***Official Early Vote Tracking***

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SwigAg11
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In reply to Captn_Ag05 • 5:52p, 10/16/24
AG
Captn_Ag05 said:

Is it possible that the Rs will start with a firewall on Election Day? That would just be a complete shellacking.
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will25u
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6:44p, 10/16/24
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will25u
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7:04p, 10/16/24
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SwigAg11
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In reply to will25u • 7:07p, 10/16/24
AG
will25u said:

Is this typical for Nevada?
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will25u
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7:20p, 10/16/24
It seems to me that the Dems really might have an enthusiasm problem.
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will25u
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In reply to SwigAg11 • 7:21p, 10/16/24
SwigAg11 said:
will25u said:

Is this typical for Nevada?


Indy's out voting Democrats? Not normal is my guess.
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will25u
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8:10a, 10/17/24

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harge57
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In reply to will25u • 8:28a, 10/17/24
AG
Same in Ohio. Not sure how they track party affiliation.
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aggiehawg
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8:30a, 10/17/24
AG
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zooguy96
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In reply to will25u • 9:52a, 10/17/24
AG
will25u said:
It seems to me that the Dems really might have an enthusiasm problem.


Of course they do. They're running a moron for president, who can't even talk competently about her policy, or back her record as VP. Plus, many of their demographics don't want to vote for her.
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agsalaska
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In reply to zooguy96 • 10:47a, 10/17/24
AG
zooguy96 said:
will25u said:
It seems to me that the Dems really might have an enthusiasm problem.


Of course they do. They're running a moron for president, who can't even talk competently about her policy, or back her record as VP. Plus, many of their demographics don't want to vote for her.


To add to that, TDS must be exhausting. After 8 years of hating someone eventually you just run out of gas, especially someone as distant as the US President. There is just no way to keep that peak intensity they had four years ago.
The trouble with quotes on the internet is that you never know if they are genuine. -- Abraham Lincoln.



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nortex97
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In reply to SwigAg11 • 2:54p, 10/17/24
AG
Clark county (Vegas) has shifted some, but that change reflected so far is not going to hold up. Need several more days or a week probably to really divine anything from the NV data.

Separately, I read that for some insane reason Labour Party folks are going to Virginia to drum up Democrat votes. I thought it was just a prank/joke but I guess not. VA looking better by the day.



Sort of as with NV I see this GA map and think "does this really mean anything if Fulton is just sitting on their data?"

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Captn_Ag05
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3:48p, 10/17/24
AG
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Captn_Ag05
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3:51p, 10/17/24
AG
Final black early vote was around 34% in 2020 after starting out at 40% and steadily declining each day. This year it started at 30% and it has only been two days, but has declined each day.
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2023NCAggies
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In reply to SwigAg11 • 4:02p, 10/17/24
SwigAg11 said:

I unsuccessfully tried to look up if Mojave county leans R or D. If it's strongly R, then that video doesn't real seem to say much.

It is very Republican
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2023NCAggies
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In reply to LMCane • 4:04p, 10/17/24
LMCane said:
aggiehawg said:
Mojave leans R last I checked.

But Maricopa County still has enough voters to outweigh all of the other counties. Need multiple observers inside Runbeck and polling stations.
supposedly Maricopa just flipped to a Republican majority county in the last week or two.

hopefully they have a good team like Turning Point Action and Early Vote out there in AZ

I see a lot of info about Arizona in my Twitters- Tulsi was out at U of A today handing out Trump hats.
Arizona is where turning point started and is where most of their team is.

Maricopa didn't just flip, they have had a huge registration advantage for months now and it get wider by the day
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Captn_Ag05
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In reply to 2023NCAggies • 4:09p, 10/17/24
AG
Yes, Maricopa has a 100,000 plus R Advantage. Definitely didn't just flip.
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SwigAg11
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In reply to Captn_Ag05 • 4:10p, 10/17/24
AG
Captn_Ag05 said:
Yes, Maricopa has a 100,000 plus R Advantage. Definitely didn't just flip.

That's an insane swing!
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Captn_Ag05
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4:18p, 10/17/24
AG
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In reply to William K. Klingaman • 4:20p, 10/17/24
AG
William K. Klingaman said:
Why do Dems get such a larger number of mail in ballots, and why is this not a red flag every election?

It is, but it doesn't matter because nobody has the spine to do anything about it.

Democrats are cheating, and that is clear to anybody with eyeballs.

We know they're cheating, and they know that we know they're cheating.

But the people we have elected to represent us don't have the spine to do a damn thing about it, so they're going to continue cheating because there are no consequences.
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2023NCAggies
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In reply to Captn_Ag05 • 4:21p, 10/17/24
Captn_Ag05 said:
Why the hell can we not do what DeSantis is doing in Florida? Dude is single handily making that state SOLID red. While we are taking Texas for granted. We need to get the win total over 900k from now on. Needs to be over a million honestly
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2023NCAggies
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In reply to will25u • 4:25p, 10/17/24
The black vote in Georgia is looking really bad down 10% from 4 years ago, they need 90% black turnout from one insiders opinion (forgot who). And it sounds like the Whites are pissed, I am expecting a lot more votes from that group.

I do not think the people in Georgia knew how close it would be 4 years ago, being they were a solid red state for so long, a lot probably stayed home, plus covid.
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P.U.T.U
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4:26p, 10/17/24
AG
At first glance it appears the enthusiasm has shifted, 2020 was all Dems with BLM and anti Trump. So far 2024 it's either for Trump or anti Dems, not going to say anti Kamala since there didn't seem to be a lot of enthusiasm for Biden either
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Captn_Ag05
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4:39p, 10/17/24
AG
Yes, I've been saying for some time that black vote spiked in 2020 due to the George Floyd effect. I expect it will be down considerably and also more pro-trump than 2020.
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2023NCAggies
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In reply to Captn_Ag05 • 4:47p, 10/17/24
Captn_Ag05 said:
Turning point. Thank God for Charlie Kirk. Republicans really need to embrace Turning Point and have a base in most states
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aggiehawg
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In reply to 2023NCAggies • 4:54p, 10/17/24
AG
Quote:
The black vote in Georgia is looking really bad down 10% from 4 years ago, they need 90% black turnout from one insiders opinion (forgot who). And it sounds like the Whites are pissed, I am expecting a lot more votes from that group.

I do not think the people in Georgia knew how close it would be 4 years ago, being they were a solid red state for so long, a lot probably stayed home, plus covid.
And then none of the problems with the general was going to be fixed for the runoff either.

It was bad for Lin Wood and Trump to discourage voters during that runoff but Raffensperger announcing loud and clear that the irregularities would not be addressed for the runoff just depreseed turnout further.

And then we had the Coffee County issue during the runoff, showing once again that Dominion is accessible by just having an Iphone next to a tabulator.
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2023NCAggies
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In reply to aggiehawg • 5:08p, 10/17/24
Considering Trump lost Georgia by less then 13k, I do not see Harris winning. And she lost NC with that Hurricane response.
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Captn_Ag05
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5:20p, 10/17/24
AG
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will25u
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7:00p, 10/17/24
Wow. Looking worse and worse for Dems each day in GA.

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aggiehawg
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In reply to Captn_Ag05 • 7:06p, 10/17/24
AG
Have to admit I am surprised that the no show Dem Governor did not impede those efforts.
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SwigAg11
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In reply to will25u • 7:18p, 10/17/24
AG
Is there a magic percentage of the vote that needs to be black that the Dems are targeting so that Harris even has a shot?
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LMCane
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7:19p, 10/17/24
tweets out now that the GOP is doing extremely well with early voting in Arizona

while democrat votes are lagging their 2020 levels
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2023NCAggies
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In reply to Captn_Ag05 • 7:22p, 10/17/24
Captn_Ag05 said:


Figured this would happen, western half of that state is beyond furious. The usual Dems in those areas might switch parties and independents? They're gone

Rs will put in a ton of effort too get these people to the polls. Also I imagine the rest of the state isn't very happy either.

It's basically over for Harris in Georgia and NC. Very bad news for her. Her first rally was in Georgia and they put a lot into that state
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LMCane
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In reply to 2023NCAggies • 7:24p, 10/17/24
2023NCAggies said:
Captn_Ag05 said:
Turning point. Thank God for Charlie Kirk. Republicans really need to embrace Turning Point and have a base in most states
Scott Pressler is so far superior to Charlie Kirk!

Pressler was literally driving a battered Honda with bald tires around Pennsylvania while Kirk flies around on Trump's private jets.

guarantee that Kirk is a millionaire off of his grift while Pressler runs himself ragged for months out on voter registrations. some on the Early Action Team set up a GoFundMe to raise money and bought Pressler a new $15,000 car!

If we win Pennsylvania it's because of Pressler and his team.
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2023NCAggies
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In reply to LMCane • 7:35p, 10/17/24
LMCane said:
tweets out now that the GOP is doing extremely well with early voting in Arizona

while democrat votes are lagging their 2020 levels


Turning point is going to turn Arizona red again. They're working hard in Wisconsin and Nevada too

They might get Lake across the finish line. It's going to be very close regardless of what this board thinks. Her opponent is paying a lot of money to keep his divorce papers private. If they release them, it's over.

McConnell should have put money into other states other than stupid Maryland. Cannot wait till that idiot is gone. Should have went to Michigan, the R candidate is basically broke and still damn near tied. I hate the old guard Rs
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