GarryowenAg said:
How much of a jump would we have if we made it to the sec tourney championship only to lose to UT?
So assuming no other games are played, yours goes up by 1/your# of games played *0.25. Theirs goes down by 1/all opponents games (currently each opponent is has more than 50 games so think around 55*55 as denominator) played *0.5. The opponents opponents is based on a huge number of games (we are at 53 and Tennessee at 57 so 1/55*55*55 is a good guess at the approximate denominator)*0.25.
Of course other games played affect all our opponents win percentages and all our opponents' opponents' win percentage…but the contribution is weighted by similar denominators late in the season for each. Winning percentage is always games won / total games played for each category.