I took Schwarber +280 to hit a HR and Altuve (+135) and Harper (+150) over 1.5 bases.
***2022 College Football Betting Thread***
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Last: 8 mo ago by texasaggie2015
Hit my Harper bet in the first inning.
VGK win/NYR not covering 1.5 is a wash but that Schwarber HR was huge for me.
texasaggie2015 said:
Nothing I'm confident enough to play. My leans would be Ball State +7 and then the over in the Ohio/Buffalo game.
Probably should have trusted my projections
texasaggie2015 said:texasaggie2015 said:
Nothing I'm confident enough to play. My leans would be Ball State +7 and then the over in the Ohio/Buffalo game.
Probably should have trusted my projections
Glad I did
Right on
2-1 on the bonus picks today. MAC leans were 2-0.
Clemson -3.5
LSU +13.5
t.u. -2.5
Kentucky -2
Duke -10
Oklahoma St. -2
LSU +13.5
t.u. -2.5
Kentucky -2
Duke -10
Oklahoma St. -2
I'm loading up on Kstate and OkState to cover, gambling on Tennessee to win straight up - the money line is worth it in My eyes.
I suck at sports betting so y'all should bet opposite probably.
I suck at sports betting so y'all should bet opposite probably.
Anyone want a couple bonus picks?
texasaggie2015 said:
Anyone want a couple bonus picks?
Always
Entering the lab now...
For suretexasaggie2015 said:
Anyone want a couple bonus picks?
Adding two for Saturday:
Tennessee/Georgia under 66
This seems about a touchdown too high for me. Georgia will try to control time of possession and keep the Tennessee offense off the field. Huge game on a big stage... wouldn't surprise me for both teams to play tight for the first 15 minutes.
Southern Miss -2.5 vs. Georgia State
Georgia State loves to run the ball but Southern Miss has one of the best run defenses in the country. I expect the Golden Eagles to cover in an ugly one.
Tennessee/Georgia under 66
This seems about a touchdown too high for me. Georgia will try to control time of possession and keep the Tennessee offense off the field. Huge game on a big stage... wouldn't surprise me for both teams to play tight for the first 15 minutes.
Southern Miss -2.5 vs. Georgia State
Georgia State loves to run the ball but Southern Miss has one of the best run defenses in the country. I expect the Golden Eagles to cover in an ugly one.
If your book allows, here's a little parlay for you...
Maccabi Haifa vs Benfica: Benfica team total over 1.5 goals
Shakhtar Donetsk vs RB Leipzig: Both teams to score
The payout should be around +190. I would risk no more than one unit.
Maccabi Haifa vs Benfica: Benfica team total over 1.5 goals
Shakhtar Donetsk vs RB Leipzig: Both teams to score
The payout should be around +190. I would risk no more than one unit.
I'll tail just because! How in the world do you find these?
I've been doing this for probably 10 years now. I have lots of different resources, models, etc that I look at throughout the day. Plus, lots and lots of time really digging into each matchup every day trying to find any edge I can.
Sometimes I'll have 10 plays in a day. Sometimes none at all. Sometimes a random soccer parlay.
It's fun and you can get good at it... but it takes a lot of time and the patience and ability to lose (and lose a lot) before you can consistently profit.
It took me up until this year to be confident enough to dish out plays and attach my name to them. I wouldn't recommend a stranger to put their money on something that I wasn't extremely confident in. Bad days will happen, but trust the process.
Sometimes I'll have 10 plays in a day. Sometimes none at all. Sometimes a random soccer parlay.
It's fun and you can get good at it... but it takes a lot of time and the patience and ability to lose (and lose a lot) before you can consistently profit.
It took me up until this year to be confident enough to dish out plays and attach my name to them. I wouldn't recommend a stranger to put their money on something that I wasn't extremely confident in. Bad days will happen, but trust the process.
Very nice, sir! Totally get that and am with you there. Time constraints limit me from attempting the other sports, so treat it as yearly hobby. Really appreciate you sharing that with us! Glad you enjoy it and have been doing well with it. Hope you keep on killing it!
NFL play: Bills/Jets under 47
Would you take SAC-MIA under 220.5? I know you got it at 221.5 so I wanted to double check before placing that bet. Likewise I have 113.5 for the Bulls over/under.
Yeah, I would still play those.
Heat/Kings combined for 232 points last time they played but both teams shot 40%+ from three. If you factor in expected regression, I don't see this touching 220 unless we get unlucky and it goes to OT. Fox is out for Sacramento and Miami ranks almost dead last in pace.
In the other game, the Hornets defense is abysmal and I expect Chicago to score a lot of points. Charlotte is allowing 115 points per game but teams have been shooting fairly poorly against them. That tells me regression is coming and Chicago should get to 120 tonight. I like the Bulls to cover the 4.5 spread as well.
Heat/Kings combined for 232 points last time they played but both teams shot 40%+ from three. If you factor in expected regression, I don't see this touching 220 unless we get unlucky and it goes to OT. Fox is out for Sacramento and Miami ranks almost dead last in pace.
In the other game, the Hornets defense is abysmal and I expect Chicago to score a lot of points. Charlotte is allowing 115 points per game but teams have been shooting fairly poorly against them. That tells me regression is coming and Chicago should get to 120 tonight. I like the Bulls to cover the 4.5 spread as well.
Thanks
We've been hot on the bonus picks. Let's keep it rolling.
I'm not betting the MACtion tonight, but I lean both underdogs. Western Michigan +5 (this should be closer to +3) and Central Michigan +6 (should be around +3.5).
Heat/Kings under 221.5
Bulls -4.5 vs Hornets
Bulls over 112.5 team total
Bucks -3.5 (first quarter) vs Pistons
Also... I'm adding Bucks -3.5 (first quarter) vs Pistons. Milwaukee is one of the best first quarter teams in the league and Detroit is one of the worst. I'm not going to overthink it. Credit Action Network for that find.
I'm not betting the MACtion tonight, but I lean both underdogs. Western Michigan +5 (this should be closer to +3) and Central Michigan +6 (should be around +3.5).
Heat/Kings under 221.5
Bulls -4.5 vs Hornets
Bulls over 112.5 team total
Bucks -3.5 (first quarter) vs Pistons
Also... I'm adding Bucks -3.5 (first quarter) vs Pistons. Milwaukee is one of the best first quarter teams in the league and Detroit is one of the worst. I'm not going to overthink it. Credit Action Network for that find.
Man, that Bucks first quarter was a wild end. First W of the night.
My man
texasaggie2015 said:
My man
Placed a $25 bet on under 1/2 walk for Aaron Nola. Pulled after 4+ with zero walks for a $48 win.
Not a bad night my friend
Great night as I played both MAC games you posted about as well. Only one I missed was the Bulls over. Both LaVine and DeRozan struggled uncharacteristically. The bench had them rolling but they went cold in the 4th and got lazy. At least they covered the spread.
Late rally in Heat-Kings almost blew the under. Almost went to OT until Herro won it with a 3.
Late rally in Heat-Kings almost blew the under. Almost went to OT until Herro won it with a 3.
We've been absolutely on fire with the bonus picks this week. Hopefully going 4-0 in MACtion is a sign of things to come on Saturday.
Anyone want some plays for today?
Anyone want some plays for today?
nah. today is a good day to just be thankful and not win moneytexasaggie2015 said:
Anyone want some plays for today?
texasaggie2015 said:
We've been absolutely on fire with the bonus picks this week. Hopefully going 4-0 in MACtion is a sign of things to come on Saturday.
Anyone want some plays for today?
Adding a play for Saturday....
UConn -15.5 vs UMass: Look, I know this one is disgusting. But the Huskies are improved and need two more wins to be bowl eligible. They're going to be motivated at home against a horrendous UMass team. I think UConn should cover this number pretty easily.
Updated card:
UConn -15.5 vs UMass
Marshall -2.5 at Old Dominion
Baylor +3.5 at Oklahoma
Southern Miss -2.5 vs Georgia State
Oklahoma State -3.5 at Kansas (Sanders likely out so this is dicey)
Tennessee/Georgia under 66
UConn -15.5 vs UMass: Look, I know this one is disgusting. But the Huskies are improved and need two more wins to be bowl eligible. They're going to be motivated at home against a horrendous UMass team. I think UConn should cover this number pretty easily.
Updated card:
UConn -15.5 vs UMass
Marshall -2.5 at Old Dominion
Baylor +3.5 at Oklahoma
Southern Miss -2.5 vs Georgia State
Oklahoma State -3.5 at Kansas (Sanders likely out so this is dicey)
Tennessee/Georgia under 66
And a daytime degenerate work day soccer play...
Fenerbahce S.K. vs. FC Dynamo Kyiv: Fenerbahce team total over 1.5 goals
Fenerbahce S.K. vs. FC Dynamo Kyiv: Fenerbahce team total over 1.5 goals
I'm only seeing over 2.5 goalstexasaggie2015 said:
And a daytime degenerate work day soccer play...
Fenerbahce S.K. vs. FC Dynamo Kyiv: Fenerbahce team total over 1.5 goals
For the game? Or the team total?
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