Early reports of at least 40 million for Christmas Day.
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Nope.
$650--700M tops in the US.
Worldwide.... $1.7B
All IMHO, of course.
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Ill tell you what i find interesting : numerous people who are casual star wars fans are all talking about seeing it twice in the theaters. It is very rare to hear so many people say that imo.
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Where does Episode VII end its domestic box office run? One non-Disney distribution chief told us fearlessly tonight: $1 billion. Distrib chiefs always believe that the competition is always setting them up to fail in the media with outrageous projections, however, that cume isn't a crazy thought.
Consider the following: Through Sunday, Force Awakens will be pacing ahead of Jurassic World's 10 day cume ($402.8M) by 35% and ahead of Avatar over the same period ($212.7M) by 156% and at those speeds, Episode VII lands well within the $800M-$1B range. Couple this with Disney having a stronghold on big auditoriums for at least four weeks along with a lengthy Imax run.
Distrib sources told us many times during the run of American Sniper, that when repeat business propels a film's grosses to this magnitude, the picture becomes an animal unto its own.
quote:To the outer rim...quote:
Nope.
$650--700M tops in the US.
Worldwide.... $1.7B
All IMHO, of course.
Where did this guy go?
quote:I think this is certainly what draws many folks who don't know Star Wars into the theater.
I think part of it is the ice bucket challenge effect. 99% of people dousing themselves had no idea what it was really about, but that's what everyone on FB was doing. I have family members who couldn't name two SW characters if you spotted them one, but they are planning on seeing it.
I'm probably gonna see it again to verify if that one character really is the love child of The Matrix's Oracle and a Minion.
quote:yep....four primary factors that JJ Abrams nailed
There is no doubt that the acting in this far outstrips both the PT and OT.
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I think it'll beat Avatar domestically but not globally.
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It's only now that it really sinks in how insanely hard it is to make $2.7 billion.
I can't really figure out how Avatar did it. If TFA blows it out of the water domestically, and say it matches Avatar in China, how is it that it still falls so short? Was there really that much more international repeat business going for Avatar?
I wonder if India isn't a big difference maker here.
quote:Avatar had tentacle sex, so everyone in Japan saw it four times.
It's only now that it really sinks in how insanely hard it is to make $2.7 billion.
I can't really figure out how Avatar did it. If TFA blows it out of the water domestically, and say it matches Avatar in China, how is it that it still falls so short? Was there really that much more international repeat business going for Avatar?
I wonder if India isn't a big difference maker here.
quote:You're looking at things from an American point of view and not global. First, it was a marvel of modern special effects in film making. It was probably the biggest leap forward since Jurassic Park, maybe even the original Star Wars. That's always going to bring a lot of curiosity. But saying it had a ****ty plot is mainly an American talking point. This movie catered to liberal thinking and the rest of the world is very liberal. There are very few things the rest of the world is going to love more than seeing the big bad capitalistic American military getting their asses kicked. Also, we tend to complain about recycling the plot of Fern Gully, Dances with Wolves and Pocahontas. Those movies are likely unknown in Europe and Asia. Nobody in Japan gives a crap about seeing Kevin Costner befriending a bunch of Indians in the 19th century in North Dakota or wherever he was at. I think this movie was absolutely loved throughout the majority of the world.
What really gets me is that Avatar was such an incredibly ****ty plot. People literally just watched it for the CGI, and never bought it for their house.
I think TFA falls short in total numbers. Because of international numbers unless China explodes.
Has anyone ever been able to compare total revenue from a movie? Not just box office, but also DVD, merchandise, toys, etc? I have a feeling Star Wars as a franchise dwarfs anything else... And TFA probably becomes the single biggest movie ever