***Official Early Vote Tracking***

254,312 Views | 1696 Replies | Last: 1 yr ago by IDaggie06
SwigAg11
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3:22p, 10/22/24
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billydean05
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3:27p, 10/22/24
Florida will not even be single digits. As far as order I have heard regarding tossup states:

1) Arizona
2) Georgia
3) NC
4) Pennsylvania
5) Wisconsin
6) Michigan
7) Nevada
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SwigAg11
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In reply to will25u • 3:27p, 10/22/24


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Captn_Ag05
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4:06p, 10/22/24
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will25u
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4:26p, 10/22/24
"We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution."

- Abraham Lincoln
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aggiehawg
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In reply to will25u • 4:28p, 10/22/24
Now we pray the tabulators are correctly calibrated.
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will25u
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4:33p, 10/22/24
Thread

"We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution."

- Abraham Lincoln
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will25u
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4:35p, 10/22/24
"We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution."

- Abraham Lincoln
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4stringAg
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In reply to Captn_Ag05 • 4:45p, 10/22/24
Captn_Ag05 said:
Blacks aren't turning out in GA it appears, at least to this point.
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SwigAg11
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In reply to 4stringAg • 4:54p, 10/22/24
4stringAg said:
Captn_Ag05 said:
Blacks aren't turning out in GA it appears, at least to this point.

There is typically large GOTV campaigns in the black community on Sundays, but there is only 1 Sunday left for early voting in GA.
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txags92
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In reply to 4stringAg • 4:57p, 10/22/24
4stringAg said:
Captn_Ag05 said:
Blacks aren't turning out in GA it appears, at least to this point.
That is made even worse for the Ds by the fact that the ones that are turning out are voting for Trump at around 2x the rate they went for Biden.
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jr15aggie
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5:04p, 10/22/24
Regardless of what the actual truth is, the fact remains that a LOT of people feel like the 2020 election was stolen. Add in the opinion that Kamala is very unlikeable and we are seeing the results.

Massive turnout by conservatives and a decent number of Dem voters are simply gonna stay home.
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Prosperdick
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In reply to SwigAg11 • 5:18p, 10/22/24
SwigAg11 said:


This is what voter enthusiasm looks like in visual form.
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Legend
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In reply to will25u • 5:40p, 10/22/24
Wasn't Larry pretty optimistic (but wrong) in 2020? I could be mistaken, but seem to recall this.
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AtticusMatlock
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In reply to Legend • 5:45p, 10/22/24
Legend said:
Wasn't Larry pretty optimistic (but wrong) in 2020? I could be mistaken, but seem to recall this.


Probably. If you click on his profile it's a lot of things that make me not want to take his analysis too seriously. With any of these tweets posted here it's always good to take with a grain of salt and look into who is talking and what their motives may be.

What I would look for is the people who are moderately left but have a reputation of not sugar coating bad news for Democrats. If they start getting more gloomy then you know the data is good. Ralston is the guy to follow for Nevada.
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MemphisAg1
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In reply to Prosperdick • 5:46p, 10/22/24
Prosperdick said:
SwigAg11 said:


This is what voter enthusiasm looks like in visual form.


Madison is a liberal stronghold. If turnout is high there it will present a challenge for Trump to take Wisconsin.
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Kellso
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In reply to jr15aggie • 6:34p, 10/22/24
jr15aggie said:
Regardless of what the actual truth is, the fact remains that a LOT of people feel like the 2020 election was stolen. Add in the opinion that Kamala is very unlikeable and we are seeing the results.

Massive turnout by conservatives and a decent number of Dem voters are simply gonna stay home.
Kamala's campaign team is sending email after email panicking about the early vote results.
They are requesting more $$$ so that Kamala can flood the TV air waives with more commercials.

Milwaukee, Detroit and Philadelphia are not seeing the turnout for Kamala like they did for Joe Biden in 2020.

This is the first time in 20 years that a Republican has been favored going into the 1st week of early voting.
Kamala only has two more weeks to catch up.
It remains to be seen if her campaign can mount a comeback that can defeat Trump.

This has been the best and most discipline campaign that Trump as ever ran. His embrace of 50 cent and the Hip Hop community is paying big dividends at the moment.
Election returns from the 1st week of early voting show that the inner city is not all that excited to vote for Kamala.
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will25u
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6:40p, 10/22/24
NV Update. Looking decent for R's.

"We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution."

- Abraham Lincoln
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Kellso
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In reply to will25u • 6:47p, 10/22/24
will25u said:
NV Update. Looking decent for R's.

Look how long the line was in Houston this morning to early vote. 62% of enthusiastic voters are registered republicans.

This can only mean good things for Trump.

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OnlyForNow
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In reply to Cedar Bayou Ag • 6:48p, 10/22/24
Voted at Jones Creek Park - note never come back except for voting….

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jja79
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In reply to nortex97 • 6:55p, 10/22/24
A Harris ad comes on my TV about 4 times an hour in Arizona.
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will25u
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6:56p, 10/22/24
ETA: Florida is RED!

"We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution."

- Abraham Lincoln
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txags92
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In reply to jja79 • 6:58p, 10/22/24
That kind of thing would be enough to make me want to vote against her even if I weren't already.
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outofstateaggie
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7:30p, 10/22/24
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AtticusMatlock
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In reply to outofstateaggie • 7:34p, 10/22/24
The Democrats' best hope are that these are cannibalistic numbers, meaning Republicans will vote less on Election Day which is typically their strong day. Will likely see a lot of analysis on that in the next week or so.
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Kellso
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In reply to outofstateaggie • 7:37p, 10/22/24
outofstateaggie said:
The 1980 election was seen as close until Reagan pulled away from Carter for a decisive victory.
Trump is pulling away from Kamala at the moment, but the race is still not over.

Never underestimate the Democrats and the dirty tricks they will try when their backs are up against the wall.

The Trump campaign has embraced what Joe Biden did in 2020 to defeat him. He's encouraging his voters to vote early, vote often, and by mail. The early voting returns are a show of strength against the wounded Democrats.

Kamala Harris has two weeks to get her campaign turned around. It remains to be seen if her team can pull off the comeback. 2004 was the last election that a Democrat was trailing going into early voting.
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Rockdoc
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7:37p, 10/22/24
I just can't see why the dems would be in panic mode. They surely knew what they were getting with Harris. Maybe disappointed but not panicked.
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will25u
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7:53p, 10/22/24
"We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution."

- Abraham Lincoln
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will25u
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7:58p, 10/22/24
"We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution."

- Abraham Lincoln
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will25u
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7:59p, 10/22/24
"We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution."

- Abraham Lincoln
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RED AG 98
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8:00p, 10/22/24
Voted in deep purple Dripping Springs (Hays) today. Lines were very long yesterday and most of today. I just monitored via online wait time tool and went when it was under 10 minutes near closing time. In and out in 15 tops.
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Orlwm_Ag
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8:01p, 10/22/24
We will see what happens in couple weeks.
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Ayto Siks
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In reply to will25u • 8:02p, 10/22/24
This will be my third presidential election in Florida, and I've seen more yard signs for the Dem candidate than ever before. There are lots of vehicles with Trump stickers, but the Kamala support is more than I saw for Biden or Hilary.

Not sure if it's trends, awareness, or the fact that thousands and thousands of yankees have relocated here, but the difference is noticeable.
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4
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In reply to Orlwm_Ag • 8:41p, 10/22/24
RKG_Ag said:
We will see what happens in couple weeks.

Oh no joke? Cool.
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will25u
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8:41p, 10/22/24
Noice!

"We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution."

- Abraham Lincoln
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