Keegan99 said:UTExan said:https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidnikel/2020/05/06/swedens-coronavirus-approach-not-a-model-to-copy-warns-goldman-sachs/#1260419c2aacQuote:
Not a model for others
Despite many around the world looking upon Sweden's approach as a route out of restrictive lockdowns, Goldman analysts warn it cannot be copied like-for-like. That's because of the relatively unique demographics in Sweden.
"Its population density is about half that of Italy, and Sweden has a high proportion of single-occupancy households, and a relatively low proportion of multi-generational households. The Swedish experience therefore cannot be extrapolated to support a swift reopening elsewhere," said Goldman.
Even Swedish authorities themselves caution against returning everyday life to normal too soon. The Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency (MSB) warned of an increase in cases if citizens do not keep following government guidance. "There is a significant risk that people start to relax prematurely and stop following guidelines. Continue to follow the authorities' advice and be part of the solution," said Svante Werger, special adviser at MSB, to Aftonbladet.
Low density? High proportion of single occupancy households? Low proportion of multi-generational households?
That sounds like pretty much the entire US outside of NYC.
Exactly right. The Canadian CV 19 infection rate matches the US infection rate outside of NYC. The clusters of Swedish infection and the clusters of US infection are in high density environments. Where I disagree with the Swedes is the timing of their social distancing. When we did that in the US it had a dramatic effect because the virus is not durable enough outside a mammalian host cell.
It is better to light a flamethrower than to curse the darkness- Sir Terence Pratchett
“ III stooges si viveret et nos omnes ad quos etiam probabile est mittent custard pies”
“ III stooges si viveret et nos omnes ad quos etiam probabile est mittent custard pies”
