Paxton vs Talarico [See Staff Note in OP]

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Captn_Ag05
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8:40p, 10/26/26
AG
Anyone else get a text from the Abbott campaign within a couple of hours of voting thanking you for voting and sending you a link to look up to see if your friends and family have voted so you can encourage them to do so if they haven't?

Part of me appreciates the sophisticated outreach effort but also way creepy to me.
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The Shank Ag
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In reply to Rapier108 • 8:51p, 10/26/26
Rapier108 said:
oh no said:

They keep acting like early voting is the only chance to vote.

I'm in that 318,000 and I'll vote on election day. Hit up one of the big locations about 10:30 in the morning and it will be a quick in and out. I've tried to vote early three times, each time the line was insane. Sorry, I would rather not stand in line for hours.


I will still early vote, and have come around on holding my nose for Paxton, but I still know a ton like me that will sit out at least that race.

I pray they come around like I have and the Election Day vote is strongly red. Still can't believe we are here when this should have been a layup
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oh no
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8:57p, 10/26/26
AG
there is a guy who was acquitted on all charges re: abusing his office because there was no evidence - straight from the whistleblowers' mouths under oath at the impeachment trial and after +3 years of Biden's FBI digging in.. and then there's a radical socialist that says capitalism needs to be dismantled and voted against every tax cut and ban on new taxes who also happens to be a false prophet heretic that says you can crush your babies' skulls because the Archangel Gabriel appeared to Mary at the Annunciation. The implications on turning over the US Senate to these radical socialists has Venezuela type implications to our nation, whereas the implications of Paxton voting for things like the Save Act can do no harm. This should still be a layup.
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The Unforgiven
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In reply to The Shank Ag • 9:00p, 10/26/26
AG
It isn't the fault of the people that voted for Paxton in the primary. It isn't even Paxton's fault. It is F'ing Cornyn's fault. If he wasn't such a sellout and RINO, he would be the one that won the primary. He had to read the Dummy's book on how to be a republican...not conservative. He has shown his ass by how he has acted since he lost the primary. He didn't care about Texans. This was his whole purpose in life and felt he was entitled to it. He should be out there supporting Paxton and telling people we cannot afford Talarico.

If he would go out there saying he is voting for Paxton, it definitely wouldn't be close. He would give more people cover to hold their nose when they vote for Paxton. He has decided not to because he doesn't care about Texans or Republicans. He only cares about himself.
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samurai_science
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In reply to The Shank Ag • 9:05p, 10/26/26
The Shank Ag said:
Rapier108 said:
oh no said:

They keep acting like early voting is the only chance to vote.

I'm in that 318,000 and I'll vote on election day. Hit up one of the big locations about 10:30 in the morning and it will be a quick in and out. I've tried to vote early three times, each time the line was insane. Sorry, I would rather not stand in line for hours.


I will still early vote, and have come around on holding my nose for Paxton, but I still know a ton like me that will sit out at least that race.

I pray they come around like I have and the Election Day vote is strongly red. Still can't believe we are here when this should have been a layup

John had 24 years of not being a conservative, especially on gun control. The talks of primarying him started like 10 years ago but he was too arrogant to change.
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bobbranco
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In reply to Dan Scott • 9:31p, 10/26/26
AG
Dan Scott said:
That's what I'm looking at. From that county breakdown, get the cumulative votes entered. Then I applied the % split from the 2024 and 2018 Senate elections.

It will change tomorrow and the next day.

Either way I like that your data study shows Paxton winning between 1% & 6%.
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Dan Scott
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In reply to bobbranco • 9:46p, 10/26/26
AG
Now that I have the file setup, I can easily update for each day until early voting ends. We can play around with the split on the big counties.
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TAMU1990
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10:05p, 10/26/26
AG
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Old McDonald
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In reply to Teslag • 10:08p, 10/26/26
Teslag said:
Old McDonald said:
*taps the sign*
Old McDonald said:
EV analysis is a fun way to pass the time, but most of the people doing it are either ****posting, rage baiting, or wishcasting.


The lack of self awareness with this post is simply stunning.
takes one to know one. welcome back!
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TAMU1990
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In reply to oh no • 10:10p, 10/26/26
AG
oh no said:


How many of these people are Election Day voters? I used to vote on Election Day but started EV recently.
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Dan Scott
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In reply to TAMU1990 • 10:10p, 10/26/26
AG
That guy is doing it the same way I did it except he's using the Trump/Kamala split from 2024. I think the more accurate way would be to compare the senate vote. That as of yesterdays tally was +6 Paxton.
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Prosperdick
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10:11p, 10/26/26
AG
Imagine being a lib and cheerfully rooting on these marxists. The amount of self delusion must be staggering in order not to break down.
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Keyno
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In reply to The Shank Ag • 10:13p, 10/26/26
The Shank Ag said:
Rapier108 said:
oh no said:

They keep acting like early voting is the only chance to vote.

I'm in that 318,000 and I'll vote on election day. Hit up one of the big locations about 10:30 in the morning and it will be a quick in and out. I've tried to vote early three times, each time the line was insane. Sorry, I would rather not stand in line for hours.


I will still early vote, and have come around on holding my nose for Paxton, but I still know a ton like me that will sit out at least that race.

I pray they come around like I have and the Election Day vote is strongly red. Still can't believe we are here when this should have been a layup

Go get them to vote GOP?
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FireAg
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In reply to TAMU1990 • 10:14p, 10/26/26
AG
TAMU1990 said:
oh no said:


How many of these people are Election Day voters? I used to vote on Election Day but started EV recently.

The Texas GOP absolutely believes they win ED…their focus has been turning out EVs…
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AxelFoley85
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10:41p, 10/26/26
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Rockdoc
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In reply to AxelFoley85 • 10:50p, 10/26/26
AG
AxelFoley85 said:

Ha ha. Nice try!
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TRM
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In reply to FireAg • 11:00p, 10/26/26
AG
Bank the easy votes now, so they can work on turning out the lower propensity voter
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TRM
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In reply to TAMU1990 • 11:04p, 10/26/26
AG
About 16% of these voters are election day voters.
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txags92
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In reply to Rapier108 • 11:52p, 10/26/26
AG
Rapier108 said:
oh no said:

They keep acting like early voting is the only chance to vote.

I'm in that 318,000 and I'll vote on election day. Hit up one of the big locations about 10:30 in the morning and it will be a quick in and out. I've tried to vote early three times, each time the line was insane. Sorry, I would rather not stand in line for hours.

I was in that 318,000 until I voted this evening. I am less worried about the high propensity voters eventually turning out and more interested in the 1 of 4 and 0 of 4, whether they turn out, and which way they break.
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sanangelo
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In reply to bobbranco • 1:29a, 10/27/26
AG
bobbranco said:
Have fun hosting Ken!

We had Gov. Greg Abbott at the Arc Light last week on Oct 22. -- around 300 came out.


Paxton on Wed at 11 a.m.
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