Paxton vs Talarico

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Science Denier
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In reply to Old McDonald • 7:59a, 6/10/26
AG
Old McDonald said:
Teslag said:
Old McDonald said:
paxton underperforming the other top-of-ballot republicans is the takeaway here. maybe if republicans keep calling talarico a gay vegan beta heretic even harder, enough people will forget no one is excited about paxton.


It's honestly the best play. It's Texas and that **** doesn't fly. We character assassinated Beto, Allred, and the others. Stop running freaks.

if this thread is any indication, we're well past character assassination at this point, we're swan diving straight into talarico derangement syndrome

It's mor like ILPDS

Insane Liberal Policy Derangement Syndrome

I have it, and fully admit it. I happen to think women's bathrooms are for women, and it doesn't take a biologist to figure that one out.
LOL OLD
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Squadron7
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8:33a, 6/10/26
AG
The party of Graham Platner says Paxton is a bad guy. We should listen.
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oh no
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8:45a, 6/10/26
AG
The socialist voter base is government-dependent poors who want free stuff. The non-socialist base is tax payers who realize government is too big, inefficient, and ineffective at everything and supporting too many free loaders- they want it smaller with lower taxes.

But all the polls always tell you the "no degree" category heavily favors the non-socialist party and the "bachelors+" heavily favors the socialists. It's counterintuitive.

Could it be that middle and upper middle class tax payers don't respond to polls, skewing the bachelors+ poll from the non-socialist party? Could it also be the welfare recipients of the harvested voter base in inner cities also don't get polled, skewing the "no degree" category away from the socialist party? Or are assumptions like this built into their models? Or are the polls just manipulative psy op propaganda to make people think the way they want them to think?
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Aglaw97
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In reply to chris1515 • 11:47a, 6/10/26
AG
chris1515 said:
Aglaw97 said:
Some Dems will stay home too. Yes there are people who would vote for an imbecile as long as they have a D or R next to their name. But once all the oppo research comes out on Talarico, it will cause somewhere around 2-4% of Dems to stay home. I agree it will be close but the backlash against Paxton will be mitigated somewhat by the fact Talarico will lose moderate Dems.


What do you think is going to make any Dem voters stay home and not vote for Talarico?

I think this race will be interesting because a lot of the Cornyn votes were pretty strong anti-Paxton votes. And I think Talarico is going to be boring and bland enough that he's not going to turnoff those voters that much.



Some people don't view abortion rights for trans people, God being non-binary, Jesus helping with white guilt, and all the other woke stuff as boring and bland. They view it as non-serious as to the real world problems they face. Those are not issues that resonate with some people and even democrat strategists are starting to publicly acknowledge as much. B
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Old McDonald
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In reply to BusterAg • 11:58a, 6/10/26
BusterAg said:
Old McDonald said:
paxton underperforming the other top-of-ballot republicans is the takeaway here. maybe if republicans keep calling talarico a gay vegan beta heretic even harder, enough people will forget no one is excited about paxton.

How about even money bet? Paxton is going to smoke that fake vegan Low T child mutilator. Every poll favoring Talarico is going to tank once his fake Christian drivel starts going viral to a broader audience.

The future of the GOP is going to be largely populist, at least publicly. The defense guys and the pharma guys will still get theirs behind the curtain, but the GOP is the only party that is positioned to champion the hard working, patriotic, 40-hour-week worker.

And:
1) There are a **** ton of them.
2) They vote.
why would i take this bet? i've already stated in this thread i think paxton still wins, albeit by a closer margin than the other races
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Ellis Wyatt
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In reply to chris1515 • 1:08p, 6/10/26
chris1515 said:


What do you think is going to make any Dem voters stay home and not vote for Talarico?
I know Christians who will still vote for pro-abortion candidates, but the trans degeneracy is way, way too far. Mutilating children is not a mainstream position, and it isn't close.
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oh no
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2:19p, 6/10/26
AG
but you know despite the wild ass crap that tallrico has spewed on recorded presbyterian sermons, on recorded podcasts, or posted on twitter/X in the past, he's going to walk back things and pretend to be moderate for the next five months. Not just the paxton campaign, but all conservative pacs- even those that backed corn brisket- are going to have to keep the energy up - keep exposing who this psycho nut bar really is and don't let people forget.
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Gigem314
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In reply to chris1515 • 2:37p, 6/10/26
AG
chris1515 said:
Aglaw97 said:
Some Dems will stay home too. Yes there are people who would vote for an imbecile as long as they have a D or R next to their name. But once all the oppo research comes out on Talarico, it will cause somewhere around 2-4% of Dems to stay home. I agree it will be close but the backlash against Paxton will be mitigated somewhat by the fact Talarico will lose moderate Dems.


What do you think is going to make any Dem voters stay home and not vote for Talarico?
Talarico
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Old McDonald
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In reply to 4 • 2:43p, 6/10/26
4 said:
Old McDonald said:
Teslag said:
I also don't know what you people keep falling for poll after poll each election only to be disappointed. The same polls that had Cornyn within 10 of Paxton...
paxton likely still wins after trump and national republicans inevitably step in to bail him out, but by a closer margin than any of the other texas races

It'll be a 15-20 point win. It won't be close.
yeah, that's not happening
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4
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In reply to Old McDonald • 2:59p, 6/10/26
AG
Just like it was going to be a super close primary run off?

28 points later....

Talarico will lose by 15 points, at least
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ts5641
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In reply to 4 • 3:02p, 6/10/26
4 said:
Just like it was going to be a super close primary run off?

28 points later....

Talarico will lose by 15 points, at least

It's not going to be by that much but I still think Texas isn't ready to elect someone like talarico. We seem to have cheating under control as well in Texas and that's the dem's kryptonite. If they can't cheat they have a hard time winning.
Unfortunately I think it'll be within 5 points though. But since we can quit counting on election night Paxton should be ok.
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4
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In reply to Gigem314 • 3:06p, 6/10/26
AG
Gigem314 said:
chris1515 said:
Aglaw97 said:
Some Dems will stay home too. Yes there are people who would vote for an imbecile as long as they have a D or R next to their name. But once all the oppo research comes out on Talarico, it will cause somewhere around 2-4% of Dems to stay home. I agree it will be close but the backlash against Paxton will be mitigated somewhat by the fact Talarico will lose moderate Dems.


What do you think is going to make any Dem voters stay home and not vote for Talarico?
Talarico

Blacks will have a sub par turn out because

A) He's not black, and
B) Black men aren't voting for a gay guy, and
C) He's not black
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oh no
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In reply to 4 • 3:14p, 6/10/26
AG
4 said:
Gigem314 said:
chris1515 said:
Aglaw97 said:
Some Dems will stay home too. Yes there are people who would vote for an imbecile as long as they have a D or R next to their name. But once all the oppo research comes out on Talarico, it will cause somewhere around 2-4% of Dems to stay home. I agree it will be close but the backlash against Paxton will be mitigated somewhat by the fact Talarico will lose moderate Dems.


What do you think is going to make any Dem voters stay home and not vote for Talarico?
Talarico

Blacks will have a sub par turn out because

A) He's not black, and
B) Black men aren't voting for a gay guy, and
C) He's not black
haven't you heard? He has a long time girlfriend who is his best friend and soulmate
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Science Denier
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In reply to 4 • 3:15p, 6/10/26
AG
4 said:
Gigem314 said:
chris1515 said:
Aglaw97 said:
Some Dems will stay home too. Yes there are people who would vote for an imbecile as long as they have a D or R next to their name. But once all the oppo research comes out on Talarico, it will cause somewhere around 2-4% of Dems to stay home. I agree it will be close but the backlash against Paxton will be mitigated somewhat by the fact Talarico will lose moderate Dems.


What do you think is going to make any Dem voters stay home and not vote for Talarico?

Talarico

Blacks will have a sub par turn out because

A) He's not black, and
B) Black men aren't voting for a gay guy, and
C) He's not black

They will have a vote cast in their name. They may not know it yet.
LOL OLD
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Whoop2
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In reply to Captn_Ag05 • 4:08p, 6/10/26
I'm a woman voting Paxton so not all women are stupid.
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Rapier108
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In reply to 4 • 4:10p, 6/10/26
4 said:
Gigem314 said:
chris1515 said:
Aglaw97 said:
Some Dems will stay home too. Yes there are people who would vote for an imbecile as long as they have a D or R next to their name. But once all the oppo research comes out on Talarico, it will cause somewhere around 2-4% of Dems to stay home. I agree it will be close but the backlash against Paxton will be mitigated somewhat by the fact Talarico will lose moderate Dems.


What do you think is going to make any Dem voters stay home and not vote for Talarico?

Talarico

Blacks will have a sub par turn out because

A) He's not black, and
B) Black men aren't voting for a gay guy, and
C) He's not black

The (D) by his name overrides everything else with most black voters.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
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Whoop2
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In reply to chris1515 • 4:16p, 6/10/26
Talarico is not boring just horrible pick by Dems
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deddog
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In reply to Ellis Wyatt • 4:16p, 6/10/26
AG
Ellis Wyatt said:
chris1515 said:


What do you think is going to make any Dem voters stay home and not vote for Talarico?

I know Christians who will still vote for pro-abortion candidates, but the trans degeneracy is way, way too far. Mutilating children is not a mainstream position, and it isn't close.

If you are Christian, and are following the worlds culture to vote for a pro-abortion candidate, is it really that different to vote for a candidate that supports trans degeneracy?
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txags92
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In reply to Rapier108 • 5:32p, 6/10/26
AG
Rapier108 said:
4 said:
Gigem314 said:
chris1515 said:
Aglaw97 said:
Some Dems will stay home too. Yes there are people who would vote for an imbecile as long as they have a D or R next to their name. But once all the oppo research comes out on Talarico, it will cause somewhere around 2-4% of Dems to stay home. I agree it will be close but the backlash against Paxton will be mitigated somewhat by the fact Talarico will lose moderate Dems.


What do you think is going to make any Dem voters stay home and not vote for Talarico?

Talarico

Blacks will have a sub par turn out because

A) He's not black, and
B) Black men aren't voting for a gay guy, and
C) He's not black

The (D) by his name overrides everything else with most black voters.

The real problem for the Ds is that Talafreako won't drive black turnout like Crockett would have. There are no races on the ballot that particularly move the needle racially, so I expect to see lower black turnout.
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Ellis Wyatt
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In reply to deddog • 5:35p, 6/10/26
deddog said:
Ellis Wyatt said:
chris1515 said:


What do you think is going to make any Dem voters stay home and not vote for Talarico?

I know Christians who will still vote for pro-abortion candidates, but the trans degeneracy is way, way too far. Mutilating children is not a mainstream position, and it isn't close.

If you are Christian, and are following the world's culture to vote for a pro-abortion candidate, is it really that different to vote for a candidate that supports trans degeneracy?
To me? No.

But there are black democrats who have gone along with abortion as the status quo but see trans and gender issues as a leap to the abnormal.
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bobbranco
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In reply to Teslag • 3:12a, 6/11/26
AG
Teslag said:
Old McDonald said:
Teslag said:
Old McDonald said:
paxton underperforming the other top-of-ballot republicans is the takeaway here. maybe if republicans keep calling talarico a gay vegan beta heretic even harder, enough people will forget no one is excited about paxton.


It's honestly the best play. It's Texas and that **** doesn't fly. We character assassinated Beto, Allred, and the others. Stop running freaks.

if this thread is any indication, we're well past character assassination at this point, we're swan diving straight into talarico derangement syndrome


As opposed to Talarico diving straight into autoimmune deficiency syndrome

New designer plague is monkey pox.
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nortex97
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7:04a, 6/11/26
AG
'Equitable education' also won't sell to suburban soccer moms.

Quote:
MAYA, with Talarico's help, worked to bring critical race theory and DEI to Texas schools, particularly during the height of the Black Lives Matter movement in 2020, when it partnered with public school districts like Snyder Independent School District in West Texas to support "diversity, equity, and inclusion efforts." In Austin, where Talarico lives, it promoted a series of monthly "RaceTalks" organized by the local public school district's "Race Equity Council" that called on parents to "explore" their "pushback and triggers and name systemic barriers that form as a result." The firm also contributed $5,000 to the left-wing nonprofit Austin Justice Coalition around the same time the coalition called to defund the Austin Police Department.


Just a normal moderate straight male christian politician, folks. Trust him.
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Old McDonald
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In reply to 4 • 7:31a, 6/11/26
4 said:
Just like it was going to be a super close primary run off?

28 points later....

Talarico will lose by 15 points, at least
i'll bet you a bitcoin it'll be closer than that
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doubledog
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In reply to Old McDonald • 7:33a, 6/11/26
Old McDonald said:
4 said:
Just like it was going to be a super close primary run off?

28 points later....

Talarico will lose by 15 points, at least

i'll bet you a bitcoin it'll be closer than that

OK 14 points.
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Science Denier
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In reply to nortex97 • 7:49a, 6/11/26
AG
Quote:
Equitable Education' Consultant

LMAO!!

How would you like THAT on your resume?
LOL OLD
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IslanderAg04
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8:08a, 6/11/26
I do admit, democrats attempt to make him some land man esque West Texas Texan has been pretty fun to watch. He has literally flipped on every position he has pushed since in office bc they think they can sway voters. I honestly think he will do worse then Beto, Hagar, and Allred. At heart he is a pro transing of the kids, anti 2nd amendment, pro abortion, higher taxes, open borders, anti beef, anti O&G candidate. Texas voters see through his bull***** Their only fight on Paxton is he got divorced and gave a plea deal to a pedo.
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Ellis Wyatt
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In reply to nortex97 • 8:23a, 6/11/26
Just in case anyone wonders what kind of degenerates have destroyed the education system…

Pastor Pervert delights in it.
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Squadron7
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In reply to Science Denier • 8:48a, 6/11/26
AG
Science Denier said:
Quote:
Equitable Education' Consultant

LMAO!!

How would you like THAT on your resume?


Technically, "Equitable Education" can be said to work because it narrows the margin of outcomes by dragging down the kids with more potential.
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ts5641
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In reply to Squadron7 • 9:42a, 6/11/26
Squadron7 said:
Science Denier said:
Quote:
Equitable Education' Consultant

LMAO!!

How would you like THAT on your resume?


Technically, "Equitable Education" can be said to work because it narrows the margin of outcomes by dragging down the kids with more potential.

It's like every leftist ideal, make things equal but miserable for all...oh except for the elites...
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IslanderAg04
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In reply to ts5641 • 9:50a, 6/11/26
ts5641 said:
Squadron7 said:
Science Denier said:
Quote:
Equitable Education' Consultant

LMAO!!

How would you like THAT on your resume?


Technically, "Equitable Education" can be said to work because it narrows the margin of outcomes by dragging down the kids with more potential.

It's like every leftist ideal, make things equal but miserable for all...oh except for the elites...


Ironically, the party that "fights the oligarchs", loves oligarchs. At least controlled ones. Probably why Bernie honeymooned in Russia.
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oh no
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In reply to IslanderAg04 • 10:01a, 6/11/26
AG
IslanderAg04 said:
he is a pro transing of the kids, anti 2nd amendment, pro abortion, higher taxes, open borders, anti beef, anti O&G candidate.

pretty much the antithesis of all things Texan. he's running for US Senate in a state for which he clearly hates.
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pacecar02
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In reply to oh no • 10:18a, 6/11/26
oh no said:
IslanderAg04 said:
he is a pro transing of the kids, anti 2nd amendment, pro abortion, higher taxes, open borders, anti beef, anti O&G candidate.

pretty much the antithesis of all things Texan. he's running for US Senate in a state for which he clearly hates.

But not anymore, now hes just like us


Who you gonna believe? Him? Or your lying eyes and ears and 10 years of everything he has ever said about anything and everything?
no sig
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oh no
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In reply to pacecar02 • 10:32a, 6/11/26
AG
pacecar02 said:
oh no said:
IslanderAg04 said:
he is a pro transing of the kids, anti 2nd amendment, pro abortion, higher taxes, open borders, anti beef, anti O&G candidate.

pretty much the antithesis of all things Texan. he's running for US Senate in a state for which he clearly hates.

But not anymore, now hes just like us


Who you gonna believe? Him? Or your lying eyes and ears and 10 years of everything he has ever said about anything and everything?

unfortunately, there are a lot of people out there who either like and agree with all those crazy psycho nut bar takes of his, OR, since we live in two completely different worlds due to corrupt MSM and "algorithms", will never see or hear any of his past outrageous sacrilegious satanic communist takes that have been recorded.
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twk
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11:22a, 6/11/26
AG
Paxton is dumber than I tought:



It never even crossed his mind that UH might be on the other side of such a suit. What a moron. Can't believe I've got to vote for him, but as between him and the False Prophet, that's the lesser of two evils.
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samurai_science
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In reply to twk • 11:47a, 6/11/26
twk said:
Paxton is dumber than I tought:



It never even crossed his mind that UH might be on the other side of such a suit. What a moron. Can't believe I've got to vote for him, but as between him and the False Prophet, that's the lesser of two evils.

Is he? The State AG may have to say something since a state entity is involved.
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