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TFA will be over $520mm by Dec 12/28.

Thats my prediction.

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Good call.

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TFA will be over $520mm by Dec 12/28.

Thats my prediction.

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Good call.

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if we are using Price is Right rules the yes!!!

IIRC I made that call last Monday night which were before any Monday or midweek numbers were in. So I'll take it.

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Calling my shot: Second weekend is breaking $150M.

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Off by less than $1 million.

I'll give you credit

i called $1 billion domestic.....we shall see. it's gonna be close i think....another huge holiday kind of week may put it around $725 million domestic...seriously.......#2 all-time in about 15 days and nearing Avatar in 17 days....

if:
Mon-Thurs = 20 mil per day is possible thats almost a 50% drop except for thurs (xmas eve was lighter)
Fri-Sun = 100 million about a 30% drop

My prediction is $950M total.

I said $1B in the OP.

I think it's a foregone conclusion.

Any reports yet on today? Nothing on deadline yet.

Seeing $33MM a few random places but nothing "official" yet.

$30MM days would make sense for this week. There won't be much drop off from the weekdays last week.

*******. Figured anything over 25 would be nuts.

$31.5M. Ridiculous.

Avatar's second Monday did 19. JW did 11.

Geeze it could top Avatar by Sunday....17 days....

30x4 days + 110 weekend = 230 added to 540 = 770

Also another 30 tuesday would push it over 600 million in 12 days (Avatar took 47 days to get there)

I know this is nuts, but I am already thinking ahead to what episode 8 will do.
You figure almost everyone who saw this one is coming back for that given the reviews, plus some folks who will get hooked via cable, rental etc.
Then you add in that the next one is a summer release, opening Memorial Day weekend and has the whole summer to run wild. If it gets the same reviews as this one does, it could destroy these records all over again.

But what will be really funny is watching all of the traditionally stiff summer competition scatter to weekends as far away from it as possible.

What you got here was a ton of built up anticipation from the old fanboys. 1-3 being so underwhelming, knowing the reboot is coming brought so much of a different vibe and hype.

You wont have that in 8. Things will be "settled in" so it will be difficult to have the same sort of magic run. It will still be a top 10 grossing movie of all time just because it's Star Wars, but I wouldn't be surprised if it didn't outdo 7.

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I know this is nuts, but I am already thinking ahead to what episode 8 will do.
You figure almost everyone who saw this one is coming back for that given the reviews, plus some folks who will get hooked via cable, rental etc.
Then you add in that the next one is a summer release, opening Memorial Day weekend and has the whole summer to run wild. If it gets the same reviews as this one does, it could destroy these records all over again.

But what will be really funny is watching all of the traditionally stiff summer competition scatter to weekends as far away from it as possible.

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yeah but it won't get the initial boost of whats basically a 2 week/3 weekend vacation time period.

the opening weekend might be as big or bigger with Memorial holiday monday included....but i doubt the mid week and second weekend are as big because they are not holiday weeks/weekends....but it will have a full summer so yeah it could be bigger overall. especially internationally where it now has a chance to grow audience from the first in places where the original never ran.

will be interesting to see.

then episode IX goes back to the same winter/xmas release as this one. depending on episode 8 of course.....that one could be huge if the build up for the finale is significant.

Meanwhile Avatar 2, 3 and 4 are looking like xmas/winter of 2017, 2018 and 2019 supposedly.

That would put Avatar 3 and SW 9 head-to-head in xmas/winter of 2018.

Although somehow I doubt Avatar can meet back to back to back years even with 3 crews, scripts. directors, etc...maybe they would skip 2018 and go for 2019 and 2020 to finish it.

I think I'd rather see Titanic 2 than Avatar 4.

I'd rather see Deuce Bigalowe 3 than Avatar 2.

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I know this is nuts, but I am already thinking ahead to what episode 8 will do.
You figure almost everyone who saw this one is coming back for that given the reviews, plus some folks who will get hooked via cable, rental etc.
Then you add in that the next one is a summer release, opening Memorial Day weekend and has the whole summer to run wild. If it gets the same reviews as this one does, it could destroy these records all over again.

But what will be really funny is watching all of the traditionally stiff summer competition scatter to weekends as far away from it as possible.

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This movie has the benefit of the 10 year Star Wars layoff, the same thing that made TPM as profitable as it was. While it's always a possibility that EP8 could eclipse TFA, sequel box office performance history isn't in favor of it happening.

Count me in as someone who will be seeing Avatar 2 on opening night.

8 won't surpass it simply because of the crazy weekdays sales 7 is having now

no Han = no billion

I thought Avatar was a good entertaining movie, but I can't imagine getting hyped for any of the sequels. The only big movies I've seen in theater recently were Avengers, Ultron, and TFA. I catch most movies on video.

Avatar 2 would need to convince me with critical reviews and word of mouth to go see it. The visuals were amazing but that wont get me there just to see that stuff again.

Work is extremly slow today, so I put together this graph of TFA's gross through 11 days.




And just for kicks, a trendline if it continues on its current pace:

Exactly!

$10 Billion is in the bank!

$30+ Mil on its 2nd Monday... The Force Awakened with some serious morning wood!!!!

For fun by the way, here was Forbes predicting a couple of months ago what the movie would do.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2015/09/18/star-wars-the-force-awakens-the-realistic-box-office-prediction/

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For fun by the way, here was Forbes predicting a couple of months ago what the movie would do.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2015/09/18/star-wars-the-force-awakens-the-realistic-box-office-prediction/

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Hysterically low...

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I have a hard time seeing how the J.J. Abrams sequel doesn't clear $500 million domestic over the long haul unless it just doesn't open. But please note the important caveat that a mere $400m+ haul does not constitute a failure since only Avatar and Titanic have cleared that barrier in the month of December. It's not going to top Titanic or Avatar, but it will make enough to avoid a media itching to call it a disappointment and decry the doom of Lucasfilm and Disney. Worldwide is a similar picture. Realistically speaking, it's all a question of whether those outside of America can be made to care about Star Wars as much as American fans do. If they can, and there is precedent to imply that it is possible, then we're talking an $800m-$950m overseas take for a worldwide total of $1.3 billion to $1.6 billion worldwide gross.

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It's beaten his domestic long haul number in 11 days....and the worldwide number will likely fall in less than 2 weeks...

That Forbes article is so much fail. I'm not sure how anyone could have predicted totals that don't even top Avengers or Jurassic World. There is no reality where those franchises have a bigger following than Star Wars and based on what Episode I did ($750MM on an inflation-adjusted basis) that should have been everyone's floor at the outset.

At an 1130 showing on a Tuesday. It's filling up fast. Whatever the 2nd Tuesday record is, it'll get broken.

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Okay, I still think in this scenario that Star Wars: The Force Awakens opens to around $125 million on opening weekend. Yes, a $150m debut wouldn't shock me either (The Hunger Games: Catching Fire did $158m in November), but that's such an uptick from what's normal in December that I'm hesitant to predict as much.

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It's basically impossible to find at this point, but somewhere in the General discussion thread I said $750m was my prediction. At the time I was being "conservative".

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At an 1130 showing on a Tuesday. It's filling up fast. Whatever the 2nd Tuesday record is, it'll get broken.

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2nd Tuesday record is Avatar at $18.29 million, followed by JW at 13.13 million. It should demolish those.

Another $30 million-ish or anything over 27.9 million will give it the 1st and 3rd highest Tuesdays ever....

2nd highest Tuesday is the opening day for Spiderman at $35 million - it won't beat that
3rd highest currently is the opening day of Transformers at $27.85 million - it could beat that