***Official Early Vote Tracking***

243,201 Views | 1696 Replies | Last: 3 mo ago by IDaggie06
4stringAg
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8:33p, 10/13/24
AG
Are the trends good for Republicans in early voting? I'm not a numbers and poll wonk so not sure what some of this means.
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Philip J Fry
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In reply to 4stringAg • 9:07p, 10/13/24
AG
Seems like there's conflicting info in these posts
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will25u
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12:46p, 10/14/24

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Captn_Ag05
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4:49p, 10/14/24
AG
Detroit machine is doing work so far for Kamala

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aggiehawg
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4:56p, 10/14/24
AG
Going back to AZ mail in ballots for second. Runbeck sends most of those out. So Runbeck can hold back sending them out to more heavily red areas. And they likely are doing just that.
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nortex97
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4:43a, 10/15/24
AG
Interesting data starting to add up now in VA:





Another model;


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Captn_Ag05
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10:52a, 10/15/24
AG
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Captn_Ag05
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11:07a, 10/15/24
AG
Just a reminder as we see returns from large urban areas come in early

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will25u
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11:58a, 10/15/24
Banked!


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will25u
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1:38p, 10/15/24
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nortex97
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In reply to will25u • 1:48p, 10/15/24
AG
Well, until Dominion calibrates your vote proportion/fraction.
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will25u
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2:26p, 10/15/24
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Captn_Ag05
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In reply to will25u • 2:28p, 10/15/24
AG
Lots of black women in the lines posted in videos I've seen on Twitter. What we don't know is if they are high propensity voters that vote in every election or are new or infrequent voters.
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normalhorn
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In reply to will25u • 2:29p, 10/15/24
will25u said:


Georgia is tainted. And they should be kicked out of the SEC for allowing the liberal machine to run them roughshod
...take it easy on me, I'm a normal horn
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aggiehawg
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In reply to will25u • 2:31p, 10/15/24
AG
OTOH? ETA: Need to click on it to see the rest.

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will25u
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7:39p, 10/15/24
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will25u
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7:46p, 10/15/24
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will25u
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7:55p, 10/15/24
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will25u
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9:32p, 10/15/24
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will25u
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9:42p, 10/15/24

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will25u
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9:50p, 10/15/24

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nortex97
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In reply to will25u • 5:54a, 10/16/24
AG
I don't have an encyclopedic memory of prior cycles per state/county but the trends by comparison seem very good so far in almost every state:



Clark county though is the big one in NV:



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Captn_Ag05
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9:00a, 10/16/24
AG
Racial splits in Georgia on day one are positive for Republicans.
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nortex97
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10:55a, 10/16/24
AG
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agsalaska
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In reply to nortex97 • 12:34p, 10/16/24
AG
nortex97 said:
I still think we really have no idea if this is good news or bad news for either party. I mean, yea its probably good news for the Republicans. But at some level they are just shifting in person to mail in, though that historically has meant better performance.

We will see.
The trouble with quotes on the internet is that you never know if they are genuine. -- Abraham Lincoln.



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cmk10
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12:41p, 10/16/24
RED AG 98
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12:47p, 10/16/24
AG
wrong thread -- oops
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Hill Country Ag
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1:15p, 10/16/24
AG
So Rs showing up more in early voting and being competitive. Great. What about election day? Will Rs bring truckloads of ballots in unofficial envelopes from places unknown, too?
Gig 'Em
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will25u
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1:54p, 10/16/24
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harge57
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2:46p, 10/16/24
AG
Ohio Tracker
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SwigAg11
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In reply to will25u • 3:55p, 10/16/24
AG
will25u said:

I unsuccessfully tried to look up if Mojave county leans R or D. If it's strongly R, then that video doesn't real seem to say much.
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aggiehawg
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In reply to SwigAg11 • 4:11p, 10/16/24
AG
Mojave leans R last I checked.

But Maricopa County still has enough voters to outweigh all of the other counties. Need multiple observers inside Runbeck and polling stations.
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LMCane
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In reply to aggiehawg • 4:12p, 10/16/24
aggiehawg said:
Mojave leans R last I checked.

But Maricopa County still has enough voters to outweigh all of the other counties. Need multiple observers inside Runbeck and polling stations.
supposedly Maricopa just flipped to a Republican majority county in the last week or two.

hopefully they have a good team like Turning Point Action and Early Vote out there in AZ

I see a lot of info about Arizona in my Twitters- Tulsi was out at U of A today handing out Trump hats.
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LMCane
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In reply to 4stringAg • 4:13p, 10/16/24
4stringAg said:
Are the trends good for Republicans in early voting? I'm not a numbers and poll wonk so not sure what some of this means.

every metric I see on Twitter is that the GOP is outperforming where they were in 2020

now is it going to be enough? hard to say

I just saw that 52% of voters say they will vote early- so we better have a plan to get out our voters early.
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Captn_Ag05
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5:44p, 10/16/24
AG
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