Seriously? I also don't want to hear about midnight ballot drops...where are those ballots coming from? This isn't 2020 with 35 million extra MIB's available to harvest nationwide.


Apparently it is silly to think that there has been.

But I agree with the rest. The left wants to dismiss their lack of early voting to no Covid but I don't buy that. Its lack of enthusiasm. Agree with you that is the story.
The trouble with quotes on the internet is that you never know if they are genuine. -- Abraham Lincoln.



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OregonAggie
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In reply to LMCane • 8:01p, 11/4/24
AG
LMCane said:
Just dropped that Joe Rogan officially endorsed Trump along with Elon

they need to blast this 1000 times in the next 24 hours across the entire country

need to increase the male vote!


Doesn't matter. Kamala already cornered the White Dudes across the country with those great ads
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texagbeliever
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In reply to TAMUallen • 8:01p, 11/4/24
TAMUallen said:
LMCane said:
Just dropped that Joe Rogan officially endorsed Trump along with Elon

they need to blast this 1000 times in the next 24 hours across the entire country

need to increase the male vote!


Wait, you're now for Trump?

It is now popular to be on the Trump Train...
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texagbeliever
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In reply to FireAg • 8:03p, 11/4/24
FireAg said:
Correct…the story isn't R EV turnout…

The story is D underperformance in EV…

It's staggering compared to 2020…

The story is easy. Democrats aren't experiencing a mass psychosis aka Covid. So they are much less motivated and Kamala is much worse of a candidate then 2020 Biden.
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