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***2022 College Football Betting Thread***

95,741 Views | 1583 Replies | Last: 8 mo ago by texasaggie2015
texasaggie2015
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Absolutely. I've done this for about a decade and it's one of my biggest hobbies. College football and college hoops handicapping.

That might or might not be a problem.
texasaggie2015
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Late addition: Vanderbilt +2.5
Know Your Enemy
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Pissed at myself for not betting more on OU -11. Talk about easy money.
texasaggie2015
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Absolutely brutal beat on the Purdue game
Rule#2
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Crushed my day
texasaggie2015
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It was a good bet. They were the better team. They just beat themselves especially at the end
AggieJames09
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I owe you a beer Aggie15, good betting day overall.
texasaggie2015
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@taylortravis15 on venmo hahaha
texasaggie2015
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First below .500 week of the year at 4-5. Not awful though. Got very unlucky with the Purdue game and should have won.

At the end of the day, it's still been a profitable season and we'll bounce back. Week three is actually known for being a rough week for bettors.

Two for this week that pop out to me immediately: Wake Forest +14.5 and Kansas State +12.5.

Clemson is not 14.5 points better than the Deacons on neutral field and especially not on the road. Deacons should be able to keep this within a touchdown.

Kansas State +12.5 is a result of an overreaction to the outcomes of both the KSU loss and the OU win. Neither team is as good or bad as they looked last week.
AggieJames09
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Man My sight already has WF at +7.5

Im not betting against OU. Keep them coming
Ghost of Bisbee
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Those of you using a legit sportsbook and not a bookie, where are you betting? Trying to find a good online sportsbook on the west coast
texasaggie2015
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Bovada is my recommendation. If you're in a legal state, I like FanDuel.
texasaggie2015
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Yeah, that Wake Forest line moved quick. I was able to jump on it early but understand most weren't able to. I won't include that in my record on here... seems unfair.

Totally understand why you're hesitant to bet against OU. I'm still waiting to see if that line moves and I get a more favorable number.

I should have a couple plays posted today.
texasaggie2015
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Rice/Houston over 56.5
A&M/Arkansas under 48.5
aggieeducator
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last week I tailed ya on…

UH/KU over 57.5
UH -9.5
WKU +6.5
- CC -14

2-2

Was most shocked by Coastal playing a TERRIBLE game…it's amazing they even won…they just did not show up.

I'm gonna take your rice/uh over rec and interested in whatever else you are thinking. It is helpful to get your confidence rankings too. Much appreciate your willingness to share!
TJH_16
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Anyones thoughts on USC -6.5 vs Oregon St? Played a common opponent in Fresno St.
GarryowenAg
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I'm taking CCU bigly @ -2.5 against GA St. I don't see Ga St doing much against Carolina, and I'm thinking this spread will increase. Thoughts?
texasaggie2015
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CCU is down this year. They killed me last week and adjusted my ratings and don't see much value there. In fact, I almost lean Georgia State if you can get it at +3. It's a stay away for me though.
texasaggie2015
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Sorry I couldn't break even for you... like I said, bad weeks happen. I've hit at a 56% rate in CFB over the last 3 years so I am confident we profit long term. Trust the process!
texasaggie2015
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TJH_16 said:

Anyones thoughts on USC -6.5 vs Oregon St? Played a common opponent in Fresno St.
Don't look too far into the common opponent thing. 90% of college football teams play up and down week to week. Some teams get up for certain games, some don't. I just don't have much faith in USC's defense and I like what I've seen from the Beavers. I think they can keep it tight. It's a stay away for me at 6.5 but I might take the Beavers if I can get them at +7.
texasaggie2015
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My plays so far... there will be more later today and as the week goes on.

Rice/Houston over 56.5: The Kansas/UH total last week was my biggest bet of the day and it hit with ease. I'm just going to go back to the well until I get burned. This UH offense is good and think they'll want to take some anger out on their rival down the street. The Rice offense isn't nearly as good as KU, but I still think they can get to at least 20. I don't see Rice holding UH under 40 points. 42-20 gets us there.

A&M/Arkansas under 48.5: Look, I just haven't seen anything from this A&M offense to lead me to think we can get over this number. It's really as simple as that. I know the Arkansas pass defense is bad but are we sure the Aggies can expose that? It's a "I'll believe it when I see it" thing for me.

Central Michigan +28 at Penn State: Yeah, this one made me cringe but remember when I took Lousiana Tech +33 at Clemson and it hit? Same thing here. There's no doubt that Penn State is the much better team, but sometimes you have to look at the situation. The Nittany Lions played at Auburn last week and dive into conference play next week. They will win this game... but how motivated will they be to win big? CMU has already gone on the road and gave Okie State a scare and they have enough talent to keep this within the number. 42-17 cashes this ticket for us.

Also, if anyone is interested.. download the Action Network App. You can track your bets and follow me and keep track of mine. You can also see my all-time record in each sport here: https://myaction.app/TaylorTravis15
texasaggie2015
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Go grab Boston College +17.5. I'll explain later today but I'm hammering it
aggieeducator
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All good, just appreciate you sharing! It's just for fun anyhow! Was also asking for your confidence levels because was thinking I would like parlay your top three or something like that…thoughts? Was not able to access anything per the link you gave.
texasaggie2015
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You'll have to do download the app and do it on a mobile.

Right now my two most confident is the UH/Rice over and Boston College +17.5
aggieeducator
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Found it, thanks. Cool app.
texasaggie2015
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Adding Southern Miss +13 at Tulane. Don't have a ton of time to give a full analysis but it's a classic let-down spot for Tulane coming off a win against Kansas State.
Know Your Enemy
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texasaggie2015 said:

My plays so far... there will be more later today and as the week goes on.

Rice/Houston over 56.5: The Kansas/UH total last week was my biggest bet of the day and it hit with ease. I'm just going to go back to the well until I get burned. This UH offense is good and think they'll want to take some anger out on their rival down the street. The Rice offense isn't nearly as good as KU, but I still think they can get to at least 20. I don't see Rice holding UH under 40 points. 42-20 gets us there.
I'm seeing 51.5 right now. Was your number off or is it dropping? If dropping, why?
texasaggie2015
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Whoa... that's a huge drop. Not sure why. I'll look into it.
Ghost of Bisbee
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Alright texasaggie2015, I hope I don't bring your hit rate down
over the next year now that I'm tailing off some of your picks

The under on A&M/Arky also stuck out to me. Bought 1/2 point to make it U49.
I'm jumping in on UH/Rice over.
BC +17.5 because what the hell
goadius6
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texasaggie2015 said:

Go grab Boston College +17.5. I'll explain later today but I'm hammering it
Interested in your analysis here, im reading that FSU QB is back
greg.w.h
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Do we have a resource for discovering vig on a line? Just curious.
texasaggie2015
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No problem. Quick summary...

A) This is a tough spot for Florida State. They've played two tough games in the last three weeks (LSU and Louisville) and this is a classic let down spot. They have three straight games against ranked opponents after this week.

B) Even if Jordan Travis plays, I doubt he's going to be 100%. FSU had several guys go down last week so they won't be fully healthy.

C) I sincerely believe Boston College is better than they've been playing so far this year. This seems like a spot where they'll give FSU their best. They have a legit QB in Phil Jurkovec who will keep his team in it. They're coming off an easy game against Maine so I'm sure they've been game-planning for FSU for a couple weeks now.

17.5 points is a lot and I think BC hangs in there the whole way.

I'm grabbing Southern Miss +13 vs Tulane as well due to the situation. Xs and Os are a huge part of handicapping, but I think learning situations and finding spots that favor certain teams is equally, if not more, important.

Tulane is coming off a great win on the road against Kansas State and have a big matchup against Houston next week. Do you really think they're completely dialed in on lowly Southern Miss? Of course not.

Southern Miss should be the more motivated team here, especially after they saw Tulane take down the Wildcats last week. Do I think Tulane is better? Absolutely. But this is a brutal spot for the Green Wave and I think the Golden Eagles will keep this fairly close the whole way. Look for a 10 point Tulane win and a Southern Miss cover.
goadius6
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Im riding with you.

FSU is wonky for sure, should've lost that LSU game after dominating 75% of the game.
I bet them -2.5 vs Louisville last week and they barely won that one was well.
Geriatric Punk
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3 legs:

Clemson -7
Tceh +6.5
Vandy +40.5 (Hey man, I just need Saban to call off the dogs and Vandy to back door cover. Dare to dream.)
Life's an endless party, not a pushcart.
texasaggie2015
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NM
 
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