The executive summary paints a slightly better picture for Paxton than last week's Fox News poll, but Paxton is still behind.
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In the Texas U.S. Senate election,
Democrat James Talarico (47%) leads Republican Ken Paxton (45%) by 2 percentage points, with 2% supporting Libertarian Ted Brown and 6% undecided.
Talarico is viewed favorably by 46% of likely voters and unfavorably by 47%, and Paxton is viewed favorably by 39% of likely voters and unfavorably by 57%. Only 7% and 4% of likely voters don't know enough about Talarico and Paxton to have an opinion of them, respectively.
In the Texas Gubernatorial election,
Republican Greg Abbott (49%) leads Democrat Gina Hinojosa (43%) by 6 percentage points, with 3% supporting Libertarian Pat Dixon and 5% undecided.
Abbott is viewed favorably by 48% of likely voters and unfavorably by 51%, and Hinojosa is
viewed favorably by 37% and unfavorably by 28%. While 99% of likely voters know enough about Abbott to have an opinion of him, only 65% know about Hinojosa to have an opinion of her.
- 96% of Paxton voters intend to vote for Abbott and 0% for Hinojosa, with 3% undecided.
- 90% of Talarico voters intend to vote for Hinojosa and 4% for Abbott, with 4% undecided.
- 89% of Abbott voters intend to vote for Paxton and 3% for Talarico, with 6% undecided.
- 98% of Hinojosa voters intend to vote for Talarico and 0% for Paxton, with 2% undecided.
In the Texas Lieutenant Governor election,
Republican Dan Patrick (46%) leads Democrat Vikki Goodwin (39%) by 7 percentage points, with 3% supporting Libertarian Anthony Cristo and 12% undecided.
While 83% of likely voters know enough about Patrick to have an opinion of him, only 27% know enough about Goodwin to have an opinion of her.
In the Texas Attorney General election,
Republican Mayes Middleton (46%) leads Democrat
Nathan Johnson (41%) by 5 percentage points, with 3% supporting Libertarian Tom Oxford and
10% undecided.
Only 50% and 23% of likely voters know enough about Middleton and Johnson, respectively, to have an opinion of them.
In the Texas Comptroller election,
Republican Don Huffines (46%) leads Democrat Sarah Eckhardt (39%) by 7 percentage points, with 2% supporting Libertarian V. Alonzo Echavarria-Garza and 13% undecided.
Only 51% and 21% of likely voters know enough about Huffines and Eckhardt, respectively, to have an opinion of them.
In the Texas Land Commissioner election,
Republican Dawn Buckingham (45%) leads Democrat
Benjamin Flores (40%) by 5 percentage points, with 2% supporting Libertarian Neill Snider and 13% undecided.
Only 20% and 17% of likely voters know enough about Buckingham and Flores, respectively, to have an opinion of them.
In the Texas Railroad Commissioner election,
Republican Bo French (44%) leads Democrat Jon
Rosenthal (41%) by 3 percentage points, with 2% supporting Libertarian Arthur DiBianca and 13% undecided.
Only 33% and 17% of likely voters know enough about French and Rosenthal, respectively, to
have an opinion of them.
Among Texans who are likely to vote in the November 2026 election,
President Donald Trump is viewed favorably by 44% and unfavorably by 55%.
Poll released 8/4/2026 TSU/YouGov Aug 4, 2026.
Poll here.
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