***Official Early Vote Tracking***

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SwigAg11
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In reply to 2023NCAggies • 7:37p, 10/17/24
AG
2023NCAggies said:
LMCane said:
tweets out now that the GOP is doing extremely well with early voting in Arizona

while democrat votes are lagging their 2020 levels


Turning point is going to turn Arizona red again. They're working hard in Wisconsin and Nevada too

They might get Lake across the finish line. It's going to be very close regardless of what this board thinks. Her opponent is paying a lot of money to keep his divorce papers private. If they release them, it's over.

McConnell should have put money into other states other than stupid Maryland. Cannot wait till that idiot is gone. Should have went to Michigan, the R candidate is basically broke and still damn near tied. I hate the old guard Rs
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Captn_Ag05
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7:55p, 10/17/24
AG


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2023NCAggies
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In reply to SwigAg11 • 8:10p, 10/17/24
SwigAg11 said:
2023NCAggies said:
LMCane said:
tweets out now that the GOP is doing extremely well with early voting in Arizona

while democrat votes are lagging their 2020 levels


Turning point is going to turn Arizona red again. They're working hard in Wisconsin and Nevada too

They might get Lake across the finish line. It's going to be very close regardless of what this board thinks. Her opponent is paying a lot of money to keep his divorce papers private. If they release them, it's over.

McConnell should have put money into other states other than stupid Maryland. Cannot wait till that idiot is gone. Should have went to Michigan, the R candidate is basically broke and still damn near tied. I hate the old guard Rs


He will lose. Haha. I'm going to predict 54-46 senate. The house I'm worried about. The senate will stay red Trumps entire term, and it might get to 56-44 after 2026 elections. Sununu Will win New Hampshire if he runs and Georgia could turn.

Trump needs the house at least for two years or nothing will get passed. We need immigration reform and election law policy passed big time. Or this country will be lost. Unless an R wins in 2028. Which God willing will happen hopefully
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2023NCAggies
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In reply to LMCane • 8:20p, 10/17/24
LMCane said:
2023NCAggies said:
Captn_Ag05 said:
Turning point. Thank God for Charlie Kirk. Republicans really need to embrace Turning Point and have a base in most states
Scott Pressler is so far superior to Charlie Kirk!

Pressler was literally driving a battered Honda with bald tires around Pennsylvania while Kirk flies around on Trump's private jets.

guarantee that Kirk is a millionaire off of his grift while Pressler runs himself ragged for months out on voter registrations. some on the Early Action Team set up a GoFundMe to raise money and bought Pressler a new $15,000 car!

If we win Pennsylvania it's because of Pressler and his team.


I agree. He's a badass, there is one more guy in PA that's great forget his name.

But Charlie Kirk definitely started a good organization that Rs desperately needed. Hopefully the Republican Party embraces it fully.

Pressler needs to get paid. That really pisses me off if GOP is not giving him money. If we win PA he deserves 100k gift, he should get that regardless
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will25u
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9:00p, 10/17/24
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AggieVictor10
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9:03p, 10/17/24
AG
2016 2: orange man bad boogaloo
hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. good times create weak men. and weak men create hard times.

less virtue signaling, more vice signaling.

Birds aren’t real
Lol,lmao
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will25u
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9:16p, 10/17/24
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2023NCAggies
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In reply to will25u • 9:19p, 10/17/24
will25u said:


Really hope Trump wins Texas by over a million. We desperately need that. It would be a huge black eye for Dems if the tide turned towards Rs. Imagine if Rs spent as much money in Maine, Michigan, Wisconsin, PA, Virginia etc. as the Dems do in Texas. those states would be lean RED every election I bet.
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2023NCAggies
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10:24p, 10/17/24
Looks like my prediction. Let's Fing go!!!!! Really wish we could get more money to the senate candidates. Rs need a lot more small donors. I think it's under a million that have contributed. Pathetic

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nortex97
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6:42a, 10/18/24
AG




Democrats bleeding out their share of rural registrations in AZ (note, not early votes in this next tweet):


I would hazard a guess that the party that wants to wage a war on farming is doing that on a national level.
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SwigAg11
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In reply to nortex97 • 6:57a, 10/18/24
AG
To add Maricopa county on top of your AZ post.



And then the statewide registrations.

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JDUB08AG
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7:48a, 10/18/24
AG
So I'm enjoying all these data points, but are there similar data sources from the left? A damn lies and statistics kind of thing. I was listening to Mark Halperins podcast the other day and the dems were downright giddy about early turnout in Georgia on day 1.
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4stringAg
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In reply to JDUB08AG • 8:44a, 10/18/24
AG
JDUB08AG said:
So I'm enjoying all these data points, but are there similar data sources from the left? A damn lies and statistics kind of thing. I was listening to Mark Halperins podcast the other day and the dems were downright giddy about early turnout in Georgia on day 1.
I thought the early turnout in GA was shown to favor R's and that blacks voting in GA was way down compared to this time in 2020.
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will25u
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8:49a, 10/18/24
Things are trending well for Reps in both GA and PA. I said it before, and I'll say it again now....

Dems have a huge enthusiasm issue. They are not registering as like before, nor voting as much as before.

Would have been the same or worse if Biden had stayed in.


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Captn_Ag05
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9:25a, 10/18/24
AG
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harge57
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In reply to JDUB08AG • 10:51a, 10/18/24
AG
JDUB08AG said:
So I'm enjoying all these data points, but are there similar data sources from the left? A damn lies and statistics kind of thing. I was listening to Mark Halperins podcast the other day and the dems were downright giddy about early turnout in Georgia on day 1.
They were excited about the turnout until they saw the demographics. Nothing coming in so far from actual results has been positive for Democrats.
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2023NCAggies
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11:06a, 10/18/24
I called the enthusiasm for DEMs major BS when they were reporting 95% solid support. It is probably at 85~90







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billydean05
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12:06p, 10/18/24
I am starting to think Trump might win the popular vote. These early voting numbers are pretty pathetic across the board for democrats. Pennsylvania is trying to hold up the best but it is still looking better then previous years. Georgia and North Carolina I see no path or chance at dems winning those with current early vote numbers. Virginia is not looking good at all for democrats. This could be the surprise state for 2024.
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will25u
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12:28p, 10/18/24
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TA-OP
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12:37p, 10/18/24
The issue I see with strictly comparing R vs. D numbers is it can't account for the never Trump R contingent. Has there been any analysis into what percentage R votes would fall into this category? Does it vary regionally?
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will25u
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12:39p, 10/18/24
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will25u
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12:40p, 10/18/24
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LMCane
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In reply to 2023NCAggies • 1:16p, 10/18/24
I donated to Hung Cao and he sent out a message that he outraised Kaine in the last quarter
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4
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1:57p, 10/18/24
AG
If these hard data trends continue, Trump may tally more votes than the D's can overcome by cheating
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P.U.T.U
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In reply to 4 • 1:58p, 10/18/24
AG
4 said:
If these hard data trends continue, Trump may tally more votes than the D's can overcome by cheating


Think they will accept that challenge
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4
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In reply to P.U.T.U • 2:02p, 10/18/24
AG
No doubt they will
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2023NCAggies
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2:12p, 10/18/24
Things must going bad for Casey

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aggiehawg
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In reply to will25u • 2:24p, 10/18/24
AG
As for PA, that is only one door knocking operation there. Saw a gal on Sean Spicer's stream a few days ago saying they had knocked on over 800,000 doors. Concentrating on Allegheny, Bucks, Northhamptom counties.
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American Hardwood
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In reply to TA-OP • 2:47p, 10/18/24
AG
TA-OP said:
The issue I see with strictly comparing R vs. D numbers is it can't account for the never Trump R contingent. Has there been any analysis into what percentage R votes would fall into this category? Does it vary regionally?
I think the key here is looking at the registration numbers. The trend there more or less matches the vote numbers. I doubt there are many people looking to get registered as a Republican just to vote against Trump.
The best way to keep evil men from wielding great power is to not create great power in the first place.
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agsalaska
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In reply to will25u • 3:02p, 10/18/24
AG
will25u said:
Yea, I don't see him backing that up with any statistical analysis.
The trouble with quotes on the internet is that you never know if they are genuine. -- Abraham Lincoln.



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nortex97
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In reply to LMCane • 3:09p, 10/18/24
AG
LMCane said:
I donated to Hung Cao and he sent out a message that he outraised Kaine in the last quarter
I still think this is the most likely outcome in VA (D+1):



I hope to be wrong.
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TA-OP
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In reply to American Hardwood • 3:12p, 10/18/24
American Hardwood said:
TA-OP said:
The issue I see with strictly comparing R vs. D numbers is it can't account for the never Trump R contingent. Has there been any analysis into what percentage R votes would fall into this category? Does it vary regionally?
I think the key here is looking at the registration numbers. The trend there more or less matches the vote numbers. I doubt there are many people looking to get registered as a Republican just to vote against Trump.
Makes some sense. I still think it's a wildcard that's hard to account for with strictly these numbers.
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2023NCAggies
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In reply to aggiehawg • 3:18p, 10/18/24
aggiehawg said:
As for PA, that is only one door knocking operation there. Saw a gal on Sean Spicer's stream a few days ago saying they had knocked on over 800,000 doors. Concentrating on Allegheny, Bucks, Northhamptom counties.
Holy sh** they are tearing it up.
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2023NCAggies
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3:18p, 10/18/24
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Prosperdick
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3:47p, 10/18/24
AG
I'm hoping they spend so much time trying to cheat in those battleground states where they are way behind that they lose states they thought they had in the bag, like Virginia.

If Trump can pick off a few of those "safe" states suddenly the cheat backfires on them and he still wins (especially if they can't overcome the numbers in all the swing states they need).
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