***Official Early Vote Tracking***

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will25u
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In reply to Captn_Ag05 • 2:28p, 10/21/24
Captn_Ag05 said:
Was just coming to post that R's are about to be up on D's in FL. Only 600 lead for D's.

ETA: Republicans now in the lead in FL!
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TheBonifaceOption
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2:30p, 10/21/24
County in central Texas. Been in line for an hour. About halfway done.

Sherrifs Deputy said it's been this bad all day.

One of the locations in the county (reddest) ran out of ballots, county seat running ballots out there on the regular.
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Captn_Ag05
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2:49p, 10/21/24
AG
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cman1494
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2:51p, 10/21/24
AG
Worried about Pennsylvania based on what I'm seeing…
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gigemJTH12
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2:52p, 10/21/24
AG
is Polymarket usually accurate?
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Gyles Marrett
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In reply to cman1494 • 2:53p, 10/21/24
cman1494 said:
Worried about Pennsylvania based on what I'm seeing…
what specifically? The current numbers look far better than 2016 or 2020 from what I'm seeing.
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Thunderstruck xx
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In reply to cman1494 • 2:59p, 10/21/24
cman1494 said:
Worried about Pennsylvania based on what I'm seeing…


What is the early voting period for PA? If it just started I would not be worried.
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aginlakeway
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In reply to cman1494 • 3:03p, 10/21/24
AG
cman1494 said:
Worried about Pennsylvania based on what I'm seeing…

What are you seeing?
"I'm sure that won't make a bit of difference for those of you who enjoy a baseless rage over the decisions of a few teenagers."
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AG N ASIA
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3:09p, 10/21/24
AG
Voted in Fort Bend County. Line was 45 minutes and growing at 12:45 pm. Election officials stated the lines were steady and typical 30 minutes in the morning. Most elections previously there were less voters in a day than what was in the line I stood in today.
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will25u
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In reply to cman1494 • 3:12p, 10/21/24
cman1494 said:
Worried about Pennsylvania based on what I'm seeing…
I am pretty sure R's are closing the gap every day. Not in total votes, but the ED vote is pretty big for Republicans in PA.


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gigemJTH12
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In reply to will25u • 3:13p, 10/21/24
AG
that seems like a big gap to close, no?
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will25u
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In reply to gigemJTH12 • 3:15p, 10/21/24
gigemJTH12 said:
that seems like a big gap to close, no?
This was 2020.

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Fenrir
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In reply to will25u • 3:16p, 10/21/24
That url is cancer.
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will25u
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In reply to Fenrir • 3:18p, 10/21/24
Fixed.
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TheBonifaceOption
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In reply to TheBonifaceOption • 3:18p, 10/21/24
TheBonifaceOption said:
County in central Texas. Been in line for an hour. About halfway done.

Sherrifs Deputy said it's been this bad all day.

One of the locations in the county (reddest) ran out of ballots, county seat running ballots out there on the regular.

1h45m from back of the line to receiving ballot. Line still around the block in 90F heat.

If he can take a bullet, people can endure an uncomfortable afternoon
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will25u
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In reply to gigemJTH12 • 3:19p, 10/21/24
gigemJTH12 said:
that seems like a big gap to close, no?
The gap was 1.1 million in 2020 and Trump came within ~80k of winning.
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will25u
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3:21p, 10/21/24
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Bigballin
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3:28p, 10/21/24
AG
Just finished voting at the Metropolitan Multi Service Center in the middle of Houston. Of course with the city's finest as well.

45 minute line.
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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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3:28p, 10/21/24
DeSantis is a God there. And to think he almost lost his first gubernatorial election to a degenerate socialist.

He really needs to run the country in 2028.
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LMCane
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3:55p, 10/21/24
does the GOP always lead in early voting in Arizona?

because right now it seems we are crushing it and have a large lead.
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LMCane
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3:59p, 10/21/24
Early Action with Pressler

brought the gap from 360,000 down to 297,000 in the last year of registered republicans to democrats. but we still have 300K more democrats registered in PA than Republicans.

but that doesn't mean much if we can't get all of them to bank our votes early

having too large a gap to make up on election day with snow and shenanigans is not good. we need to swamp them the next two weeks
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gigemJTH12
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4:00p, 10/21/24
AG
unfathomable to me that PA is even close.
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texasnativeforumvisitor
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In reply to Thunderstruck xx • 4:16p, 10/21/24
It looks like it started October 5. As for registered votes, it has been better for Rs as quoted above but this is the dem update from today that calls 390k the magic number:

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normalhorn
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4:23p, 10/21/24
390,000 seems like a difficult hurdle, right?

Pollsters have been able to see these metrics for days at this point. Why have they largely been skewing toward Trump winning PA, when the early vote doesn't look too good?
...take it easy on me, I'm a normal horn
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Captn_Ag05
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In reply to normalhorn • 4:26p, 10/21/24
AG
Early voting looks fine in PA. Again, Trump trailed in mail-in and early voting by 1.1 million in 2020 and I believe around 700,000 in 2016. He won in 2016 and narrowly lost in 2020. Yes, the margin looks big, but Republicans are exceeding expectations at this point.
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Kellso
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In reply to normalhorn • 4:28p, 10/21/24
normalhorn said:
390,000 seems like a difficult hurdle, right?

Pollsters have been able to see these metrics for days at this point. Why have they largely been skewing toward Trump winning PA, when the early vote doesn't look too good?
It looks like Philadelphia is going to sit this election out.

If the turnout is low in the big city then Trump will win Pennsylvania. At this moment the early vote in the big city has been depressed because of a lack of enthusiasm for Kamala Harris.
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billydean05
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4:49p, 10/21/24
Most people think if Republicans get over 30% of the mail in ballots returned. Then republicans are positioned well to win. Another thing to look for would be raw mail in votes the gap between democrats and republicans 600 k or less Rs will win 600 k - million will be close over million democrats should win.
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4stringAg
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5:02p, 10/21/24
AG
Casey, the Dem Senator running for re-election in PA ran ads favoring some Trump policies I believe and is not all in on the Trump bashing Kamala is doing. That at least let's you know what he thinks about Trump's chances in the state.
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agsalaska
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In reply to Kellso • 5:02p, 10/21/24
AG
Kellso said:
normalhorn said:
390,000 seems like a difficult hurdle, right?

Pollsters have been able to see these metrics for days at this point. Why have they largely been skewing toward Trump winning PA, when the early vote doesn't look too good?
It looks like Philadelphia is going to sit this election out.

If the turnout is low in the big city then Trump will win Pennsylvania. At this moment the early vote in the big city has been depressed because of a lack of enthusiasm for Kamala Harris.
Philadelphia is all I am paying ttention too there
The trouble with quotes on the internet is that you never know if they are genuine. -- Abraham Lincoln.



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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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5:14p, 10/21/24
At 27% split we have a very competitive race. If Rs get over 29% you can lock it up for Trump, because Rs always win Election Day by a lot in PA.

If it gets over 33% you're talking about an ass whipping of epic proportions for that state.
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In reply to Mostly Foggy Recollection • 5:22p, 10/21/24
AG
Mostly Foggy Recollection said:
At 27% split we have a very competitive race. If Rs get over 29% you can lock it up for Trump, because Rs always win Election Day by a lot in PA.

If it gets over 33% you're talking about an ass whipping of epic proportions for that state.

Can you explain what the "split" is when referring to VBM ballots?
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will25u
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5:26p, 10/21/24
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will25u
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5:28p, 10/21/24
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In reply to will25u • 5:29p, 10/21/24
AG
Even the Nancys in Key West are voting Republican!
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will25u
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5:37p, 10/21/24
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