***2022 RPI Tracker***

129,401 Views | 884 Replies | Last: 5 mo ago by 85AustinAg
LatinAggie1997
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AG
Let's do all three.

Win the West
Win 6 of 7 remaining
Win a couple in the conf tourny
threeanout
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LatinAggie1997 said:

Let's do all three.

Win the West
Win 6 of 7 remaining
Win a couple in the conf tourny
I like your attitude. We will need help and hope the Hogs drop at least three if we go 5-1. A loss to State will put our RPI south of 30 heading into the tourney.
LatinAggie1997
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AG
Correction...win at least 6 of the last 7...8 of 9 would be better and likely mean we made it to SECtourn ship
Ray Baker
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Luke The Drifter said:

Hasn't it been a while since a team hosted as a 2-seed?


It seems like the committee stopped that for a few years, but just last year South Carolina hosted as a 2. Old Dominion was the 1 seed, their stadium was below hosting standards.
dcaggie04
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AG
Ray Baker said:

Luke The Drifter said:

Hasn't it been a while since a team hosted as a 2-seed?


It seems like the committee stopped that for a few years, but just last year South Carolina hosted as a 2. Old Dominion was the 1 seed, their stadium was below hosting standards.


Yep, ODU didn't have enough media seating and the camera setup NCAA requires for tourney games.
W
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AG
whoa, crushed indeed.

didn't think 1 loss to Carolina would be that costly.

still in good shape to host with 2/3 from State and Ole Miss, but top 8 seed looks very sketchy at the moment
aginlakeway
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W said:

whoa, crushed indeed.

didn't think 1 loss to Carolina would be that costly.

still in good shape to host with 2/3 from State and Ole Miss, but top 8 seed looks very sketchy at the moment

This.
threeanout
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W said:

whoa, crushed indeed.

didn't think 1 loss to Carolina would be that costly.

still in good shape to host with 2/3 from State and Ole Miss, but top 8 seed looks very sketchy at the moment


Been disagreeing with Lakeway on another thread. Losing to State at home who has an RPI of 102 will push us down to the mid-30's. You can't really argue that. I don't think a mid-30 RPI will host. Taking two of three from Ole Miss in Oxford May help us slightly. IMO, we would need to make a run in the SEC tourney to boost up our RPI.
W
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AG
it's hard to believe that series wins vs. #4 Vanderbilt, #9 Georgia, #17 LSU, and #20 Arkansas...

would have left the Ags in this position.

such that an 18-12 conference record is not a slam dunk host

Luke The Drifter
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AG
Guess those losses in Frisco and to UH hurt worse than we thought. We're gonna have to play more true road games in the future, it appears.
But those who hope in the LORD will renew their strength. They will soar on wings like eagles; they will run and not grow weary, they will walk and not be faint. Isaiah 40:31 (NIV)
gougler08
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AG
I also assume these big swings mean that teams 5-25 are very close in RPI so little things cause big movement. Can't lose to State though
CypressAg09
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AG
Crazy that a 3-1 weeks drops us 11 spots.
Bullpen Chias
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If we can win series v MSU and @ Ole Miss, we'd be 8-2 in SEC series. Damn that seems like a top 8 national seed.
AvidAggie
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AG
Starting to look like if we lose just one game to Miss St we will have almost no chance at a Top 8 seed and may not even host.

Something seems off…
t - cam
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RPI is not the only decision point.

W
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the RPI is a strange animal.

Auburn lost its series to Ole Miss...and lost its series to State --- A&M's next 2 opponents.

but going 2-4 vs. the Magnolia State schools is not dragging them down. Still in the RPI top 10
W
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AG
by the way the Tigers also lost conference series to Arkansas and Tennessee.

so 4-4 in SEC series so far
jah003
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S
Obviously A&M fans should be pissed if the Ags win the next 2 series and don't host. And knowing how selection committees operate I would not be shocked. However… can you imagine being the 1 in whatever regional the Ags get sent to? That would be brutal.
tech ag
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You should prepare for that scenario. NCAA will do this school no favors if on the bubble.
t - cam
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AG
We will be extremely safe as a host in that scenario. National seed would still be possible.

Aggie1188
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threeanout said:

As I was afraid of, our RPI got crushed today. We dropped to # 23. Top 8 seed is probably out the window unless we win the west. Hosting as a 9-16 seed will mean we probably have to sweep Miss St. and also take two of three from Ole Miss. Miss St.'s RPI is now south of 100. Win six of our last seven or make a huge showing in the tourney.
something goofy about this sport.
Sq 17
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The goofy thing is that a team that struggled mightily, turned it around and became one of the hottest teams over the last 2 months. RPI math just does not allow for a team to truly overcome a mediocre stretch it likes trying to make an "A" class after two really bad test grades
Convincingly
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AG
Sweep ole miss on the road, road wins count more
Emilio Fantastico
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AG
Unfortunately, the reality of this team is that it doesn't have a pitching staff capable of getting a sweep.

I hope they prove me wrong.
twk
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AG
18-12 should get us a home regional, regardless of where the RPI falls. Arkansas is at 20, and they will probably be a top 8 seed if they win the West. Vandy is probably on the bubble to host, even though their RPI is 4. RPI is an important variable, particularly when discussing teams from different conferences, but it's not the end of the discussion.
W
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AG
looking back at the 2021 data from Boyd's world...

Ole Miss was the #12 host with an 18-12 conference record and #15 RPI on selection day.

Florida was the #15 host with a 17-13 conference record and #16 RPI on selection day.
----

East Carolina was the #13 host with #17 RPI on selection day.

Louisiana Tech was the #16 host with #22 RPI on selection day.

ECU and LaTech were the only hosts with RPI's outside the top 16
----

the 2 teams in the top 16 that were passed over:

Fairfield at RPI #3 and Oklahoma State at RPI #14. The Cowboys had a .500 conference record.
AgLA06
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AG
How many teams ranked top 8 in the polls didn't host?
dabo man
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AG
This is our current RPI Needs Report from Boyd's World. ROWP is the average remaining opponent's winning percentage, weighted by games against remaining.
http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html

Quote:

Texas A&M

Remaining: 4 home, 3 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 21
ROWP: 0.493
...
Top 32:

1 home wins, 3 road wins
2 home wins, 2 road wins
3 home wins, 1 road wins
4 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 16:

4 home wins, 2 road wins

Top 8:

No way to reach the threshold.
PFlat
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AG
I'm jaded but the committee has always been obsessed with RPI. Overall record, conf record, head-to-head, etc pretty much none of it matters to them AT ALL, except in how they affect RPI
W
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AG
looking at D1's late season poll for May 24, 2021...

every team in D1's top 13 hosted. Plus TCU at #15. Louisiana Tech at #18. Old Dominion at #24.

D1 had its poll lined up with the regional hosts very well at the end of the regular season
AvidAggie
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AG
PFlat said:

I'm jaded but the committee has always been obsessed with RPI. Overall record, conf record, head-to-head, etc pretty much none of it matters to them AT ALL, except in how they affect RPI

Not sure how to look it up but wonder what the lowest RPI host team was in the last 10 years
AggieKeith15
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AG
The way I see it is hosting as a National Seed is almost as likely as hosting as a 9-16. Win the West and we get a top 8 spot, one loss behind first and we only host a regional, two or more losses and we will not be able to host, imo.

Things we really need to happen this weekend to improve our chances of hosting: (1) We sweep State; (2) Arkansas gets swept by Vanderbilt; (3) Auburn loses one; (4) LSU loses one
threeanout
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AggieKeith15 said:

The way I see it is hosting as a National Seed is almost as likely as hosting as a 9-16. Win the West and we get a top 8 spot, one loss behind first and we only host a regional, two or more losses and we will not be able to host, imo.

Things we really need to happen this weekend to improve our chances of hosting: (1) We sweep State; (2) Arkansas gets swept by Vanderbilt; (3) Auburn loses one; (4) LSU loses one
Technically we own the tie breaker over Arkansas if we end up with the same conference record.
AgLA06
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AG
AggieKeith15 said:

The way I see it is hosting as a National Seed is almost as likely as hosting as a 9-16. Win the West and we get a top 8 spot, one loss behind first and we only host a regional, two or more losses and we will not be able to host, imo.

Things we really need to happen this weekend to improve our chances of hosting: (1) We sweep State; (2) Arkansas gets swept by Vanderbilt; (3) Auburn loses one; (4) LSU loses one
Maybe. Maybe some are just over thinking it.

If we win the remaining 2 series and finish the year 8-2 in SEC series, top 3 in the SEC overall, and ranked top 8 nationally, we probably get a national seed.
AggieKeith15
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AG
That is correct, however we are sitting two games back currently. Arkansas only needs 3 wins between Vanderbilt and Alabama to finish at 19-11. For the Aggies to get to 19 wins we have to win 5 of 6.

And if Arkansas wins four games the next two weekends then we can't lose a game to still be in contention. If they win five or more the best we can finish is second in the west.

(You can throw out RPI if we finish first, otherwise it will begin to matter a lot more)
 
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